Daily Market Analytics - Forex

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NZDUSD Technical Analysis – 12th MAR, 2025
NZDUSD – STOCHRSI remains Bullish

NZDUSD was unable to continue its Bearish momentum and after touching a low of 0.5680 the prices started to correct upwards against the United States Dollar today in the US Trading session.
The STOCHRSI remains Bullish in the 5-hourly timeframe.
Both the MACD and ADX are indicating a Bullish scenario.
The Ultimate Oscillator is at 53 indicating a BUY at the current market levels of 0.5725
Some of the technical indicators are giving a Bearish to Neutral stance indicating the presence of the Consolidation wave in the markets.
We will have to wait for the correct market levels to see whether a BUY can be placed.
We do not expect any signs of a pullback from the recent highs and now we are looking to continue a Bullish tendency above the 0.5700 levels.


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Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

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USDCAD Technical Analysis – 12th MAR, 2025
USDCAD – Near Resistance of Channel

USDCAD was unable to continue its Bullish momentum and after touching a high of 1.4515 the prices started to decline against the United States Dollar today in the Asian Trading session.
The prices are Near resistance of channel and Near resistance of triangle in the daily timeframe.
We have seen Bearish trend reversal: Moving Average 50 in the daily timeframe.
Also, the Bearish harami is present in the daily timeframe.
Both the STOCH and MACD are indicating a SELL at the current market levels of 1.4398
The Bull/Bear power and the price rate of change are both indicating a Bullish market.


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Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

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USDCHF Technical Analysis – 12th MAR, 2025
USDCHF – Near Support of Channel

USDCHF was unable to continue its Bearish momentum and after touching a low of 0.8760 the prices started to rise upwards against the United States Dollar today in the Asian Trading session.
The prices are ranging Near Support of Channel and Near support of triangle in the daily timeframe.
We have also detected the formation of Doji in the daily timeframe.
Both the STOCHRSI and Commodity channel Index are indicating a BUY.
We will have to wait for the correct Entry timings given the presence of the consolidation phase in the markets.
Some of the technical indicators are also giving a Bearish to Neutral stance in the markets indicating the presence of the Consolidation wave in the markets.
The Average Directional Range remains Neutral.


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Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

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USDJPY Technical Analysis – 12th MAR, 2025
USDJPY – Relative Strength Index is Bearish

USDJPY was unable to continue its Bullish momentum and after touching a high of 149.10 the prices started to decline against the United States Dollar today in the US Trading session.
The Relative Strength Index is Bearish in the hourly timeframe.
Both the STOCH and MACD are giving a SELL in the hourly timeframe.
A short-term bullish correction is also expected which will subside in the medium-term range.
Some of the technical indicators are also giving a Bullish to Neutral stance indicating the presence of the Consolidation wave in the markets.
The Ultimate Oscillator remains at 34 indicating a SELL at the current market levels of 147.75


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Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

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AUDUSD Technical Analysis – 04th DEC, 2025
AUDUSD – AUDUSD touched a high of 0.6619, testing a critical resistance zone

AUDUSD – Technical Analysis (04 Dec 2025)

Price Action Overview:
On December 4th, AUDUSD rallied to a high of 0.6619, brushing against a well-established resistance zone at 0.6620. The daily candlestick displayed a strong bullish body with limited lower shadows, reflecting firm buying interest and rejection of downside attempts. This price action signals that bulls are actively defending higher levels, but the resistance zone remains a formidable barrier.

Momentum Indicators:
• The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned around 65, showing strong bullish momentum but not yet in overbought territory. This suggests room for further upside before exhaustion.
• The MACD histogram remains positive, with the signal line diverging upward, reinforcing bullish bias.
• The Stochastic Oscillator is approaching the 80 level, warning of potential overbought conditions in the short term.

Moving Averages:
• The 20-day EMA is trending upward, confirming short-term bullish momentum.
• The 50-day SMA sits near 0.6550, acting as a strong support base.
• The alignment of shorter-term averages above longer-term ones reflects a healthy bullish structure.

Volatility & Volume:
• Bollinger Bands are expanding, indicating rising volatility and the potential for a breakout.
• Volume has increased alongside the rally, confirming genuine buying interest rather than speculative spikes.

Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Resistance: 0.6620 (critical cap). A breakout above this level would open the path toward 0.6700 and 0.6780.
• Immediate Support: 0.6550. A breakdown below this level could expose 0.6500 and 0.6450.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
• Daily Chart: Shows strong bullish candlestick formation, testing resistance.
• Weekly Chart: Higher lows confirm medium-term uptrend, with price pressing against the upper boundary of consolidation.
• Monthly Chart: Still reflects broader sideways consolidation, suggesting long-term neutrality until a decisive breakout occurs.

Fundamental Overlay:
AUD strength is supported by commodity demand, particularly in metals and energy, while USD weakness is driven by softer yields and dovish expectations around Federal Reserve policy. This fundamental backdrop aligns with the technical bullish bias.

Future Trend Outlook:
• Bullish Scenario: Sustained break above 0.6620 would confirm continuation, targeting 0.6700 initially and 0.6780 in the medium term.
• Bearish Scenario: Failure to clear resistance could trigger consolidation back toward 0.6550, with deeper correction possible toward 0.6500.
• Neutral Scenario: Continued sideways trading between 0.6550–0.6620 until macroeconomic catalysts provide direction.

Expert View:
AUDUSD is at a pivotal juncture. The resistance at 0.6620 is critical — holding below it keeps the pair in consolidation, while a breakout above it would signal renewed bullish momentum. Traders should monitor volume and momentum divergence closely, as these will provide early signals of whether the breakout attempt succeeds or fails.

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Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

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EURCHF Technical Analysis – 04th DEC, 2025
EURCHF – EURCHF touched 0.9347 but failed to sustain momentum, reflecting indecision

EURCHF – Technical Analysis (04 Dec 2025)

Price Action Overview:
On December 4th, EURCHF tested a high of 0.9347, brushing against a key resistance zone. However, the pair failed to sustain momentum and quickly retreated, leaving behind a Doji-like daily candlestick that signals hesitation and indecision among traders. This price action highlights the balance between euro buyers attempting to push higher and Swiss franc demand acting as a counterweight.

