'Great' traders

wasp

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lol no...

But man, has this thread gone off course!

For anyone that is interested (isn't aware), here is a record of Livermores achievements. All monetary values have been converted into inflation adjusted terms for 2009 to show how much he made/lost was worth in todays money.

July 26, 1877: Jesse Livermore is born in West Acton, Massachusetts.

Age 14: Begins work in Paine Weber & Co's Boston stockbroking offices, transferring prices from ticker-tape to quotation board.

Age 15: Makes a $69.10 profit on this first trade - in Burlington stock. Accumulates his first $22,149 by trading stocks and commodities in bucket shops.

Age 16: Paine Weber & Co instruct Jesse Livermore that he must either quit speculating in bucket shops or quit his job. He quits the job.

Age 20: Accumulates his first $221,490 by trading in bucket shops.

Age 21: Moves to New York to trade on the NYSE through legitimate stockbrokers. His fortune has been reduced to $55,372.

Age 22: Loses all funds via unsuccessful trading on NYSE - he attributes this to slow execution of his trades. Borrows $11,074 and goes to St. Louis to trade in bucket shops. He returns to New York with $55,372, repays the loan and resumes trading on both the Exchange and in bucket shops. According to Livermore: "I was not quite twenty-three, all alone in New York with easy money in my pockets and the belief in my heart that I was beginning to understand the new machine. I was making allowances for the actual execution of my orders on the floor of the Exchange, and moving more cautiously. But I was still sticking to the tape - that is, I was still ignoring general principles; and as long as I did that I could not spot the exact trouble with my game."

Age 23: At the beginning of the day, Livermore's fortune stands at over 1 million dollars ($1,182,950). At the end of a frantic day's trading, Livermore is broke. "The ticker beat me by lagging so far behind the market. The divergence between the printed and the actual prices undid me."

Age 24: Livermore returns to the bucket shops and wire houses. He intends gettings a stake together to trade the Stock Exchange again. He is back to dealing in sums of just thousands of dollars. He wins consistently. The wire houses try to swindle Livermore and he responds with several sting operations in which he manipulates prices of thinly traded stocks on the NYSE in order to take large amounts from the wire houses. After a year of successfully trading the wire houses, Livermore has accumulated enough money to buy an automobile and take on an expensive lifestyle. He returns to New York for the third time with a "fair sized roll."

Age 28: Makes a profit of 5.5 million dollars ($5,537,250) shorting stocks on a hunch that preceded the San Francisco earthquake.

Age 29: Loses $885,960 acting on a tip from Ed Harding.

Age 30: Livermore shorts the market during a crash and makes 21 million ($21,245,000). Buys a yacht then loses over 4 million dollars ($4,249,000) trading cotton.

Age 30 / 31: Livermore breaks his own trading rules - he takes advice from commodities expert Percy Thomas. Things go badly. Breaks his own trading rules again - increases his losing position in cotton and sells his winning position in wheat. Goes broke. Leaves New York and goes to Chicago where a trading house, aware of his ability, offers him limited finance for trading. Livermore is then summoned back to New York by Dan Williamson, owner of a Stock Exchange trading house. Williamson gives Livermore just over half a million dollars ($531,125) to resume trading. After three weeks trading, Livermore has made a profit of 2 million dollars ($2,379,440). Williamson interferes with his trading, buying and selling on Livermore's behalf, and runs up losses. Livermore walks away from the relationship.

Age 36: In several years of a flat market, with "no money to be made," Livermore's debts have grown to well over 20 million ($20,820,000) He declares bankruptcy. Of this, he later said, "My mind now being free to take up trading with some prospect of success, the next step was to get another stake."

Age 37: Livermore asks Dan Williamson for help. Williamson offers Livermore the (very small) facility to trade 500 shares. Livermore reads the tape for six weeks before making a trade - he needs to be 100 percent sure the trade will be profitable. Livermore buys Bethlehem Steel on high margin at $98. Steel is rising because of demand from World War I. The price moves upward as he expects and, as the stock rises, he buys more at $115. The following day he sells at $145. He has achieved what he set out to achieve - he has a sizeable stake again.

Age 38: After several months of successful trading, Livermore's balance stands at almost 3 million dollars ($2,989,030)

Age 38 / 39: Livermore plays the market perfectly - he is long when the market is strongly bullish and then goes short when it turns bearish. He makes over 57 million dollars ($57,303,000) profit and goes to Palm Beach for the winter.

