Is my system long-term profitable?

Is this a long-term profitable system with a +EV ?


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Raph

Junior member
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Do you folks think my trading results suggest that my strategy is long-term profitable (taking EV, and risk management into account - I never risk more than 2% per trade, and don't use any Martingale nonsense, but it DOES result in a large drawdown because of negative consecutive runs). You can copy/paste my results into Excel to run formulas on it.

Here are the results from approximately 9 months of REAL money trading in the currency market. I only traded the EUR/USD and EUR/GBP (this system can be traded on a smaller time frame as well - provided you are an active trader, but it works better for someone who has a full-time job, and doesn't need to log in very often. I'm sure it can be programmed using algorithms too):



01] profit = 53.30 pips
02] loss = -5.20 pips
03] loss = -9.70 pips
04] loss = -4.10 pips
05] loss = -2.90 pips
06] loss = -6.10 pips
07] loss = -6.20 pips
08] loss = -15.10 pips
09] profit = 10.10 pips
10] loss = -8.90 pips
11] loss = -6.50 pips
12] loss = -12.20 pips
13] loss = -5.60 pips
14] profit = 16.10 pips
15] loss = -6.10 pips
16] loss = -3.10 pips
17] profit = 3.20 pips
18] loss = -14.30 pips
19] loss = -7.80 pips
20] profit = 152.50 pips
21] loss = -11.20 pips
22] profit = 84.60 pips
23] loss = -16.10 pips
24] loss = -19.80 pips
25] loss = -16.30 pips
26] profit = 147.50 pips
27] profit = 20.30 pips
28] profit = 69.20 pips
29] loss = -26.20 pips
30] profit = 34.20 pips
31] profit = 4.20 pips
32] profit = 83.90 pips
33] loss = -49.80 pips
34] profit = 15.60 pips
35] loss = -24.40 pips
36] profit = 12.20 pips
37] profit = 4.10 pips
38] loss = -5.90 pips
39] profit = 17.80 pips
40] loss = -26.10 pips
41] loss = -0.80 pips
42] loss = -7.30 pips
43] loss = -17.30 pips
44] loss = -20.40 pips
45] loss = -1.70 pips

 
Last edited:
Why does it 'work better for someone who has a full-time job? :rolleyes:

I think he means it is suited to someone with a full-time job because it doesn't require much hands on activity. As you know, traders are like children, they get bored very easily and feel the need to be constantly clicking buttons.
 
Looks like a well managed system to me. The profits and loss levels are reasonable and well managed. For some one with a full time job, this is perfect if executed by an EA.
Giovan
 
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