Momentum Indicators:
• The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 52, reflecting neutrality. The pair is neither overbought nor oversold, reinforcing the lack of conviction.
• The MACD lines are flat, with the histogram close to zero, showing no clear directional momentum.
• The Stochastic Oscillator sits mid-range, further confirming indecision.

Moving Averages:
• The 20-day EMA is flat, showing no short-term trend bias.
• The 50-day SMA is positioned near 0.9280, acting as a support zone.
• The lack of slope in both averages underscores the sideways nature of the market.

Volatility & Volume:
• Bollinger Bands are narrow, indicating compressed volatility and the potential for a breakout.
• Trading volume has declined, suggesting traders are waiting for a catalyst before committing to larger positions.

Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Resistance: 0.9350. A breakout above this level could open the path toward 0.9400 and 0.9450.
• Immediate Support: 0.9280. A breakdown below this level risks a slide toward 0.9220 and 0.9180.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
• Daily Chart: Shows indecision with a Doji candle, reflecting balance between buyers and sellers.
• Weekly Chart: The pair has been consolidating within a narrow band, with repeated failures to break higher.
• Monthly Chart: Still reflects a longer-term downtrend, with EURCHF struggling to establish sustained bullish momentum.

Fundamental Overlay:
The Swiss franc’s safe-haven appeal continues to cap euro strength, especially amid global uncertainty. ECB’s cautious stance and SNB’s interventions remain key drivers. Traders are closely watching central bank signals and risk sentiment for directional cues.

Future Trend Outlook:
• Bullish Scenario: A decisive break above 0.9350 would confirm renewed bullish momentum, targeting 0.9400 initially and 0.9450 in the medium term.
• Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above 0.9300 and a breakdown below 0.9280 would shift bias bearish, exposing 0.9220 and 0.9180.
• Neutral Scenario: Continued sideways trading between 0.9280–0.9350 until macroeconomic catalysts provide direction.

Expert View:
EURCHF is firmly in a consolidation phase. The inability to sustain above 0.9347 reflects market indecision and the dominance of CHF’s safe-haven demand. Traders should monitor volatility compression closely — narrow Bollinger Bands often precede sharp breakouts. A move beyond either 0.9350 or 0.9280 will likely set the tone for the next directional leg.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

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EURJPY Technical Analysis – 04th DEC, 2025
EURJPY – EURJPY dropped sharply to 180.70, marking a significant bearish move

EURJPY – Technical Analysis (04 Dec 2025)

Price Action Overview:
On December 4th, EURJPY experienced a sharp decline, hitting a low of 180.70. This move marked a decisive bearish shift after weeks of bullish momentum. The daily candlestick displayed a long downward body with minimal upper shadows, reflecting strong selling pressure and a lack of buyer defense at higher levels. The drop to 180.70 highlights the vulnerability of the euro against the yen, particularly as safe-haven flows into JPY intensified.

Momentum Indicators:
• The Relative Strength Index (RSI) fell to around 35, placing the pair in oversold territory. This suggests bearish momentum is strong but also warns of potential rebound attempts.
• The MACD lines crossed into negative territory, with the histogram expanding downward, confirming accelerating bearish momentum.
• The Stochastic Oscillator dropped below 20, reinforcing oversold conditions and signaling that sellers may be overextended in the short term.

Moving Averages:
• The 20-day EMA has turned downward, reflecting short-term bearish bias.
• The 50-day SMA is positioned near 182.00, now acting as overhead resistance.
• The alignment of shorter-term averages below longer-term ones indicates a corrective phase within the broader trend.

Volatility & Volume:
• Bollinger Bands widened significantly, confirming heightened volatility during the sell-off.
• Trading volume spiked, validating the strength of the bearish move and showing that sellers were aggressive in driving the decline.

Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Support: 180.50. A breakdown below this level could expose 180.00 and deeper toward 178.80.
• Immediate Resistance: 182.00. A rebound above this level would ease bearish pressure and open the path toward 183.50.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
• Daily Chart: Shows a strong bearish candle, confirming short-term downside momentum.
• Weekly Chart: Indicates reversal from recent highs, with price compressing into a corrective phase.
• Monthly Chart: Still reflects a broader bullish trend, but the current decline is a significant correction within that structure.

Fundamental Overlay:
The yen’s strength is being driven by safe-haven demand amid global uncertainty and speculation around BOJ policy adjustments. Meanwhile, euro sentiment has softened due to mixed economic data and cautious ECB guidance. This fundamental backdrop aligns with the technical bearish bias.

Future Trend Outlook:
• Bearish Scenario: A decisive break below 180.50 would confirm continuation of the downtrend, targeting 180.00 and 178.80 in the short term.
• Bullish Scenario: Oversold conditions could trigger a rebound toward 182.00. A sustained break above this resistance would shift bias back to neutral.
• Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between 180.50–182.00 until new macroeconomic catalysts emerge.

Expert View:
EURJPY’s sharp drop to 180.70 marks a critical turning point. The pair is oversold on multiple indicators, which raises the possibility of a short-term rebound. However, unless price reclaims 182.00, the broader bias remains bearish. Traders should closely monitor whether 180.50 holds as support — a breakdown here would signal deeper correction, while a rebound could provide a temporary relief rally.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

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EURUSD Technical Analysis – 04th DEC, 2025
EURUSD – EURUSD surged to 1.1681 and is trading near 1.1700, reflecting strong bullish momentum

EURUSD – Technical Analysis (04 Dec 2025)

Price Action Overview:
On December 4th, EURUSD rallied strongly, reaching a high of 1.1681 and consolidating near 1.1700. The daily candlestick displayed a wide bullish body with minimal lower shadows, confirming aggressive buying pressure and rejection of downside attempts. This move represents a breakout attempt from recent consolidation, with euro buyers firmly in control.

