Leave my kids out of this.
I haven't read "Kittens" but from memory the dude's cat was both dead and alive - not one or the other. Which in this context is equivalent to saying the DOW closes at 16928 AND 17060.
"There are ways of trading large moves without knowing direction". Are you assuming a large move would be on increasing volatility and therefore you could trade that through long strangles and straddles, back spreads and debit spreads? Or do you have a preferred alternative method? Or is it nothing to do with IV?
Back to the question on the asymmetric nature of memory, for that one link you posted to a near as damn it spot on call, how many links could you post to less successful calls? I'm really not trying to embarrass you, but as you've been so kind as to engage with a flea infested mog on this topic, I'm keen to explore the tricks that humans play with their minds on themselves in convincing themselves they're better than their results suggest.
I haven't read "Kittens" but from memory the dude's cat was both dead and alive - not one or the other. Which in this context is equivalent to saying the DOW closes at 16928 AND 17060.
"There are ways of trading large moves without knowing direction". Are you assuming a large move would be on increasing volatility and therefore you could trade that through long strangles and straddles, back spreads and debit spreads? Or do you have a preferred alternative method? Or is it nothing to do with IV?
Back to the question on the asymmetric nature of memory, for that one link you posted to a near as damn it spot on call, how many links could you post to less successful calls? I'm really not trying to embarrass you, but as you've been so kind as to engage with a flea infested mog on this topic, I'm keen to explore the tricks that humans play with their minds on themselves in convincing themselves they're better than their results suggest.