Learning profitable automated trading

This is a discussion on Learning profitable automated trading within the General Trading Chat forums, part of the To Be Sorted category; Originally Posted by N Rothschild simple fact is, if you were capable of discretionary trading you would do it. you ...

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Search this Thread
Old Apr 20, 2010, 2:11pm   #169
Banned
 
oildaytrader's Avatar
 
Member Since Mar 2007
Default Re: Learning profitable automated trading

oildaytrader started this thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by N Rothschild View Post
simple fact is, if you were capable of discretionary trading you would do it. you turn to automated systems in the hope they will make you rich because you cant do it yourself. well guess what, its not going to make you rich!
You should only be trading three to four trades a year, the automated systems do pick those trades

Sitting infront of a computer sweating ,tense,missing trades , frustrated and bonkers with same old underwear 250 days a year..
oildaytrader is offline Trading arcade or proprietary trading company   Reply With Quote
Old Apr 20, 2010, 2:30pm   #170
Banned
 
oildaytrader's Avatar
 
Member Since Mar 2007
Default Re: Learning profitable automated trading

oildaytrader started this thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by meanreversion View Post
Have you backtested to see whether re-optimization actually works? Simpy saying 'it's like chasing your tail' has no basis in empirical evidence ... you should know better than that.
I used to optimise strategies , but gave up in favour of robust systems.I found the strategies needing optimisation failed sooner or later.

If you look at market conditions over a period of time, and I am talking about currencies,there is no fixed time or pattern as to how long current market conditions will remain in place, or when they will change, and to what market conditions.

Optimisation can work but you gotta know what exactly to optimise.This is why one needs to have expert knowledge in the instruments traded.Re optimisation will work if expert knowledge is applied.

O D T
oildaytrader is offline Trading arcade or proprietary trading company   Reply With Quote
Old Apr 20, 2010, 2:38pm   #171
Banned
 
oildaytrader's Avatar
 
Member Since Mar 2007
Default Re: Learning profitable automated trading

oildaytrader started this thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by N Rothschild View Post
simple fact is, if you were capable of discretionary trading you would do it. you turn to automated systems in the hope they will make you rich because you cant do it yourself. well guess what, its not going to make you rich!
Misconception:If rule based automated systems can produce a profitable strategy, a manual discretionary should be able to do exactly the same as a computer.

Manual traders suffer from all the disadvantages and weaknesses.
oildaytrader is offline Trading arcade or proprietary trading company   Reply With Quote
Old Apr 20, 2010, 2:48pm   #172
Legendary Member
 
N Rothschild's Avatar
 
Member Since Oct 2008
Default Re: Learning profitable automated trading

its not a misconception, your thread demonstrates perfectly how crap these systems are
__________________
"Let me issue and control a nation's money and I care not who writes the laws." Mayer Amschel Rothschild

Bullsh!t, Bearsh!t all smells the same to me!

"It is not cheap to develop automated systems , mine already cost over $1m. " oildaytrader
N Rothschild is offline   Reply With Quote
Thanks! The post above is recommended by: Waterfield
Old Apr 20, 2010, 2:54pm   #173
Banned
 
oildaytrader's Avatar
 
Member Since Mar 2007
Default Re: Learning profitable automated trading

oildaytrader started this thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by N Rothschild View Post
its not a misconception, your thread demonstrates perfectly how crap these systems are

How come 95% of traders lose money when such profitable and robust methods are considered crap?Are they using crappier methods?
oildaytrader is offline Trading arcade or proprietary trading company   Reply With Quote
Old Apr 20, 2010, 3:00pm   #174
Legendary Member
 
meanreversion's Avatar
 
Member Since Jan 2009
Default Re: Learning profitable automated trading

Quote:
Originally Posted by oildaytrader View Post
I used to optimise strategies , but gave up in favour of robust systems.I found the strategies needing optimisation failed sooner or later.

If you look at market conditions over a period of time, and I am talking about currencies,there is no fixed time or pattern as to how long current market conditions will remain in place, or when they will change, and to what market conditions.

Optimisation can work but you gotta know what exactly to optimise.This is why one needs to have expert knowledge in the instruments traded.Re optimisation will work if expert knowledge is applied.

O D T
Ok look.. I think we are on the same page as far as using mechanical systems is concerned, however some of your responses are a bit flaky and indicate lack of clarity in your thinking.

Of course a system needs to be robust, it goes without saying.

You don't use optimization? Wrong. Any system you use will have at LEAST 4 parameters, and how did you select them.... you just guessed? And having guessed these numbers, you didn't then think to see how your system might have worked if you altered them slightly? You're being economical with the truth OR your thinking is woolly.

Bill Dunn at Dunn Capital re-optimizes every now and then, and he has considerably more money than you.

You're on the right track but your pseudo-scientific responses betray a lack of thorough understanding at times.
meanreversion is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Apr 20, 2010, 3:04pm   #175
Legendary Member
 
N Rothschild's Avatar
 
Member Since Oct 2008
Default Re: Learning profitable automated trading

Quote:
Originally Posted by oildaytrader View Post
How come 95% of traders lose money when such profitable and robust methods are considered crap?Are they using crappier methods?
i would bet that the ratio of failed discretionary traders is lower than failed automated heaps
__________________
"Let me issue and control a nation's money and I care not who writes the laws." Mayer Amschel Rothschild

Bullsh!t, Bearsh!t all smells the same to me!

"It is not cheap to develop automated systems , mine already cost over $1m. " oildaytrader
N Rothschild is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Apr 20, 2010, 3:10pm   #176
Banned
 
oildaytrader's Avatar
 
Member Since Mar 2007
Default Re: Learning profitable automated trading

oildaytrader started this thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by N Rothschild View Post
i would bet that the ratio of failed discretionary traders is lower than failed automated heaps
The number of failed discretionary traders is probably in millions >xm +, number of failed automated heap < 100k
oildaytrader is offline Trading arcade or proprietary trading company   Reply With Quote
Reply


Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Is learning the trading business like learning any other business? Joe Ross General Trading Chat 1 Sep 11, 2010 3:17am
Learning tool - Time lapse Trading fibonelli First Steps 1 Sep 17, 2008 4:09pm
Any swing trading learning links please altrade2win Discretionary Trading 9 Jun 9, 2008 3:40am
Day trading is definitely more profitable and safer than Swing / Position trading victor123 General Trading Chat 75 Mar 16, 2008 1:47pm