Momentum Indicators:
• The Relative Strength Index (RSI) climbed to around 70, signalling strong bullish momentum but also warning of potential overbought conditions.
• The MACD remains firmly positive, with widening histogram bars and upward divergence of the signal line, reinforcing bullish bias.
• The Stochastic Oscillator is above 80, suggesting short-term overbought conditions that could lead to minor pullbacks.

Moving Averages:
• The 20-day EMA is rising sharply, confirming short-term bullish strength.
• The 50-day SMA sits near 1.1600, acting as a strong support base.
• The alignment of shorter-term averages above longer-term ones reflects a healthy bullish structure.

Volatility & Volume:
• Bollinger Bands are expanding, indicating rising volatility and the potential for continuation.
• Trading volume has increased significantly, validating the strength of the bullish move and showing genuine buying interest.

Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Resistance: 1.1700 (psychological barrier). A breakout above this level opens the path toward 1.1750 and 1.1820.
• Immediate Support: 1.1600. A breakdown below this level could trigger a correction toward 1.1550.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
• Daily Chart: Shows a strong bullish candle, confirming short-term upside momentum.
• Weekly Chart: Breakout from consolidation, with price pressing against upper resistance zones.
• Monthly Chart: Confirms a long-term uptrend, with EURUSD building higher highs and higher lows.

Fundamental Overlay:
Euro strength is supported by improving economic sentiment in the Eurozone, while USD weakness is driven by softer yields and dovish expectations around Federal Reserve policy. This fundamental backdrop aligns with the
technical bullish bias.

Future Trend Outlook:
• Bullish Scenario: Sustained break above 1.1700 would confirm continuation, targeting 1.1750 initially and 1.1820 in the medium term.
• Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above 1.1700 could trigger profit-taking, leading to a pullback toward 1.1600.
• Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between 1.1600–1.1700 until new macroeconomic catalysts provide direction.

Expert View:
EURUSD is showing strong bullish momentum, with technical and fundamental factors aligned. The resistance at 1.1700 is pivotal — a decisive breakout would extend the rally, while rejection could lead to short-term consolidation. Traders should monitor momentum indicators closely, as divergence or exhaustion signals could precede corrective moves.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

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GBPJPY Technical Analysis – 04th DEC, 2025
GBPJPY – GBPJPY tested a low of 206.55, a critical support level

GBPJPY – Technical Analysis (04 Dec 2025)

Price Action Overview:
On December 4th, GBPJPY fell to a low of 206.55, pressing against a key support zone. The daily candlestick showed a bearish body with extended lower shadows, reflecting strong selling pressure but also some buyer defense at the support level. This price action highlights the importance of 206.50 as a pivot point — a breakdown here could trigger deeper declines, while a rebound would confirm the level’s strength.

Momentum Indicators:
• The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 40, indicating bearish momentum but not yet oversold. This suggests sellers are in control, though downside may be slowing.
• The MACD remains negative, with the histogram expanding downward, confirming bearish momentum.
• The Stochastic Oscillator is near 30, signalling weakness but also hinting at potential rebound if oversold conditions deepen.

Moving Averages:
• The 20-day EMA has turned downward, reflecting short-term bearish bias.
• The 50-day SMA is positioned near 207.50, now acting as immediate resistance.
• The alignment of shorter-term averages below longer-term ones confirms corrective pressure within the broader trend.

Volatility & Volume:
• Bollinger Bands are widening, showing increased volatility during the decline.
• Volume has risen, validating the strength of selling pressure and suggesting active participation from bears.

Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Support: 206.50. A breakdown below this level exposes 206.00 and deeper toward 205.20.
• Immediate Resistance: 207.50. A rebound above this level would ease bearish pressure and open the path toward 208.50.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
• Daily Chart: Shows a bearish candle testing support, with indecision around whether buyers can defend the level.
• Weekly Chart: Indicates reversal from recent highs, with price compressing into a corrective phase.
• Monthly Chart: Still reflects a broader bullish trend, but the current decline is a significant correction within that structure.

Fundamental Overlay:
The yen’s strength is being driven by safe-haven demand and speculation around BOJ policy adjustments. Meanwhile, GBP sentiment has softened due to mixed UK economic data and cautious Bank of England guidance. This fundamental backdrop aligns with the technical bearish bias.

Future Trend Outlook:
• Bearish Scenario: A decisive break below 206.50 would confirm continuation of the downtrend, targeting 206.00 and 205.20 in the short term.
• Bullish Scenario: If buyers defend 206.50 and push above 207.50, a rebound toward 208.50 could unfold.
• Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between 206.50–207.50 until new macroeconomic catalysts provide direction.

Expert View:
GBPJPY’s test of 206.55 marks a critical juncture. The pair is under pressure, but the support at 206.50 is pivotal — holding above it could trigger a rebound, while a breakdown would signal deeper correction. Traders should closely monitor volume and momentum indicators, as divergence or exhaustion signals could precede a reversal.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

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GBPUSD Technical Analysis – 04th DEC, 2025
GBPUSD – GBPUSD touched 1.3359 before pulling back to 1.3300

GBPUSD – Technical Analysis (04 Dec 2025)

Price Action Overview:
On December 4th, GBPUSD surged to a high of 1.3359, testing a critical resistance zone, before retreating to trade near 1.3300. The daily candlestick revealed a long upper shadow, reflecting profit-taking and selling pressure at higher levels. This price action suggests that while bulls remain in control, the resistance at 1.3360 is proving difficult to overcome, leading to short-term consolidation.

Momentum Indicators:
• The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 68, showing strong bullish momentum but nearing overbought territory.
• The MACD remains positive, with the histogram expanding upward, confirming bullish bias.
• The Stochastic Oscillator is near 75, signalling continued bullish momentum but caution near resistance.

Moving Averages:
• The 20-day EMA is trending upward, confirming short-term bullish strength.
• The 50-day SMA sits near 1.3250, acting as a strong support base.
• The alignment of shorter-term averages above longer-term ones reflects a healthy bullish structure.

