Superbowl Theory USA

[josbarr]

The Super Bowl Theory, which has been right 30 out of 38 times or 78.9% of the time, says if the NFC team or an AFC team that originally was an NFC member, wins the game, the stock market as measured by the S&P 500 index will rise...
but if the AFC team wins, the market will go down.

1. 1967 Green Bay 35 Kansas City 10 S&P up 20.1%
2. 1968 Green Bay 33 Oakland 14 S&P up 7.7%
3. 1969 New York Jets 16 Baltimore 7 S&P off 11.4%
4. 1970 Kansas City 23 Minnesota 7 S&P up 0.1%
5. 1971 Baltimore 16 Dallas 13 S&P up 10.8%
6. 1972 Dallas 24 Miami 3 S&P up 15.7%
7. 1973 Miami 14 Washington 7 S&P off 17.4%
8. 1974 Miami 24 Minnesota 7 S&P off 29.7%
9. 1975 Pittsburgh 16 Minnesota 6 S&P up 31.5%
10. 1976 Pittsburgh 21 Dallas 17 S&P up 19.2%
11. 1977 Oakland 32 Minnesota 14 S&P off 11.5%

12. 1978 Dallas 27 Denver 10 S&P up 1.1%
13. 1979 Pittsburgh 35 Dallas 31 S&P up 12.3%
14. 1980 Pittsburgh 31 Los Angeles 19 S&P up 25.8%
15. 1981 Oakland 27 Philadelphia 10 S&P off 9.7%
16. 1982 San Francisco 26 Cincinnati 21 S&P up 14.8%
17. 1983 Washington 27 Miami 17 S&P up 17.3%
18. 1984 L.A. Raiders 38 Washington 9 S&P up 1.4%
19. 1985 San Francisco 38 Miami 16 S&P up 26.3%
20. 1986 Chicago 46 New England 10 S&P up 14.6%
21. 1987 N.Y. Giants 39 Denver 20 S&P up 2.0%

22. 1988 Washington 42 Denver 10 S&P up 12.40%
23. 1989 San Francisco 20 Cincinnati 16 S&P up 27.25%
24. 1990 San Francisco 55 Denver 10 S&P off 6.56%
25. 1991 N.Y. Giants 20 Buffalo 19 S&P up 26.31%
26. 1992 Washington 37 Buffalo 24 S&P up 4.46%
27. 1993 Dallas 52 Buffalo 17 S&P up 7.06%
28. 1994 Dallas 30 Buffalo 13 S&P off 1.53%
29. 1995 San Francisco 49 San Diego 26 S&P up 34.11%
30. 1996 Dallas 27 Pittsburgh 17 S&P up 20.26%
31. 1997 Green Bay 35 New England 21 S&P up 31.01%

32. 1998 Denver 31 Green Bay 24 S&P up 26.67%
33. 1999 Denver 34 Atlanta 19 S&P up 19.53%
34. 2000 St. Louis 23 Tennessee 16 S&P off 10.1%
35. 2001 Baltimore 34 New York 7 S&P off 13.04%
36. 2002 New England 20 St. Louis 17 S&P off 23.52%
37. 2003 Tampa Bay 48 Oakland 21 S&P up 26.38%
38. 2004 New England 32 Carolina 29 S&P up 8.99%

 

[adrianallen99]

So if betting on the superbowl you could hedge you bets by placing an up or down bet on the S&P depending on whether you think an NFC or AFC team will win

Personally I think New England will win

 

[Bigbusiness]

But before the election they were saying when the Redskins lose the week before the election, the President loses the election. The Redskins lost and Bush won. I think that had a 100% record before this election.

 

[The Beyonder]

Bigbusiness, quite. That record's now up in smoke.

Basically, if you tried hard enough, you could find a link between all sorts of things with the market:
the film that wins best film at the oscars, who wins fa cup etc etc.

 

[FetteredChinos]

curve-fitting originally and now sel-fulfilling because everyone knows about it?

 

[Rhody Trader]

Just for the record, the correct statement of the "Superbowl Theory" is that the market will rise if an original NFL team wins, fall if an AFL team does. It's not NFC/AFC.

My question in all this is whether the stated results include or exclude the returns for the portion of the year which occurs prior to the Superbowl?

 

[nytetrader]

glad to see that there are not too many people taking this thread seriously.

 

[bobmarty]

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Free Super Bowl squares website*www.livenflsquares.com. It has some cool features including live drafting, live scoring, uploading your logos/pictures.