And, I have an equally dark suspicion that you really don’t know what you are talking about – but what else is new. Any Moderator could have told you eons ago that there is only “nick” on this board sharing this information with all others contributing their questions, thoughts and commentary. So, posting your “deep dark” suspicious only reveals your ulterior motives as being less than on the level.
Therefore, it is impossible to trade a "trend". It is not only logically impossible, but physically impossible as well. In fact, mathematically speaking it does not even rank as a Probability because it has not physical existence whatsoever. One cannot trade what does not exist – period. No amount of wondering around the deep end of a very shallow pool of interpretation is going to bring into existence that which cannot possibly exist. LOL!
If you don't wait until the trend becomes a "trend", then you don’t even know what you are trading, if you call yourself a “trend trader”. In a sequence of numerical values ranging from 1 through 100 and repeating at intervals of 24 hours, you can instantly know that if you are on number 37 in the range count that exactly 63 “future” points of data exist. If those 63 points of data don’t
ALREADY EXIST then you have NO trend – rather – a Probability. A basic (junior) lesson on Statistics and Probabilities would clear this up for you.
Trends, by their very definition are
Projections. That by definition means they DO NOT already exist in space and/or time. They are not physical manifestations of anything that has already occurred. And, if it has not already occurred - it cannot possibly be a component of a “trend”. The cart does not come before the horse and it never has.
LOL! Now, that was funny!
"Trendhood"? Please define "trendhood"? What is the "trend" of the EURUSD right now AND how did you go about defining it? Be very careful with the answer you give because it is a definite logic trap. Any answer you give will torch your own argument that trends exist. Your own statements argues against your position and you don’t even know it – LOL!
1) Tell us what the "current" trend is for the EURUSD right now?
2) Tell us how you determined what that trend was?
3) Be prepared to have your argument exposed as being illogical at the core.
Define "trendness"? I don't care whether it is 10 days or 10 years - define "trendness"? Your very definition will expose the fact that trends CANNOT exist in reality.
The problem with conventional wisdom is that it will always (100% of the time) get trumped by a
new and better idea. Until you understand what a Trajectory is and is not, you will never be able to see it, understand it or fully appreciate why it trumps “trend think”. My personal trading results speak for themselves and have been for years in this business. I personally, don’t have to make another trade another day in my life and could live any lifestyle I so selected. I don’t trade because I need money – I trade because my Projects need funding well beyond the norm. TCDs allow me the comfort of having direct experience with consistent trading – not trends.
No - to the contrary. I chuckle at people trying to debunk things they know nothing about - that's what I find so funny.
And, at the same time suffering under the delusion that something that CANNOT possibly exist in the known universe is the basis for their success as a trader.
Trend traders (many of them - not all of them) don't even understand the language they are using. They are using language handed to them without understanding the mathematical, logical or physical constraints built into the language itself! That's what I find so funny. The only thing you can possible do is trade a
Probability! Deluding one’s self into thinking that they are doing anything more or less than that, is what I find so amusing – LOL! Saying that one is trading something that in fact has not happened yet, is what I find amusing.
Projections and Predictions are all we have as traders and nothing more. Unless you can Regress time itself – which means engage in some sort of Time Travel to a point along the path of price itself, enter a trade from
WITHIN the trend and then emerge at some point down-line in the “future” (which would not actually be the future anymore), then you are deluding yourself.
You did not know it before you made this post, but everything you are saying has to do with the Laws of Physics as we know them. In order for you to be able to trade that which does not exist, you would need to violate the Laws of Thermodynamics and specially the Laws of Entropy as it is prescribed for Energy and Mass. These are long standing rules of our physical universe that have NEVER been broken as far as we know.
LOL! Do you really want to have this conversation? This is all about Physics and NOT about Trading. You are not arguing with me. You just happen to be arguing with the laws that govern our planet, solar system, galaxy and every known and unknown star in the known and unknown universe. But, of course – you had to know that before making this post.
This is a Physics question. Not a question of Trading “trends”. What’s more funny – it always has been!
All I’ve done was simply apply the laws of physics to my thinking about trading. When I did that, it became crystal clear that I needed to find a better way to describe what I was actually doing in the markets every 24 hours. Trend language is simply too inadequate for my style of trading. It does not even begin to come close to describing Price Behavior at the micro-level.
TCDs are like the DNA of Price Behavior. It represents an entirely new realm of understanding and describing Price action on a level that “trends” simply are unaware of. Until you can see the TCD, you will always think that “trends” exist. Which in and of itself, is not logical.
In fact, believing in “trends” requires an even greater imagination than what I do – LOL! How funny - yet how amazingly true.
But, hey – since it works for you – more power to you.
Lastly, you don't know me (that's a joke). You don't know my "personality" (that's an even bigger joke) and most importantly you are correct - you do have a limited knowledge of this system and its most basic principles. The thing I find most revealing are those that would pretend to know me, this system or why “trends” exist.
Take the best Prosecuting Attorney on planet earth and give him/her the assignment of proving to a Judge and a Jury that “trends exist” in the way that most conventionalist traders say they do, and I’ll beat that Attorney every single time by asking him/her one single question:
How did you MEASURE the trend?
What the Prosecutor opens his/her mouth to give an answer; they will have already lost the case. Because in order to “describe” a “trend”, he/she would FIRST need to prove that it exists. And, that is physically, mathematically, and logically impossible to do simply because a “trend” is a “metaphor” used to describe a “past event”, or “serious of past events”. Thus, it is non-logical to describe in real-time something having a physical existence BEFORE it exists. LOL!
So, are we to consider "Trendhood" - or - Physics? You decide! LOL!