Volatility & Volume:
• Bollinger Bands are expanding, indicating rising volatility and potential for continuation.
• Volume increased during the rally but tapered off during the pullback, suggesting profit-taking rather than aggressive selling.

Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Resistance: 1.3360. A breakout above this level would open the path toward 1.3400 and 1.3480.
• Immediate Support: 1.3300. A breakdown below this level could trigger a correction toward 1.3250 and 1.3200.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
• Daily Chart: Shows a bullish candle with rejection at highs, signalling resistance pressure.
• Weekly Chart: Breakout from consolidation, with price pressing against upper resistance zones.
• Monthly Chart: Confirms a long-term uptrend, with GBPUSD building higher highs and higher lows.

Fundamental Overlay:
Sterling strength is supported by improving UK economic sentiment and stable inflation expectations, while USD weakness is driven by softer yields and dovish Federal Reserve outlook. This fundamental backdrop aligns with the technical bullish bias.

Future Trend Outlook:
• Bullish Scenario: Sustained break above 1.3360 would confirm continuation, targeting 1.3400 initially and 1.3480 in the medium term.
• Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above 1.3300 could trigger profit-taking, leading to a pullback toward 1.3250.
• Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between 1.3300–1.3360 until new macroeconomic catalysts provide direction.

Expert View:
GBPUSD remains in a bullish structure, but the rejection at 1.3359 highlights resistance pressure. The support at 1.3300 is pivotal — holding above it keeps the pair poised for another breakout attempt, while a breakdown would signal deeper correction. Traders should monitor momentum indicators closely, as divergence or exhaustion signals could precede a reversal.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

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NZDUSD Technical Analysis – 04th DEC, 2025
NZDUSD – NZDUSD touched 0.5778 but retreated to 0.5800

NZDUSD – Technical Analysis (04 Dec 2025)

Price Action Overview:
On December 4th, NZDUSD tested a high of 0.5778 but failed to sustain momentum, retreating to hover near 0.5800. The daily candlestick showed rejection at higher levels, with a long upper shadow, reflecting selling pressure and profit-taking. This price action highlights the difficulty NZDUSD faces in breaking through resistance at 0.5800, leaving the pair vulnerable to consolidation or correction.

Momentum Indicators:
• The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 45, suggesting neutral-to-bearish momentum. The pair is neither oversold nor strongly bullish, reinforcing indecision.
• The MACD remains negative, with the histogram slightly below zero, confirming weak momentum and lack of conviction from buyers.
• The Stochastic Oscillator sits mid-range, showing no clear directional bias but hinting at potential downside if momentum fades further.

Moving Averages:
• The 20-day EMA is flat, reflecting short-term indecision.
• The 50-day SMA is positioned near 0.5720, acting as a key support zone.
• The lack of slope in both averages underscores the sideways nature of the market, with no strong trend dominance.

Volatility & Volume:
• Bollinger Bands remain narrow, indicating low volatility and the potential for a breakout once volume returns.
• Trading volume has declined, suggesting traders are cautious and waiting for a catalyst before committing to larger positions.

Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Resistance: 0.5800. A breakout above this level would open the path toward 0.5850 and 0.5900.
• Immediate Support: 0.5720. A breakdown below this level risks a slide toward 0.5700 and deeper to 0.5650.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
• Daily Chart: Shows rejection at highs, signalling resistance pressure.
• Weekly Chart: Consolidation phase, with repeated failures to break higher.
• Monthly Chart: Reflects a longer-term downtrend, with NZDUSD struggling to establish sustained bullish momentum.

Fundamental Overlay:
NZD weakness is driven by softer commodity prices and cautious Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) policy stance. Meanwhile, USD strength is supported by safe-haven demand and expectations of stable US yields. This fundamental backdrop aligns with the technical bearish bias.

Future Trend Outlook:
• Bullish Scenario: A decisive break above 0.5800 would confirm renewed bullish momentum, targeting 0.5850 initially and 0.5900 in the medium term.
• Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above 0.5778 and a breakdown below 0.5720 would shift bias bearish, exposing 0.5700 and 0.5650.
• Neutral Scenario: Continued sideways trading between 0.5720–0.5800 until macroeconomic catalysts provide direction.

Expert View:
NZDUSD remains trapped in a consolidation zone, with resistance at 0.5800 proving difficult to break. The rejection at 0.5778 highlights weak buying conviction. Unless the pair clears 0.5800 decisively, the bias leans bearish, with risk of retesting 0.5720. Traders should monitor commodity market trends and RBNZ policy signals closely, as these will likely dictate the next breakout direction.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

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USDCAD Technical Analysis – 04th DEC, 2025
USDCAD – USDCAD touched 1.3971, trading near 1.4000

USDCAD – Technical Analysis (04 Dec 2025)

Price Action Overview:
On December 4th, USDCAD tested a high of 1.3971 and consolidated near the psychological barrier of 1.4000. The daily candlestick showed indecision, with a relatively small body and wicks on both ends, reflecting a balance between buyers and sellers. This price action highlights the importance of the 1.4000 level as a pivot point — a breakout above could trigger bullish continuation, while rejection may lead to consolidation.

Momentum Indicators:
• The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 55, signalling neutral momentum with a slight bullish tilt.
• The MACD lines are flat, with the histogram hovering near zero, confirming a lack of strong directional bias.
• The Stochastic Oscillator sits mid-range, reinforcing indecision and suggesting the pair is neither overbought nor oversold.

Moving Averages:
• The 20-day EMA is flat, reflecting short-term consolidation.
• The 50-day SMA is positioned near 1.3920, acting as immediate support.
• The lack of slope in both averages underscores the sideways nature of the market, with no clear trend dominance.

Volatility & Volume:
• Bollinger Bands remain narrow, indicating low volatility and the potential for a breakout once volume returns.
• Trading volume has declined, suggesting traders are cautious and waiting for macroeconomic triggers before committing to larger positions.

Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Resistance: 1.4000. A breakout above this level would open the path toward 1.4050 and 1.4100.
• Immediate Support: 1.3920. A breakdown below this level risks a slide toward 1.3880 and deeper to 1.3820.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
• Daily Chart: Shows indecision near resistance, with price consolidating.
• Weekly Chart: Range-bound structure, with repeated tests of the 1.4000 level.
• Monthly Chart: Reflects a broader uptrend, with USDCAD building higher lows over time.

Fundamental Overlay:
The Canadian dollar remains sensitive to oil price movements. Any sharp decline in crude could weaken CAD further, supporting USDCAD’s bullish bias. Meanwhile, USD strength is capped by softer yields and dovish Federal Reserve expectations. This tug-of-war is keeping the pair range-bound near 1.4000.

Future Trend Outlook:
• Bullish Scenario: A decisive break above 1.4000 would confirm continuation, targeting 1.4050 initially and 1.4100 in the medium term.
• Bearish Scenario: Failure to clear 1.4000 and a breakdown below 1.3920 would shift bias bearish, exposing 1.3880 and 1.3820.
• Neutral Scenario: Continued sideways trading between 1.3920–1.4000 until macroeconomic catalysts (oil prices, Fed/BoC policy signals) provide direction.

Expert View:
USDCAD is at a pivotal juncture. The resistance at 1.4000 is critical — holding below it keeps the pair in consolidation, while a breakout above it would signal renewed bullish momentum. Traders should monitor oil price trends and central bank commentary closely, as these will likely dictate the next breakout direction.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

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USDCHF Technical Analysis – 04th DEC, 2025
USDCHF – USDCHF touched 0.8014 but declined sharply to 0.8000

USDCHF – Technical Analysis (04 Dec 2025)

Price Action Overview:
On December 4th, USDCHF tested a high of 0.8014 before reversing lower to close near 0.8000. The daily candlestick formed a bearish body with a long upper shadow, signalling rejection at higher levels and strong selling pressure. This sharp decline highlights the dominance of CHF’s safe-haven demand and the inability of USD to sustain gains.

Momentum Indicators:
• The Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped to around 40, reflecting bearish momentum and suggesting sellers are in control.
• The MACD lines remain negative, with the histogram expanding downward, confirming accelerating bearish bias.
• The Stochastic Oscillator is trending lower, reinforcing weakness and hinting at further downside potential.

Moving Averages:
• The 20-day EMA has turned downward, showing short-term bearish momentum.
• The 50-day SMA is positioned near 0.8050, now acting as overhead resistance.
• The alignment of shorter-term averages below longer-term ones confirms corrective pressure within the broader trend.

Volatility & Volume:
• Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating rising volatility during the decline.
• Trading volume spiked as the pair reversed lower, validating the strength of selling pressure.

Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Support: 0.7950. A breakdown below this level could expose 0.7900 and deeper toward 0.7850.
• Immediate Resistance: 0.8050. A rebound above this level would ease bearish pressure and open the path toward 0.8100.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
• Daily Chart: Shows a bearish candle rejecting highs, confirming downside momentum.
• Weekly Chart: Indicates reversal from recent highs, with price compressing into a corrective phase.
• Monthly Chart: Reflects a longer-term downtrend, with USDCHF struggling to establish sustained bullish momentum.

Fundamental Overlay:
CHF strength is driven by safe-haven demand amid global uncertainty and speculation around SNB policy. Meanwhile, USD sentiment is capped by softer yields and dovish Federal Reserve expectations. This fundamental backdrop aligns with the technical bearish bias.

Future Trend Outlook:
• Bearish Scenario: A decisive break below 0.7950 would confirm continuation of the downtrend, targeting 0.7900 and 0.7850 in the short term.
• Bullish Scenario: If buyers defend 0.8000 and push above 0.8050, a rebound toward 0.8100 could unfold.
• Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between 0.7950–0.8050 until new macroeconomic catalysts provide direction.

Expert View:
USDCHF’s rejection at 0.8014 and decline to 0.8000 underscores bearish dominance. The pair is vulnerable to further downside unless it reclaims 0.8050. Traders should closely monitor safe-haven flows and SNB commentary, as these will likely dictate the next breakout direction.

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Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

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USDJPY Technical Analysis – 04th DEC, 2025
USDJPY - USDJPY is at a pivotal juncture. The 154.70 support is critical

USDJPY – Technical Analysis (04 Dec 2025)

Price Action Overview:
On December 4th, USDJPY hovered near 154.80, with the 154.70 support emerging as a critical pivot zone. The daily candlestick showed indecision, with a relatively small body and shadows on both ends, reflecting hesitation among traders. This price action highlights the importance of 154.70 — holding above it keeps the pair in consolidation, while a breakdown would signal deeper correction.

Momentum Indicators:
• The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 42, suggesting neutral-to-bearish momentum. The pair is not oversold, but downside pressure is evident.
• The MACD lines are flat, with the histogram close to zero, confirming lack of strong directional momentum.
• The Stochastic Oscillator is near 35, reinforcing bearish bias but not yet oversold.

Moving Averages:
• The 20-day EMA is sideways, reflecting short-term consolidation.
• The 50-day SMA is positioned near 155.50, acting as immediate resistance.
• The lack of slope in both averages’ underscores indecision, with no clear trend dominance.

Volatility & Volume:
• Bollinger Bands are tightening, indicating reduced volatility and the potential for a breakout.
• Trading volume has been moderate, suggesting traders are waiting for a catalyst before committing to larger positions.

Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Support: 154.70. A breakdown below this level could expose 154.20 and deeper toward 153.80.
• Immediate Resistance: 155.50. A breakout above this level would open the path toward 156.20 and 157.00.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
• Daily Chart: Shows consolidation near support, with indecisive candles.
• Weekly Chart: Indicates a pause after a strong uptrend, with price compressing between 154.70–155.50.
• Monthly Chart: Still reflects a broader bullish trend, but current price action is corrective.

