Study says participants move stock markets in conjunction with sunlight

[BSD]

"Study says sunlight sets the crowd's mood on stocks and bonds

RICHARD BLACKWELL
December 12, 2007

Here's another scapegoat to blame for your financial losses: a lack of sunlight.

University researchers in Toronto say they have found that bond and stock markets move in conjunction with the seasons, partly because some market participants are affected by seasonal affective disorder.

SAD, a form of clinical depression that affects people in the fall and winter, makes investors more risk averse, the study suggests."...

Continued...

 

[arabianights]

Someone once found that bangladeshi butter production was almost perfectly correlated with the Dow... I'd put about as much reliance on that

 

[shadowninja]

Another one for my expanding book.

 

[TA Jedi]

I live in Southern California. The sun shines every day here. Why am I not a millionaire yet?

 

[Crap Buddist]

YES,, the sun rocks...& the markets too ?

I thought that clock in space is the Sun ? I mean thats the measure of earths time events? Thus when the sun rises its Sun At east o'clock . We might have a sun dial and call it 6 Am or whatever.. Also handy for navigation, so the sun provides, well apart from enabling all lifes existence and power etc, not only that, as if that wasn't enough, and I am indeed grateful,etc. but its given us time or a means of measuring lifes events, well 365 sunrises a year etc daily and intra and interday measuring capabilities, and its a handy navigational aid too ?

Has to be one of the best space clocks going and its free.

No wonder the sun god was popular.

http://www.trade2win.com/boards/gen...massey-university-research-10.html#post337868


The sun must have an impact...... hmmm, I cant get my head round it yet...

 

[Jack o'Clubs]

Someone once found that bangladeshi butter production was almost perfectly correlated with the Dow... I'd put about as much reliance on that

A-ha! Like the link between global warming and the decline of pirates!

Open Letter To Kansas School Board at Church of the Flying Spaghetti Monster

 

[shadowninja]

From Jack's link:

Fine Art Taco Photography

I never thought I would be a fine art consumer.

ETA: wow! it's grabbed the title of the page!

 

[BSD]

LOL !

Very funny links above there must admit )

Story from above does sound silly what. ;-)

However, in what trading book was that funny story about some trader who made good money through listening to "signals" from his water bottle, lol, or sthg equally strange like that anyway.

I honestly believe that if you have sthg that allows you to define trend in an even halfway accurate way, then you've still got good chances of outperforming most others as long as you follow that admittedly very old, but still pretty valid saw, of cutting your losses short while letting your winners run, and it won't matter all too much either in the long run I suspect how you do that, eg if you buy pullbacks or breakouts, the respective advantages / disadvantages will probably balance each other out.

That said, I wouldn't be all too surprised if that sunlight phenomenon from above weren't sthg tho that I'd suspect some quant driven funds would look at and act upon.

What do they do after all, they spend enormous amounts of computing power mining for data that can be acted upon, probably don't ask too close questions either on what sort of data. ;-)

Doesn't have to be a huge edge after all, just sthg tiny that's sufficiently exploitable over time, where like with any other trading style you'll be net profitable if you either have larger winners than losers with a lower hit rate, or, alternatively, smaller winners than losers with a higher hit rate.

Only thing that doesn't exist, at least not to my knowledge, is a holy grail where you average out with 80% winners four times as large as your losers.

 

[fibonelli]

i suppose looking at the sun is better than looking at uranus

 

[shadowninja]

i suppose looking at the sun is better than looking at uranus

yes, I found it funny. I admit it... I'm childish.

 

[fred333]

That is a pretty funny comeback. I found the report interesting too.