Age 40: Livermore makes another 24 million dollars ($24,398,999) profit and pays back all his debts from 1914. He buys 13 million dollars ($13,012,799) worth of annuities to ensure his family has a secure income should he ever be wiped out in the markets again. He also puts money into trusts for his wife and son.

Age 44 / 45: Gives interviews to Edwin Lefèvre for a series of newspaper articles. The articles are then compiled into a book - Reminiscences of a Stock Operator - now regarded as a classic.

Age 46: Moves to custom-designed offices in the Hecksher Building, Fifth Avenue. Livermore wishes to be further removed from Wall Street gossip and to enjoy more secrecy for his trading operations.

Age 48: In the 1925 wheat market Livermore buys grain in 5 million bushel lots while the market is rising, turns bear at the top and sells 50 million bushels short for a profit of 118 million dollars ($118,970,000)

Age 52: Jesse Livermore's greatest moment as a trader. He goes short in the great crash of 1929 and makes a profit of around 1.2 billion dollars ($1,217,500,000)

Age 56: The police are called when Jesse Livermore apparently goes missing. One day after disappearing he returns home, walking unsteadily. He says he spent the night in a hotel and awoke with a blank mind. Reading newspaper headlines about his disappearance brought him to his senses. His doctor's verdict: "Amnesia nervous breakdown." Later in the year, Jesse Livermore is bankrupt. He has lost his entire trading fortune. How he did this is unknown. He is not destitute - his family annuities save the day. He and his wife sail to Europe. "I hope to relieve my mind of some of my troubles."

Age 62: Jesse Livermore writes How to Trade in Stocks - a book for people wishing to learn stock trading. The book is published.

Age 63: Jesse Livermore dies by his own hand, via a revolver bullet through the brain. He had been suffering from depression and in his suicide note he describes his life as a "failure".

Show me a man who has never failed...and i'll show you a man who has never done anything ! :smart:

My personal conclusion on Livermore was that he was an INCREDIBLE trader but a TERRIBLE money manager.

There is a difference.

If we want to make a long lasting business out of this then obviously we need to be consummate in both aspects.

But that does not detract from the fact that one can be highly skilled at timing transactions and winning consistently (the trading) but have weaknesses in risk management (the money management and business side of the game).

__________________

ok back on course..who in modern times could we compare to livermore? george sors? paul tudor jones? richard dennis?

Not sure of his name, but the guy i read about somewhere who made a packet trading gold starting with $40,000 ... he sounded similar .... he used what i think was one of Livermores tactics of pyramiding, buying more everytime gold went up $10 and also Livermores tactic of giving it all back to the market later :rolleyes:

That was Victor Niederhoffer. Another fantastic trader that makes a killing and then continually goes bust.

I think this is one of the central points that most people fail to grasp: it’s not how many times you fail, its how much you learn from each failure. I think that’s what most of the great traders have in common; they failed plenty of times, but they got back up and made sure that they didn’t make the same mistake twice.

I don’t look at monetary loss as being failure; I prefer to see it as a learning experience. I don’t believe that judging a person’s musical talent based on the fact that they committed suicide as being overly fair either.

I believe that both Livermore and Cobain are both good influences in their individual field. Livermore helped me – that’s all I know; I found him a lucid and intelligent individual. Cobain was – again, in my opinion – a fantastic musician and has been a great influence to many musicians.

Sometimes it’s necessary to look past the person to the real achievements; that’s the only way we can gain anything meaningful and lasting from what they have achieved.


To keep the other thread on course, I have started this one to discuss general 'greats' or not, as the case may be.

I still don't see how Livermore can be put on a pedestal as consistency is vital imo and whilst losses inevitable, even blowing a couple of accounts allowed, if you aren't in control of that within say 5 years, you only have half the skills of a great trader. Let alone the shooing himself part.
 
i know many wont agree but i consider john carter as one of the great traders...thats my personal opinion tho do dont tell me im wrong :)
 
He's put on a pedestal for his determination, and his general attitude towards the business of speculation, and for that he deserves respect. If I understand correctly, he also covered all debts incured following his bankrupcy, depite having no legal obligations to do so.
 
He's put on a pedestal for his determination, and his general attitude towards the business of speculation, and for that he deserves respect. If I understand correctly, he also covered all debts incured following his bankrupcy, depite having no legal obligations to do so.




