Munchie "the noob" dude's Virgin Trading journal

This is a discussion on Munchie "the noob" dude's Virgin Trading journal within the Trading Journals forums, part of the New Traders category; Originally Posted by Pazienza Why are they looked down on? I suppose everyone has their own reasons but I don't ...

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Old Aug 17, 2011, 8:28am   #97
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Why are they looked down on? I suppose everyone has their own reasons but I don't like them for one because I don't see that they add anything.

For example, MACD divergence. I have no problem with divergence, but the fact is you don't need MACD to see it. I mean you can eyeball it. Same with fib retracements (I don't use those either) - if you like to know that a move has retraced 50% or so, fine. But you can just see that.

I guess a major problem comes where people think the market is doing something because the indicator is doing something. That to me is just crazy.

The main reason that I don't like them is I think they obscure what is going on, they prevent you from focussing on what is important, which is what is really driving the market.

I suppose also that they tend to encourage the belief that there is something that has predictive power, if only you get it right, which is boll0cks.

Maybe another reason is scam vendors seem to love indicator systems. Indicators are pretty severely lagging, another reason. I don't know really, lots of things I suppose.
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Originally Posted by rathcoole_exile View Post
and HOW ON EARTH is calling indicators "shyte" an insult to YOU ???
I really think you are too feeble for the dog-eat-dog world of trading.
If you can't take a bit of heat, you're really not cut out for trading.

I think you should pack up now. There, how's that for constructive feedback ?

Take a look at these boys, YOU wouldn't last five minutes, you little cry-baby
http://www.babelgum.com/channels/180638/clips/5003507
pathetic.
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Old Aug 17, 2011, 8:29am   #98
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everyone's approach is different i suppose. my understanding is that once traders become experienced, price action/naked trading without indicators is easier as individuals know what they are looking at.

i also feel that interpreting price action and what the market is telling is and really getting into the minds of the mass psychology is the winning approach.

whilst i appreciate that indicators are at best unreliable and at worse totally useless, why are they so looked down on? after all, the MACD is just a visual representation of convergence/divergence of the moving average? and since MA crossovers is a viable yet simplistic approach, why would MACD not be a good place to start? (apart from the fact that it is a lagging indicator)

thoughts welcome here!
I hinted at one reason earlier regarding indicators, but I'll have another stab. Trading is not just about entry. Entry is important but it is one moment in time, based on some past price action. You think the probabilities are in your favour, so you enter. But current price action has more weight than past price action. So you've entered, and price is going against you. The probabilities are now not what you thought they were. Re-assessment time.

So you are using an indicator on a 10-min chart say. Price can tell you the probablitilies have changed in one minute. It could drop 50 pips in one minute. It doesn't need 10 mins, but your indicator exit strategy isn't valid until the 10 min bar closes. So do you wait for the 10-min bar to close and your indicator to tell you to get out? Realising that you're wrong slower than everyone else is going to hurt your account. Or you can say, 'well I have a stop at 20 pips' to save me when I'm wrong. Fine, but then that 20 pip stop isn't based on the indicator, so why 20? Should be a reason for everything you do.

If you're wrong you want to be able to recognise it as early as possible and get out. You can use indicators to help you, it's not bad. A bit of price action and just a moving average could make you money. But you need to have a plan of what to do after entry, and that will be more important than the entry. And I believe that is partly what Rathcoole was trying to get across.
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Old Aug 17, 2011, 8:36am   #99
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Originally Posted by munchiedude View Post
yeah, to be fair, i have come across some information suggesting indicators are not all too reliable and they lag like hell. im neutrat wrt my favoured choice but being new to trading, i would like a few visual tools to guide me to see what is trending/ranging/getting weak/getting strong etc whilst im learning the ropes here.

i suspect that the trading strategy in 12-18 months will be very different to this basic setup as i add things and remove things.

i totally agree that indicators can distract one from looking at price action and reasons for price action but if used correctly i believe indicators can be a tool rather than a hindrance if used sparingly.


one thing i would like to know is when do you consider yourself a consistent trader? what parameters demonstrate consistency?
Blue part:

Just as a general point, I think using anything as a tool is fine, as long as you find it useful. The realisation that nothing works is an important one because it leads you through to the real breakthrough, which is that you are what makes your trading work, not your method.