Fundamental Overlay:
The yen remains supported by safe-haven demand and speculation around BOJ policy adjustments. Meanwhile, USD strength is capped by softer yields and dovish Federal Reserve expectations. This tug-of-war is keeping USDJPY range-bound.

Future Trend Outlook:
• Bullish Scenario: A decisive break above 155.50 would confirm renewed bullish momentum, targeting 156.20 initially and 157.00 in the medium term.
• Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below 154.70 would shift bias bearish, exposing 154.20 and 153.80. Sustained weakness could extend toward 152.50 if yen strength accelerates.
• Neutral Scenario: Continued consolidation between 154.70–155.50 until macroeconomic catalysts (BOJ policy, US inflation data) provide direction.

Expert View:
USDJPY is at a pivotal juncture. The 154.70 support is critical — holding above it keeps the pair poised for bullish continuation, while a breakdown would signal deeper correction. Traders should monitor volume spikes and momentum divergence as early signals of the next breakout.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

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AUDUSD Technical Analysis – 17th DEC, 2025 – LONDON SESSION
AUDUSD – AUDUSD’s drop to 0.6612 marks a critical juncture. The pair is oversold on multiple indicators

AUDUSD – Technical Analysis (17 Dec 2025)

Price Action Overview:
On December 17th, AUDUSD dropped to a low of 0.6612, marking a notable bearish move after failing to sustain gains above the 0.6620 resistance zone earlier in the month. The daily candlestick showed a strong bearish body with limited lower shadows, reflecting decisive selling pressure and rejection of higher levels. This decline highlights the vulnerability of AUDUSD near critical support zones.

Momentum Indicators:
• The Relative Strength Index (RSI) fell to around 38, signalling bearish momentum and approaching oversold territory.
• The MACD lines crossed downward, with the histogram expanding negatively, confirming accelerating bearish bias.
• The Stochastic Oscillator dropped below 30, reinforcing oversold conditions and hinting at potential short-term rebound attempts.

Moving Averages:
• The 20-day EMA has turned downward, reflecting short-term bearish momentum.
• The 50-day SMA is positioned near 0.6650, now acting as overhead resistance.
• The alignment of shorter-term averages below longer-term ones confirms corrective pressure within the broader structure.

Volatility & Volume:
• Bollinger Bands widened during the decline, indicating heightened volatility.
• Volume spiked as the pair touched 0.6612, validating strong selling interest.

Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Support: 0.6610. A breakdown below this level could expose 0.6580 and deeper toward 0.6550.
• Immediate Resistance: 0.6650. A rebound above this level would ease bearish pressure and open the path toward 0.6700.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
• Daily Chart: Shows a strong bearish candle, confirming downside momentum.
• Weekly Chart: Indicates reversal from recent highs, with price compressing into a corrective phase.
• Monthly Chart: Still reflects a broader sideways consolidation, with AUDUSD struggling to establish sustained bullish momentum.

Fundamental Overlay:
AUD weakness is being driven by softer commodity demand and cautious Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) policy stance. Meanwhile, USD strength is supported by safe-haven flows and expectations of stable US yields. This fundamental backdrop aligns with the technical bearish bias.

Future Trend Outlook:
• Bearish Scenario: A decisive break below 0.6610 would confirm continuation of the downtrend, targeting 0.6580 and 0.6550 in the short term.
• Bullish Scenario: If buyers defend 0.6610 and push above 0.6650, a rebound toward 0.6700 could unfold.
• Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between 0.6610–0.6650 until new macroeconomic catalysts provide direction.

Expert View:
AUDUSD’s drop to 0.6612 marks a critical juncture. The pair is oversold on multiple indicators, raising the possibility of a short-term rebound. However, unless price reclaims 0.6650, the broader bias remains bearish. Traders should closely monitor commodity market trends and RBA commentary, as these will likely dictate the next breakout direction.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

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EURCHF Technical Analysis – 17th DEC, 2025 – LONDON SESSION
EURCHF – EURCHF’s drop to 0.9336 underscores bearish dominance

EURCHF – Technical Analysis (17 Dec 2025)

Price Action Overview:
On December 17th, EURCHF dropped to a low of 0.9336, marking a notable bearish move after failing to sustain momentum above the 0.9350 resistance zone earlier in the month. The daily candlestick displayed a bearish body with a long lower shadow, reflecting strong selling pressure but also some buyer defense near the lows. This price action highlights indecision and the importance of the 0.9330–0.9350 zone as a pivot area.

Momentum Indicators:
• The Relative Strength Index (RSI) fell to around 42, signalling bearish momentum but not yet oversold.
• The MACD lines remain negative, with the histogram expanding downward, confirming bearish bias.
• The Stochastic Oscillator is near 30, suggesting weakness but also hinting at potential rebound attempts if oversold conditions deepen.

Moving Averages:
• The 20-day EMA has turned downward, reflecting short-term bearish momentum.
• The 50-day SMA is positioned near 0.9400, now acting as overhead resistance.
• The alignment of shorter-term averages below longer-term ones confirms corrective pressure within the broader structure.

Volatility & Volume:
• Bollinger Bands widened during the decline, indicating rising volatility.
• Volume spiked as the pair touched 0.9336, validating strong selling interest and suggesting active participation from bears.

Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Support: 0.9330. A breakdown below this level could expose 0.9300 and deeper toward 0.9280.
• Immediate Resistance: 0.9400. A rebound above this level would ease bearish pressure and open the path toward 0.9450.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
• Daily Chart: Shows a bearish candle testing support, with indecision around whether buyers can defend the level.
• Weekly Chart: Indicates reversal from recent highs, with price compressing into a corrective phase.
• Monthly Chart: Still reflects a longer-term downtrend, with EURCHF struggling to establish sustained bullish momentum.

Fundamental Overlay:
The Swiss franc’s safe-haven appeal continues to cap euro strength, especially amid global uncertainty. ECB’s cautious stance and SNB’s interventions remain key drivers. This fundamental backdrop aligns with the technical bearish bias.