What's the difference between determination and addiction?
 
Socrates said:
I don't have a quest any more, as I have cracked the lot, I promise you. Therefore I don't need to make any more explorations, or enquiries of any sort from anyone.

Socrates said:
Yes, quite so, and in addition to my post above I will tell you that the price in life terms is huge. Years, without seeing a film, or a day out, or a nightclub or a theatre or a funfair, and days and days of graft and long nights of the same often till the early hours with meals served on trays at one's desk until the problem was cracked. I remember leaving my house and walking down the street to be amazed to see everything changed. New shops, new restaurants, new bars, and then coming home and telling my wife who was not surprised but explained some of them had been gone for 3 months or more. The price enormous ~ the reward ~ beyond priceless ! Of course very few people are able or capable of putting a ship's hawser through the eye of a needle only because they were told in the first place that it could not be done. But if you dare to dare and persist against all odds, and if you have the right character, you will eventually succeed, and earn your right to true freedom beyond what you can imagine.
:idea:
 
What's the difference between determination and addiction?

I honestly dont know, but the difference is probably much closer than we'd like to admit. There do appear to be times in Livermore's life where he's not participating in the markets, which probably rules out addiction.
 
Peacock. Now he was a trader. Consistant, level headed, been in the game for years. He was the great in ROASO.
 
http://www.fullermoney.com/content/...visAboutModelsRiskAndAnimalSpirits22Oct07.pdf

http://www.risklatte.com/features/features001.pdf?func=download&id=11

“[Victor Niederhoffer] looked at markets as a casino where people act as gamblers and where
their behavior can be understood by studying gamblers. He regularly made small amounts of
money trading on that theory. There was a flaw in his approach, however. If there is a…tide...he
can be seriously hurt because he doesn’t have a proper fail-safe mechanism.”
George Soros

“In statistical terms, I figure I have traded about 2 million contracts…with an average profit of
$70 per contract. This average profit is approximately 700 standard deviations away from
randomness, a departure that that would occur by chance alone about as frequently as the
spare parts in an automotive salvage lot might spontaneously assemble themselves into a
McDonald’s restaurant.”

Victor Niederhoffer

a few more pieces ive just read about Niederhoffer .... still not sure if i would refer to him as a great trader :confused:
 
''Originally Posted by Genics
ok back on course..who in modern times could we compare to livermore? george sors? paul tudor jones? richard dennis?''

Ed Seykota me thinks...
 
Alright, who are the top 7 traders in the world ?

They are by popular consensus:~

John Arnold.

Jim Simmons.

Steven Cohen.

T Boone Pickens.

Paul Tudor Jones.

Eddie Lampert.

Stephen Feinberg.

Which of these is the youngest and which is the oldest ?

Next question:~:LOL:

Who are the bottom seven traders in the world ?


:idea:
 
ccclarette658 you should start a petition to get this Socrates character reinstated to t2win.... hes clearly top of your 7 best traders in the world :p
 
Dan Zanger:

$10,000 into $42m in 2 years during the DotCom boom.


I disagree, I know a guy who turned a few thousand into 20 odd million during the dot com- if you have a 'idea' that fits the market at that point in time then it’s easy. Doing it again and again when the market changes, is a different and far more skilled thing.

Having said that I dont know who this guy is, so for all I know he could be a very good trader indeed.
 
ccclarette658 you should start a petition to get this Socrates character reinstated to t2win.... hes clearly top of your 7 best traders in the world :p

On one hand doubt he would want to come back, on the other seriously doubt he would be allowed to. but one should never say never on any subject.

Perhaps it would be nice if ccclarette had an own opinion instead of posting ":idea:" all the time while quoting in purple ink, now there's an :idea: lol
 
Peacock. Now he was a trader. Consistant, level headed, been in the game for years. He was the great in ROASO.

Would that be Captain Peacock from the BBC classic "Are You Being Served" ?


Paul
 
On one hand doubt he would want to come back, on the other seriously doubt he would be allowed to. but one should never say never on any subject.

Perhaps it would be nice if ccclarette had an own opinion instead of posting ":idea:" all the time while quoting in purple ink, now there's an :idea: lol

Well, I have told you many times what my views are. I have views, I do not have opinions.
I have also explained to you the difference between one and the other.

:LOL:
 
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