United States Consumer Price Index (US CPI) 10 March 2021 Trade Plan


Junior member
This report is coming back into focus, in fact, Inflation around the world is being watched more closely than in previous months. Today there are 4 main lines of data released, which are: -

CPI - Core (M/M) – Month on Month
CPI - Core (Y/Y) - Year on Year
CPI (M/M) – Month on Month
CPI (Y/Y) - Year on Year

The focus is on CPI - Core (M/M)

I’m looking for a Deviation of 0.2% or greater in either direction from the forecast of 0.2% to take a trade. So, an actual figure of 0.0% to Sell USD or 0.4% to Buy USD. I will trade USDJPYAs long as CPI - Core (M/M) deviates by 0.2% or more and the other 3 lines of data (which come at the same time) do not conflict then we should expect a good reaction from USDJPY!.

Check out last month’s 0.2 deviation, and bear in mind that I expect the same deviations to create a better reaction today!
See Charts here ->

We can see a small but gradual move over one minute. Most of last year, the same deviations were not moving the market, as conditions were very different then but I believe the focus is back. Here’s an example of how poor the move was with similar deviations back in Nov 2020

See Charts here - >

Good luck!

James Thatcher
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