Future Trend Outlook:
• Bearish Scenario: A decisive break below 0.9330 would confirm continuation of the downtrend, targeting 0.9300 and 0.9280 in the short term.
• Bullish Scenario: If buyers defend 0.9330 and push above 0.9400, a rebound toward 0.9450 could unfold.
• Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between 0.9330–0.9400 until new macroeconomic catalysts provide direction.

Expert View:
EURCHF’s drop to 0.9336 underscores bearish dominance but also highlights the importance of support near 0.9330. The pair is vulnerable to further downside unless it reclaims 0.9400. Traders should closely monitor safe-haven flows and ECB/SNB commentary, as these will likely dictate the next breakout direction.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

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EURJPY Technical Analysis – 17th DEC, 2025 – LONDON SESSION
EURJPY – EURJPY’s drop to 181.56 marks a critical juncture

EURJPY – Technical Analysis (17 Dec 2025)

Price Action Overview:
On December 17th, EURJPY dropped sharply to a low of 181.56, marking a significant bearish move after failing to sustain gains above the 182.50 zone earlier in the week. The daily candlestick showed a strong bearish body with limited upper shadows, reflecting decisive selling pressure and yen strength. This decline highlights the vulnerability of EURJPY near critical support zones.

Momentum Indicators:
• The Relative Strength Index (RSI) fell to around 37, signalling bearish momentum and approaching oversold territory.
• The MACD lines crossed downward, with the histogram expanding negatively, confirming accelerating bearish bias.
• The Stochastic Oscillator dropped below 25, reinforcing oversold conditions and hinting at potential short-term rebound attempts.

Moving Averages:
• The 20-day EMA has turned downward, reflecting short-term bearish momentum.
• The 50-day SMA is positioned near 183.00, now acting as overhead resistance.
• The alignment of shorter-term averages below longer-term ones confirms corrective pressure within the broader structure.

Volatility & Volume:
• Bollinger Bands widened during the decline, indicating heightened volatility.
• Volume spiked as the pair touched 181.56, validating strong selling interest and suggesting active participation from bears.

Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Support: 181.50. A breakdown below this level could expose 181.00 and deeper toward 179.80.
• Immediate Resistance: 183.00. A rebound above this level would ease bearish pressure and open the path toward 184.20.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
• Daily Chart: Shows a strong bearish candle, confirming downside momentum.
• Weekly Chart: Indicates reversal from recent highs, with price compressing into a corrective phase.
• Monthly Chart: Still reflects a broader bullish trend, but the current decline is a significant correction within that structure.

Fundamental Overlay:
The yen’s strength is being driven by safe-haven demand amid global uncertainty and speculation around BOJ policy adjustments. Meanwhile, euro sentiment has softened due to mixed Eurozone economic data and cautious ECB guidance. This fundamental backdrop aligns with the technical bearish bias.

Future Trend Outlook:
• Bearish Scenario: A decisive break below 181.50 would confirm continuation of the downtrend, targeting 181.00 and 179.80 in the short term.
• Bullish Scenario: If buyers defend 181.50 and push above 183.00, a rebound toward 184.20 could unfold.
• Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between 181.50–183.00 until new macroeconomic catalysts provide direction.

Expert View:
EURJPY’s drop to 181.56 marks a critical juncture. The pair is oversold on multiple indicators, raising the possibility of a short-term rebound. However, unless price reclaims 183.00, the broader bias remains bearish. Traders should closely monitor BOJ commentary and Eurozone data releases, as these will likely dictate the next breakout direction.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

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EURUSD Technical Analysis – 17th DEC, 2025 – LONDON SESSION
EURUSD – EURUSD’s drop to 1.1703 underscores bearish dominance

EURUSD – Technical Analysis (17 Dec 2025)

Price Action Overview:
On December 17th, EURUSD dropped to a low of 1.1703, marking a notable bearish correction after failing to sustain momentum above the 1.1750 zone earlier in the week. The daily candlestick displayed a bearish body with a long lower shadow, reflecting strong selling pressure but also some buyer defense near the lows. This price action highlights the importance of the 1.1700 support zone as a critical pivot level.

Momentum Indicators:
• The Relative Strength Index (RSI) fell to around 40, signalling bearish momentum but not yet oversold.
• The MACD lines crossed downward, with the histogram expanding negatively, confirming accelerating bearish bias.
• The Stochastic Oscillator dropped near 30, suggesting weakness but also hinting at potential rebound attempts if oversold conditions deepen.

Moving Averages:
• The 20-day EMA has turned downward, reflecting short-term bearish momentum.
• The 50-day SMA is positioned near 1.1750, now acting as overhead resistance.
• The alignment of shorter-term averages below longer-term ones confirms corrective pressure within the broader structure.

Volatility & Volume:
• Bollinger Bands widened during the decline, indicating heightened volatility.
• Volume spiked as the pair touched 1.1703, validating strong selling interest and suggesting active participation from bears.

Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Support: 1.1700. A breakdown below this level could expose 1.1670 and deeper toward 1.1620.
• Immediate Resistance: 1.1750. A rebound above this level would ease bearish pressure and open the path toward 1.1800.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
• Daily Chart: Shows a bearish candle testing support, with indecision around whether buyers can defend the level.
• Weekly Chart: Indicates reversal from recent highs, with price compressing into a corrective phase.
• Monthly Chart: Still reflects a longer-term uptrend, but the current decline is a significant correction within that structure.

Fundamental Overlay:
Euro sentiment has softened due to mixed Eurozone economic data and cautious ECB guidance, while USD strength is supported by safe-haven flows and expectations of stable US yields. This fundamental backdrop aligns with the technical bearish bias.

Future Trend Outlook:
• Bearish Scenario: A decisive break below 1.1700 would confirm continuation of the downtrend, targeting 1.1670 and 1.1620 in the short term.
• Bullish Scenario: If buyers defend 1.1700 and push above 1.1750, a rebound toward 1.1800 could unfold.
• Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between 1.1700–1.1750 until new macroeconomic catalysts provide direction.

