Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

USD/JPY Steadies Ahead of Key Fed Speeches

The USD/JPY forex pair, representing the exchange rate between the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen, is a major currency pair widely followed for its sensitivity to both US monetary policy developments and Japan’s economic performance. It reflects the interplay between the Federal Reserve’s interest rate trajectory and the Bank of Japan’s inflation and growth outlook, making it a popular choice for traders seeking macro-driven opportunities. Today’s USD/JPY outlook is shaped by a heavy lineup of US events, including speeches from multiple Federal Reserve officials—Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic—each capable of signaling shifts in policy tone ahead of future FOMC decisions. Weekly US crude oil inventory data from both the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Administration (EIA) may also influence broader market sentiment and the dollar via risk appetite and inflation expectations. On the Japanese side, the latest Corporate Goods Price Index (CGPI) and preliminary machine tool orders data will be in focus as leading indicators of inflation and industrial momentum. Stronger-than-expected US Fed commentary paired with supportive oil market dynamics could lift the dollar, while upbeat Japanese pricing and manufacturing data might bolster the yen, setting the stage for potential volatility in USD/JPY as traders gauge interest rate differentials and economic resilience on both sides of the Pacific.
H4_USDJPY_Price-action-and-analysis-on-08.13.2025-.webp

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

Technically, the uploaded USD/JPY H4 chart shows the pair recovering modestly from a recent bearish wave, with price testing the flat Kijun-sen of the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a potential support area around 147. The RSI indicator reflects a shift from bearish momentum to bullish, currently hovering near the 50 neutral level, suggesting cautious optimism for upward price action. Key support zones lie near 147 and 146.2, while resistance levels are positioned at 148.5 and 149.3, highlighting critical areas to watch for potential breakouts or reversals. This aligns well with price action patterns on related pairs like USDJPY, where technical setups and fundamental catalysts combine to drive market sentiment.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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