I don't see any evidence it's heading to July lows at present until it breaks 5291 - the last major low.
Personally I think we are just experiencing a bullish shakeout (of sorts, technically speaking it's not one yet) and the uptrend will be resumed shortly. I'd like to see the index at 5800, a major resistance point before piling on the shorts.
I tend to agree about crude. It's been due for a bounceback for a little while.