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ARBinstruktor

Junior member
20 2
After the little “precious metal crash” from Friday it is only fair to give an up-date:


Your position taken on May 20:

May 20June 5 Gross P/L
Long Spot: @ 17,471 17,3944 < 383,- USD>
Short N20: @ 18,010 17,479 2.655,- USD
Notional Volumes: 87.355,- USD / 90.050,- USD total gross P/L: 2.272,- USD
Margin requirements900,50 USD up to 1.774,05 USD bid/ask costs: < 275,- USD>
swap/roll costs (@ 3,00% pa): < 146,- USD>
Net Profit: 1.851,- USD


Your position taken on June 3:


June 3 June 5 Gross P/L
Long Spot: @ 17,903 17,3944 < 2.543,- USD>
Short N20: @ 18,250 17,479 3.855,- USD
Notional Volumes: 89.515,- USD / 91.250,- USD
total gross P/L:​
1.312,- USD
Margin requirements912,50 USD up to 1.807,65 USD bid/ask costs: < 275,- USD>
swap/roll costs (@ 3,00% pa): < 45,- USD>
Net Profit: 992,- USD


Remaining profit to gain: 423,- USD
Accruing carry costs at current level: about 172,- USD

Additional net gain to expect: 251,- USD

Achieved gain potential for May 20 position: 88%
Achieved gain potential for June 3 position: 80%


After both positions have achieved at least 80% of their potential, I would recommend to take profits.

May 20 traders would collect 1.462,- GBP, my share 731,- GBP or “zero”, if they cancel my service. Achieving a yield on margin of at least 52% (103% in the best case) for 16 days of investment. Annual yield potentials (in case money is always active): 1116% to 2211%

June 3 traders would collect 784,- GBP (for a 2days position!), my share 392,- GBP or “zero”, if they cancel my service. Achieving a yield on margin of at least 27% (54% in the best case) for 2 days of investment. Annual yield potentials (in case money is always active): 2295% to 4590%



contract 060620b.png





carry yield 060620b.png




ARB spread 060620b.png




market 060620b.png








Too complicated? Too many numbers?

… better stop trading!
 
 
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