Expert View:
EURUSD’s drop to 1.1703 underscores bearish dominance but also highlights the importance of support near 1.1700. The pair is vulnerable to further downside unless it reclaims 1.1750. Traders should closely monitor ECB commentary and US economic data releases, as these will likely dictate the next breakout direction.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...

 

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GBPJPY Technical Analysis – 17th DEC, 2025 – LONDON SESSION
GBPJPY – GBPJPY’s drop to 207.05 underscores bearish dominance

GBPJPY – Technical Analysis (17 Dec 2025)

Price Action Overview:
On December 17th, GBPJPY fell to a low of 207.05, marking a significant test of a critical support zone. The daily candlestick showed a bearish body with a long lower shadow, reflecting strong selling pressure but also buyer defense near the lows. This price action highlights indecision at a pivotal level — whether the pair will rebound or break lower.

Momentum Indicators:
• The Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped to around 39, signalling bearish momentum and approaching oversold territory.
• The MACD lines remain negative, with the histogram expanding downward, confirming bearish bias.
• The Stochastic Oscillator is near 25, reinforcing oversold conditions and hinting at potential short-term rebound attempts.

Moving Averages:
• The 20-day EMA has turned downward, reflecting short-term bearish momentum.
• The 50-day SMA is positioned near 208.50, now acting as overhead resistance.
• The alignment of shorter-term averages below longer-term ones confirms corrective pressure within the broader structure.

Volatility & Volume:
• Bollinger Bands widened during the decline, indicating heightened volatility.
• Volume spiked as the pair touched 207.05, validating strong selling interest and suggesting active participation from bears.

Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Support: 207.00. A breakdown below this level could expose 206.50 and deeper toward 205.80.
• Immediate Resistance: 208.50. A rebound above this level would ease bearish pressure and open the path toward 209.50.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
• Daily Chart: Shows a bearish candle testing support, with indecision around whether buyers can defend the level.
• Weekly Chart: Indicates reversal from recent highs, with price compressing into a corrective phase.
• Monthly Chart: Still reflects a broader bullish trend, but the current decline is a significant correction within that structure.

Fundamental Overlay:
The yen’s strength is being driven by safe-haven demand and speculation around BOJ policy adjustments. Meanwhile, GBP sentiment has softened due to mixed UK economic data and cautious Bank of England guidance. This fundamental backdrop aligns with the technical bearish bias.

Future Trend Outlook:
• Bearish Scenario: A decisive break below 207.00 would confirm continuation of the downtrend, targeting 206.50 and 205.80 in the short term.
• Bullish Scenario: If buyers defend 207.00 and push above 208.50, a rebound toward 209.50 could unfold.
• Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between 207.00–208.50 until new macroeconomic catalysts provide direction.

Expert View:
GBPJPY’s drop to 207.05 underscores bearish dominance but also highlights the importance of support near 207.00. The pair is vulnerable to further downside unless it reclaims 208.50. Traders should closely monitor BOJ commentary and UK economic data releases, as these will likely dictate the next breakout direction.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

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GBPUSD Technical Analysis – 17th DEC, 2025 – LONDON SESSION
GBPUSD – GBPUSD’s drop to 1.3311 underscores bearish dominance

GBPUSD – Technical Analysis (17 Dec 2025)

Price Action Overview:
On December 17th, GBPUSD dropped to a low of 1.3311, marking a notable bearish correction after failing to sustain momentum above the 1.3360 resistance zone earlier in the month. The daily candlestick showed a bearish body with a long lower shadow, reflecting strong selling pressure but also some buyer defense near the lows. This price action highlights the importance of the 1.3300 support zone as a critical pivot level.

Momentum Indicators
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): Fell to around 41, signalling bearish momentum but not yet oversold.
• MACD: Lines crossed downward, with the histogram expanding negatively, confirming accelerating bearish bias.
• Stochastic Oscillator: Near 30, suggesting weakness but also hinting at potential rebound attempts if oversold conditions deepen.

Moving Averages
• 20-day EMA: Turned downward, reflecting short-term bearish momentum.
• 50-day SMA: Positioned near 1.3360, now acting as overhead resistance.
• The alignment of shorter-term averages below longer-term ones confirms corrective pressure within the broader structure.

Volatility & Volume
• Bollinger Bands: Widened during the decline, indicating heightened volatility.
• Volume: Spiked as the pair touched 1.3311, validating strong selling interest and suggesting active participation from bears.

Support & Resistance Levels
• Immediate Support: 1.3300. A breakdown below this level could expose 1.3270 and deeper toward 1.3220.
• Immediate Resistance: 1.3360. A rebound above this level would ease bearish pressure and open the path toward 1.3400.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis
• Daily Chart: Shows a bearish candle testing support, with indecision around whether buyers can defend the level.
• Weekly Chart: Indicates reversal from recent highs, with price compressing into a corrective phase.
• Monthly Chart: Still reflects a broader bullish trend, but the current decline is a significant correction within that structure.

Fundamental Overlay
Sterling sentiment has softened due to mixed UK economic data and cautious Bank of England guidance, while USD strength is supported by safe-haven flows and expectations of stable US yields. This fundamental backdrop aligns with the technical bearish bias.

Future Trend Outlook
• Bearish Scenario: A decisive break below 1.3300 would confirm continuation of the downtrend, targeting 1.3270 and 1.3220 in the short term.
• Bullish Scenario: If buyers defend 1.3300 and push above 1.3360, a rebound toward 1.3400 could unfold.
• Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between 1.3300–1.3360 until new macroeconomic catalysts provide direction.

Expert View
GBPUSD’s drop to 1.3311 underscores bearish dominance but also highlights the importance of support near 1.3300. The pair is vulnerable to further downside unless it reclaims 1.3360. Traders should closely monitor Bank of England commentary and US economic data releases, as these will likely dictate the next breakout direction.

#fxopen #forex #forexanalysis

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check ...