Recent content by Ultima markets

PCE Price Index Becomes Market Key, U.S. Dollar Risk Reversal Today’s main market focus centers on the delayed September PCE Price Index, which will be the critical indicator driving market movement this week following mixed labor market data. As market expectations for a December rate cut by...

Risk appetite has rebounded strongly, prompting investors to actively “buy on dips” Market sentiment shifted rapidly from cautious to optimistic today. Despite a hawkish signal from the Bank of Japan earlier this week, strong expectations for a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve once again...

Policy disagreements dominate global markets; silver hits record high, USD/JPY under pressure Global markets opened today caught in a tug-of-war between policy uncertainty and structural changes. Despite limited volatility on Monday, the latest macroeconomic news has revealed a clear policy...

The outlook for the US dollar and stock market hinges on the Powell and PCE test Dollar and Stock Market Outlook: The market is focused on Powell and the upcoming PCE data. The market has already priced in a near 90% probability of a Fed rate cut in December, putting technical pressure on the...

Silver hits new high again: Will $54 trigger a breakout or a double top reversal? XAGUSD Daily Chart Analysis The daily chart presents a strong bullish configuration . The market is currently at the breakout level of $53.91 . Key resistance : The most immediate and critical resistance lies...

PPI data confirms dovish shift, dollar breaks below key support September’s moderate decline in PPI confirmed a dovish shift by the Federal Reserve, causing the dollar to break below key support and significantly increasing expectations for a December rate cut. The weaker dollar boosted gold...

With the market betting on a December rate cut, the PPI has become the focus Waller supports a December rate cut, solidifying the Fed’s dovish stance and raising the probability of a rate cut to 80%. Today’s PPI data is crucial and will determine whether the dollar can hold the 100 mark. Today...

Policy Shift: Dovish Signals Boost Expectations of a December Rate Cut A surge in expectations of a December rate cut weighed on the dollar, while continued valuation concerns in the technology sector limited risk sentiment. The market is focused on the inflation data gap, PPI trends, and the...

Mixed employment data and hawkish realities impact the stock market Global stock markets weakened, and Nvidia’s strong earnings report couldn’t offset the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance. Mixed non-farm payroll data dampened expectations of interest rate cuts, leading to a more cautious market...

AI rebound saves the day, dollar dominates trend: non-farm payrolls become the next trigger Tech stocks triumph: Nvidia ends its losing streak Nvidia’s third-quarter earnings report, released after the market closed yesterday, delivered a decisive positive surprise, immediately ending a four-day...

Ahead of Nvidia’s earnings report, global stock markets are facing a “final exam” for tech stocks On November 19, 2025, global stock markets continued their correction. The three major US stock indices, the European STOXX 600, the German DAX, the UK FTSE 100, and major Asian markets all closed...

Markets prepare for Nvidia’s earnings report; risk appetite cools ahead of the data release Market sentiment turned cautious as investors awaited Nvidia’s earnings report and delayed U.S. economic data (NFP, CPI, PCE). Hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve weakened expectations of rate cuts...

Policy Pause and Valuation Concerns: Market Sentiment Shifts to Caution Expectations for a December Fed rate cut have cooled significantly, with market sentiment shifting from risk-on to risk-averse. Technology stock valuations are under pressure, and investors are focused on Nvidia’s earnings...

Global sell-off: AI valuation concerns and a hawkish turn in the Fed’s outlook Global stock markets and cryptocurrencies experienced a sharp sell-off due to concerns about AI valuations and uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policies. Yesterday, the market digested the aftershocks of a...

With the US government shutdown nearing its end, focus shifts to a “data deluge.” The US government shutdown is nearing its end, and the market is focused on lagging economic data. The US dollar is consolidating, while gold is rising amid uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve and a backlog...