WHAT'S HAPPENING: The Retail Sales released by the U.S. Census Bureau measures the total receipts of retail stores. Monthly percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. Changes in Retail Sales are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (bearish) for the USD.
Farm Yard Forex
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For me USD based on the DXY is sat at a bit of a precipice. It has been very bullish recently but the last couple of days might have started the turn. I'm waiting for a break in structure to confirm.
hatemypips
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It's not always all that black-or-white response because response to new information depends on what market expect from the release.
MARKET VIEW on Currencies
Weekly changes: EURUSD +0.61%, GBPUSD +0.28%, USDCAD +0.13%
EURUSD closed the week at 1.16425. The pair reached the 1.1670 mark twice but declined both times from the strength of the current resistance level.
GBPUSD ended Friday at 1.37551. The pair traded modestly within a week, having risen 2.4% in the previous fortnight.
USDCAD closed the week at 1.23583, the same spot as the Friday ago. The oil stepped from its three-year high, giving the Canadian dollar space to consolidate.
BULLISH TRIGGERS
The U.S. dollar eased after Powell's comment, enabling EURUSD to advance near the 1.1650 level. However, the eurozone inflation expectations are at their highest levels in years. This puts additional pressure on the ECB and its monetary policy agenda meeting this week.
GBPUSD changed insignificantly. The British pound fluctuated due to the country's various economic releases but remained bullish by late Friday. Early in November, the BoE is expected to be the first major central bank to lift its interest rate.
BEARISH TRIGGERS
The USDCAD finished the week flat, slowing its monthly-long decline. The BoC interest rate decision meeting this week might propose another round of tapering. Two days later, Canada will release its GDP data. The central bank's choice of tight or dovish tone of voice, followed by the solid or weak data, will determine USDCAD behavior this week.
Weekly changes: EURUSD +0.61%, GBPUSD +0.28%, USDCAD +0.13%
EURUSD closed the week at 1.16425. The pair reached the 1.1670 mark twice but declined both times from the strength of the current resistance level.
GBPUSD ended Friday at 1.37551. The pair traded modestly within a week, having risen 2.4% in the previous fortnight.
USDCAD closed the week at 1.23583, the same spot as the Friday ago. The oil stepped from its three-year high, giving the Canadian dollar space to consolidate.
BULLISH TRIGGERS
The U.S. dollar eased after Powell's comment, enabling EURUSD to advance near the 1.1650 level. However, the eurozone inflation expectations are at their highest levels in years. This puts additional pressure on the ECB and its monetary policy agenda meeting this week.
GBPUSD changed insignificantly. The British pound fluctuated due to the country's various economic releases but remained bullish by late Friday. Early in November, the BoE is expected to be the first major central bank to lift its interest rate.
BEARISH TRIGGERS
The USDCAD finished the week flat, slowing its monthly-long decline. The BoC interest rate decision meeting this week might propose another round of tapering. Two days later, Canada will release its GDP data. The central bank's choice of tight or dovish tone of voice, followed by the solid or weak data, will determine USDCAD behavior this week.
