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Peter

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I suspect that the Dow / Spx could start a fair rally today from 18.08 to 18.25 hrs

I think The markets will rally to at least Sept 1st on the SPX and the Dow to Sept 4th to 7th .
If the 7th fails I expect the 14th as the next time target.

IF the market tops by the 7th and turns, my analysis suggests it falling to Oct 10th or 19th
 
Ps... If Market has failed to rally by 19.00 hrs Uk today , my next best time is about 16.10 hrs tomorrow.

11300 to 10280 could offer support
 
Peter said:
I suspect that the Dow / Spx could start a fair rally today from 18.08 to 18.25 hrs

I think The markets will rally to at least Sept 1st on the SPX and the Dow to Sept 4th to 7th .
If the 7th fails I expect the 14th as the next time target.

IF the market tops by the 7th and turns, my analysis suggests it falling to Oct 10th or 19th

You got the same trendlines as me...well they work don't they!

Good call!
 
Since my earlier post, the Dow did rally as I suspected and it did make an initial top on the 5th Sept followed by a LOW on the 7th. Seeing the top of the 5th was taken out yesterday I did mention my interest for the 14th. I also have one good signal for the 19th which i think could be a lower swing top below that of the 14th.

Pricewise the Dow looks at temporary potential support 11493 to 11518 is my initial target, above here 11555 to 11578.... If we get above here, I will reevaluate, but other targets in mind are 11600/11612.
Then we are looking at the May 10th 2006 top of 11670.

Today I also have a timing target in mind for the 1st hour of the cash market of around 15.00 hrs to 15.20 hrs. IF the market continues higher after this time and gets above 11578 , then I do think the market could blow off to the end of the 14th and could retest 11670



I do expect a top for the end of the 14th/ early 15th... If it does top then the big question is will the market decline.


I did think we could see a sell off to Oct 10th or 19th... The ONLY date I can see otherwise that MAY upset this is late Sept 26th/early 27th. IF the market does hold on lows here IT MAY maintain this rally.

I am running out of good potential topping cycles after this time and I will seriously wonder if the dows going to rally to new all time highs.

12,000 will be my target if we break 11670 AFTER 19th Oct....

This is just my thoughts based upon the cycles I can find at the moment.

....-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

copy from my earlier post

I suspect that the Dow / Spx could start a fair rally today from 18.08 to 18.25 hrs

I think The markets will rally to at least Sept 1st on the SPX and the Dow to Sept 4th to 7th .
If the 7th fails I expect the 14th as the next time target.

IF the market tops by the 7th and turns, my analysis suggests it falling to Oct 10th or 19th
 
I mentioned that I had a potential cycle top in mind for 14th / early 15th that May have come in or could do so by midday 12.00 hrs UK today.

I miscalculated todays (15th ) time.... It Should now be ....if the market maintains its rally, my ammended New main time is upto 18.20 hrs UK.

if market still rallys After 18.30 hrs I suspect Im wrong and its tough to say what may happen..

BUT I ALSO have the following times that could ALSO prove important.

http://finance.groups.yahoo.com/group/ganncycles2004/


14.38hrs ********

15.00 / 15.05 hrs******

18.20/30hrs******************

19.15 hrs ********
 
Dow Sept 21st / 22nd


Yesterday The Dow hit( 11628) new highs Since May which I didnt think would break the highs ) made last week on the 15th.

This doesnt make things at all easy but today we are approaching the 21st / 22nd is Ganns autumn equinox. This Can still result in changes in trend.

I dont have what I consider great cycles coming in here BUT the next 2 days are the best I can find until the 27th.

After yesterdays Fed meeting, it remains to be seen what true direction the market is deciding to head. I await to see if 11670 will hold.

13.18 , 14.38 or 15.49 hrs look best signals for today.



13.18**********

14.38*******???


15.49********

16.42****


18.16****

20.10

---------------------------------


22nd Sept

14.30 hrs *********

20.43/48 hrs
 
Dow 26th/27th to end of week


The Spx broke to new highs yesterday. The Dow however still held below the high made on the 22nd Sept, JUST ! It looks like its formed a possible head and shoulder or triple top..

Ive some signals in over the next two days that I would hope may determine which direction the market may go as we approach an often bearish October.


Ive one or two main signals in for the 26th

either 15.00 to 15.10 hrs Or about 15.40 to 15.45 hrs ******
These suggests a Top.

ALSO 17.05 to 17.15 hrs *********



I mentioned I was concerned about the 27th.

I would estimate that IF the market is going to hold up for October then the signal I have for early ( Pre cash market ) 27th MAY result
in a low and potential rally.

This signal comes in at 6.30 hrs UK *************

Then I have two main signals in later in the day which I THINK IF the market has rallied could test this move or maintain it..

18.00 hrs ********

18.50 hrs

20.15/20.20 hrs **********



for the 28th

19.40 *****


for the 29th

9.19 ****** suggest likely top

16.40 ****** suggest likely low

20.40 hrs *********


30th

20.55 *****
 
Dow found the early top I expected, but the 17.00 /17.10 hrs signal maintained the rally.. And the Dow closed right on highs as a double top with May 10th right into the time Frame I have in mind for the early 6.30 hrs uk signal for the 27th...

I obviously have to consider this could turn out as an Inverse to my initial expectations.

Price looks good and its the only main timing signal that I have until later after 18.00 hrs UK

Its also very possible that the market could maintain its rally..

BUT whats really annoying is the fact that as my time signals coming in the Dow also has hit a really interesting Price as well.... This game is never easy !!!!

My only problem here however is I DONT have a good series of cluster cycles..

Most of the cluster ones come in Between October 2nd and 6th...

I mentioned in another post that I also had Oct 10th and 19th in mind..





Dow 26th/27th to end of week


The Spx broke to new highs yesterday. The Dow however still held below the high made on the 22nd Sept, JUST ! It looks like its formed a possible head and shoulder or triple top..

Ive some signals in over the next two days that I would hope may determine which direction the market may go as we approach an often bearish October.


Ive one or two main signals in for the 26th

either 15.00 to 15.10 hrs Or about 15.40 to 15.45 hrs ******
These suggests a Top.

ALSO 17.05 to 17.15 hrs *********
 
Worrying !!!.. North Korea Nuclear test

I mentioned last week that I had a potential signal coming in over
the weekend... SO far as I write the market has been about 40 points
down since the futures opened.This may be due to the news from Koreas
Nuclear test..see below ( No doubt a major concern)

This may see the start of a decline...

between 18.30 and 20.00 hrs look best later timings.


times U.K
open futures sunday night / Monday open ********

14.46

15.08

15.20/25/
15.38**



17.27

18.02/12
18.30******


19.06*******
19.18/22********
19.40/44********
19.50


20.00

From Yahoo
North Korea says nuclear test successful

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20061009/ap_on_re_as/koreas_nuclear



Peter said:
 
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