But seeing things as "tools" is a good way of thinking about things in my opinion.

Red part:

Consistency? Who cares, frankly. You're not working for wages. One thing I would be careful about - do not expect to take money out of the market every day. We'd all like to guarantee 1% per day or whatever, but I think it rarely works like that, and the attempt to do so is dangerous.

Personally, I'd look at results over no shorter than a month (and a quarter is probably better still).
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Thanks! The post above is recommended by: JRP2891
Old Aug 17, 2011, 8:36am   #100
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And I believe that is partly what Rathcoole was trying to get across.
but obviously too forcibly for whiney mummy's boy here
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Old Aug 17, 2011, 8:39am   #101
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munchiedude started this thread
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I hinted at one reason earlier regarding indicators, but I'll have another stab. Trading is not just about entry. Entry is important but it is one moment in time, based on some past price action. You think the probabilities are in your favour, so you enter. But current price action has more weight than past price action. So you've entered, and price is going against you. The probabilities are now not what you thought they were. Re-assessment time.

So you are using an indicator on a 10-min chart say. Price can tell you the probablitilies have changed in one minute. It could drop 50 pips in one minute. It doesn't need 10 mins, but your indicator exit strategy isn't valid until the 10 min bar closes. So do you wait for the 10-min bar to close and your indicator to tell you to get out? Realising that you're wrong slower than everyone else is going to hurt your account. Or you can say, 'well I have a stop at 20 pips' to save me when I'm wrong. Fine, but then that 20 pip stop isn't based on the indicator, so why 20? Should be a reason for everything you do.

If you're wrong you want to be able to recognise it as early as possible and get out. You can use indicators to help you, it's not bad. A bit of price action and just a moving average could make you money. But you need to have a plan of what to do after entry, and that will be more important than the entry. And I believe that is partly what Rathcoole was trying to get across.
rathcoole has lost all credibility in my eyes, and regardless of his comments, i no longer feel i would benefit from any feedback given by him/her.

your explanation shakone is far better and i now understand in part, the limitations of using indicators as part of a trade setup.20 pip s/l was within 2% allowed per trade which i did not state altho this may change to <20 depending on price action so far and range that the pair is trading in.

insofar as the timeframe lag for exits, its something that ive picked up as experience in my trading today, lower timeframes i believe tend to give more false signals (noise) whereas longer TF's would give more reliable indication but lag so its a tradeoff it seems between reliability and speed of response. this is still something im working on.

as i said previously, im nt hung up on indicators one way or another, i just find that its a good starting point as my experience grows.

thanks for your input shakone, it obviously shows your maturity and professionalism.
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Old Aug 17, 2011, 8:42am   #102
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munchiedude started this thread
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Originally Posted by rathcoole_exile View Post
but obviously too forcibly for whiney mummy's boy here
rathcoole, you're a funny one lol.

you're showing your immaturity. as i said, ur entitled to your opinions so thanks for that, tho im a bit more civlised than you to respond in the crude manner that you did, you was obviously raised very well.

nuff said on the topic, thanks for your input but i no longer value them.
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Old Aug 17, 2011, 9:16am   #103
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munchiedude started this thread buy eurusd (stox crossover)

entry: 1.4471
s/l: 1.4461
t/p: 1.4484 (~1:1)

target reached: +10pips.

reason for 1:1 and not 2:5, eurusd entered a range from a trend.
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Old Aug 17, 2011, 11:34am   #104
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munchiedude started this thread ok end of mkts but wont be trading eurusd today.

day has been fairly ok, summary later.
some useful (and not so useful) feedbacks today, im going to go back to drawing board to distill all the info, read resources etc and start again tomorrow.

thanks to all posters that have contributed!
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