use think the answer is more analysis, if only I could understand a bit more about the market I could make it. you are clearly an intelligent chap (significantly above av anyway). the real issue (for you) is not understanding the market. the market is a whore and it is out to **** as many people as it can. find a quantifiable edge, test it and trade it.. anything else you are just punting, win lose or draw you are not moving forward. and dont listen to this advice whatever you do