You might or might not!! Obviously, if we knew we would take a position and sare insight with the "world".
Joking aside, I increasingly read about 2 schools of thought, nl
1. Bullish boty short term and long term, gold will continue ride to 450'ish but than retrace about 505 of its 3yr bull market down to $375, setting up for a multi-year bull taking it beyond $750,
2. Correction immediately ahead talking gold down sub $360, after which one should also expect a multi-year bull market.
Reasoning, short term is technical (eg overbought etc) and LT debasing of cuyurencies (esp USD) are overriding arguments of goldbugs.
Depends on many factors. If intention is to do occasional punts, |i would start with a spreadbetter. Otherwise, cheap access to mini gold contracts via InteractiveBroker. For access to full size pit contracts (GC), you would probably be best of using a full service commodities/metals broker.