Yellowlion's EURUSD Trading Journal

11/11/08 06:00 GMT Session Open

Good Morning All,


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10yr US T-Note
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11/13/08 06:45 GMT Session Open

Good Morning All,

Just got internet back from Verizon doing maintenance so no analysis tonight.

I will say that I smell a killer rally in equities. I'm looking for the low to be taken out in the S&P 500 accompanied by an odour of despondency as the launch pad. It would be nicely confirmed if EURUSD did not make a fresh low during the process and that also will be a buy. Ideally an entry would be mid-morning US. If not today will re-assess for Friday.
 
11/14/08 04:30 GMT Session Open

Good Morning All and Happy Friday,

Sometimes things just fall into place. The set-up mentioned last session went off without a hitch putting 407 pips on EURUSD off the US equity low. My 10yr Treasury Note target also was hit at the low putting all the stars into alignment. For those who follow my newsletter you know the seminal idea for that trade was the price of NYMEX Crude.


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10yr US T-Note
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11/17/08 05:00 GMT Session Open

Good Morning All,

Hope everyone had a splendid autumn weekend. Wildfires here, not pretty.


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10yr US T-Note
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No real change in COT positioning. Specs still do not want to get long.
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11/20/08 06:15 Gmt

Good Morning All,

In way late from my normal Wednesday meeting. No report tonight other than to say the US Dollar is currently not making fresh lows against the Euro while US equities are.
 
11/24/08 04:30 GMT Session Open

Good Morning All,


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10yr US T-Note
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Some nibbling on the long side in this week's COT report but nothing special. I suspected nothing much this week and a noticable increase in spec longs next week but price action on Friday now has me a bit less enthusiastic and more observant.

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11/25/08 06:00 GMT Session Open

Good Morning All,

One month to Santa.


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10yr US T-Note
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11/27/08 06:00 GMT Session Open

Good Morning All,

Wishing all in the US a Happy Thanksgiving.

Holiday weekend for me. I'll keep one eye open though remembering the Thanksgiving Day breakout of 2006.

See you Monday morning.
 
12/01/08 06:30 GMT Session Open

Good Morning All,

Hope everyone had a splended weekend.

Just woke up from an unexpected long near-winter's nap. Sweet. But now I'm behind schedule

Thought I'd post my working 4 hour chart tonight as an idea of what I'm looking at.

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12/02/08 05:45 GMT Session Open

Good Morning All,

Just got in from a meeting at Chino State Correctional Facility which is a bit of a drive from here at the beach so no analysis tonight. Hit me on Yahoo! IM if you would like to know my daily EURUSD.
 
12/03/08 06:15 Session Open

Good Morning All,

Sorry Folks. Got a busy schedule this week, just got in from an evening with friends, tomorrow is my usual Wednesday meeting and Thursday I've a meeting in Anaheim.

As always, I'll share my ideas on Yahoo IM!
 
12/05/08 06:00 GMT Session Open

Good Morning All and Happy Friday,

Busy this week but had to make a contribution on US Payrolls day.

Here's my 8 hour.

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12/08/08 05:00 GMT Session Open

Good Morning All,

Hope everyone got some Holiday Cheer this weekend.


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4hr
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Commercials have been increasing long positions but speculative interest remains tepid. Dollar Index Spec short interest is at 2.1% and does nothing but cloud the picture.
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12/12/08 08:00 GMT Session Open

Good Morning All and Happy Friday,

Had a glitch with one of my computers' BIOS chips on Monday. Unfortunately I misdiagnosed the problem early on and lost a long week's worth of work. I ran out of the office on Friday for a retreat weekend and didn't back up the week's data. Perfect storm kinda thing. Just back to full operation today but all my recent chart analysis is lost and needs to be rebuilt over the next couple days. So I'm wishing all a great weekend and I'll see you on Monday.

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