- so you mean they just slap a wider spread onto the eurex closing price? - looks that way most of the time - i am wondering because i look up their dax quotes at times when there is a big u.s. move after the dax close... - and it seems their quotes are quite way off sometimes from what "in my opinion" they "should be" based on the u.s. close..[/QUOTE said:
If any trader were to believe or feel that the spread bet quote was way out of line with his/her perceived level, it would be simple to go in the opposite direction and make an easy turn/profit when the market opens. In practice, more often than not, one will find that the spread betting firms asve got it right and that would be a recipe for disaster.
The first thing to bear in mind is that the larger European companies (especially the FTSE constituents) have ADRs that trade in the US. This means that to a degree, it is fairly easy for them to calculate the index levels to within a few points. Whilst this may not seem effective, you only need to monitor the CMC quotes after the European markets close for a period of 4 to 6 weeks to see how accurate they are.
It is quite easy for the individual to work out the correlation between the FTSE and DOW between say 4.45pm and 9.30pm in order to understand how they work it out. After a few weeks it becomes quite easy to make a few points on a regular basis virtually risk free.