Iran War and the Impact on Oil

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Israeli intel officer Ari Ben-Menashe claims Nethanyanu is using Epstain archives to control Trump and suggests if a deal is reached between US and Iran, that Nethanyanu will leak previously unseen sensitive files on high ranking officials alongside Trump.

No sh!t sherlock comes to mind.
 










 
Trump has become detached from reality and totally unhinged.

Madman indeed. Another Hitler IMHO.
 





 
Here is a question for the US war mongers in favour of sending troops into Iran.

If the US can not protect the military bases in Kuwait, Bahrain, UAE and Saudi Arabia, how do they plan to protect their troops attempting to establish a base in any of the Islands near Iran or worse in Iran?

The whole idea of landing troops in Iran is not really clearly thought out at all. How long would they need to be maintained there to keep the straits open.

Changing the military commanders in the middle of the conflict smacks of some pretty daft thinking in the US. Perhaps Trump is thinking of making them scapegoats. They failed in their duty to protect US interests.

Also, Kuwait and the other countries above now seriously considering the cost of paying the US protection money. They would surely have been better off not hosting US bases thus becoming targets to US power plays.

In fact, they'd be better off now not selling in US $ollars as well and switch to a mixed basket of currencies like Sterling, Euro, Yuan and the Russian Ruble imo

Also, the straits are not closed at all. They are open. Only closed to hostile countries attacking Iran. Trump, blowing his lid with threats about opening the straits is just a trifle lame imho.

Whilst back at the ranch, whilst all eyes are on the straits, state of Israel continues it's desire to claim Lebonese land for Jewish settlers who are asked to leave their current livelihoods all over the world to return back to the land of paradise so they can be close to their benevolant God.

People in US and Israel, have started demonstrating in the streets, for regime change. Well we all know now, the text book approach on how some nations migth like to respond to those developments in those two countries. Yes, that's right, pretend to talk peace and bomb their leaders to thy Kingdom come.

Can anyone remember Trump being grumpy about not winning the Nobel Peace Prize? He is now openly declaring war crimes on the very people he went to liberate from the IRGC. Some say he is a genious and others believe he might well be the next Messiah. I reckon his a sick deranged and unhinged piece of tool. Epstained tool. A simple prick. There was a very good interview with Jeffrey Sachs on RTNews yesterday. Quite a few people apparently, stating Trump has a personality disorder amongst a few other conditions.

I reckon, field of Psychology has a new specimen to disect.
 












 


Very interesting reading the general public responses to this article.

People who see Trump and what his doing are calling for the 25th Amendment.

The 25th Amendment to the US Constitution, ratified in 1967, establishes the process for removing a president who is unable to perform his duties. Section 4, which has never been invoked, allows the vice president and a majority of the cabinet to declare the president "unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office."
 
Excellent interview with Scott Ritter by Judge Nap' on his Judging Freedom YT channel in which Ritter disects the mission to rescue the second pilot of the downed F15 jet. There's been lots of speculation about this and whether or not there was a botched plan to extract the enriched uranium that Iran is thought to have in order that Trump could claim a decisive victory and provide him - and the U.S. with an off-ramp to end the war. Enjoy . . .

 








Tale of Two Mothers: Donald Trump's Treachery










 
The two week ceasefire is a welcome development for everyone in as much as it postpones Trump's apocolyptic threat to take Iran back to the Stone Ages. But it's just kicking the can down the road and cynics like me will argue that it merely buys time for the Trump administration to formulate a plan as to what it will do next. In the meantime, it can recalibrate, reorganise and re-arm. And if trilateral negotiations between Iran, the U.S. and Israel get underway in Islamabad, who will bet against the U.S. using them as an opportunity to catch the Iranians off-guard and attack them just as they've done - not once but twice - in the recent past?

Besides all the above, the ceasefire does not change the situation on the ground. The U.S. has achieved none of its stated objectives from the start of the war, and the Strait of Hormuz is not - and will not - be open in the same way as it was before the war commenced. That is to say, the Iranians will allow all maritime traffic to pass through but, nonetheless, they still control it and the second the U.S. (or more likely Israel) breaches the ceasefire, they can close it instantly to anyone they don't want to allow through. Given that Israel will not want the peace talks in Pakistan to succeed, they will likely scupper the talks sooner rather than later and the Irainians will close the Strait once again.

So, where does this leave the Brent Crude trade? Unless there are materual changes on the ground, then the gap down today will be filled. You can take out a second mortgage and literally bet the house on that! (But note the caveat in bold italics!) So, if your long position has been stopped out, this is a golden opportunity to get back in at a better price. As I say, nothing has changed on the ground, no hammer blows have been delivered and no major concessions offered or extracted. Just like a pressure cooker, upward force on the oil price has temporarily been relieved, but it will quickly start to build again and we'll soon be back to where we were. Daily chart of Brent Crude, below.

BRENT_2026-04-08_08-33-13.png
 
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I've just watched Nethanyanu on TV re: Strikes on Leabonen and he looks like he has a busted lip to me.

Be interested to know what you guys think. Sadly it was on the BBC so you may have to put up with some tosh.
 












 
I've just watched Nethanyanu on TV re: Strikes on Leabonen and he looks like he has a busted lip to me.

Be interested to know what you guys think. Sadly it was on the BBC so you may have to put up with some tosh.
Do you mean (a part of) this clip?


Is B.N. married? 🤣
 
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Do you mean (a part of) this clip?


Is B.N. married? 🤣
Yep that one.

Does that not look like his upper lip has a mark and where his moustache might be it almost looked like he had considerable make up over it.

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I dunno what do you guys think?

Might also explain why he was missing for a few days and there were AI generated images of him?

I reckon someone smacked him in the mouth.

I think it might be Kuchner after Israel bombed Iran's 30 oil dumps first. I know Trump and the US were really fuming about that. The whole shit show really blew up with counter strikes from Iran after that.
 
The US administration is in total dissarray. Some peeps stating the high command was retired because they declined to follow Trump and Hegseth's instructions to end Iranian civilisation because it would be an act against humanity targetting civilian infrastructures and the killing of innocent civilians.

Apparently, the law states, following illegal orders under international law makes those acting on illegal orders also complicit in those crimes against humanity.

Hence, some peeps openly calling for the 25th amendment to remove madmen from authority.

US is sooo messed up right now.

Typically, the ceasefire has already been breached and Nethanyanu with the state of Israel knows no boundaries and continues in their acts of genocide killing innocent civilians.

Apparently, they are not happy with the ceasefire, and some analysts interpreting their attacks in Lebanon as attempts to brake the ceasefire and put the US in a difficult position.

I wouldn't be surprised if we start hearing about Epstained Trump files again? If the 25th Amendment is invoked, what sway will those files have then?



Agree with your assessment Tim as this war and the ongoing attacks and disasters are far from over.
 
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