HFMarkets: New market analysis services.

[HFM.]

Date: 27th August 2025.

Stocks Remain Steady Despite India Tariffs, NVIDIA Earnings in Focus.

Some investors may argue that the most important day for the NASDAQ is here with the release of NVIDIA’s Quarterly Earnings Report. NVIDIA is due to release the company’s quarterly report after the close of the day’s US Session. NVIDIA stocks are the most influential stocks for the NASDAQ and can have a ripple effect on all tech stocks.

NVIDIA Stocks and Quarterly Earnings Report​

NVIDIA stocks have risen 1% each day over the past week and are already trading 0.32% higher during this morning’s after-hours trading. The bullish price movement ahead of the report indicates that shareholders are confident in the upcoming report.

According to analysts’ projections, the company will see growth within all of its sectors. Analysts expect revenue to increase to $41.3 billion, which is a 57% increase year over year. In addition to this, the company’s Gaming Sector is also expected to have increased by 33%. In 2025 so far, NVIDIA stocks have risen 31% but the upcoming price movements will depend on whether the company can beat the current projections.

NVIDIA’s quarterly earnings report is not solely important to the market because it's the world’s most valuable company. During August, the market has struggled to determine the intrinsic value of AI-related companies. The NASDAQ declined this month after a pessimistic report from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and remarks by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman fueled doubts about the sector’s prolonged rally. Therefore, NVIDIA’s earnings report can either fuel these fears further or reinstate confidence in technology stocks.

NASDAQ - Tariffs a Concern For Investors, But Not Yet Triggering A Decline​

The NASDAQ is being positively influenced by the upcoming NVIDIA report and has fully corrected the decline seen on Monday. However, the performance of the NASDAQ continues to remain under pressure from tariffs and Fed independence threats.

The US has raised tariffs on Indian exports to as high as 50%, twice the previous rate, in retaliation for India’s ongoing purchases of Russian oil. However, traders need to note that many products are exempt from the tax. Nonetheless, in turn, New Delhi is deepening diplomatic engagement with China and Russia and advancing domestic reforms. It is also drawing on its foreign exchange reserves to steady financial markets.

Currently, global stock markets remain unchanged and are not witnessing any significant declines due to the tariffs imposed on India. The VIX index is currently trading slightly lower, which is positive for the stock market. However, the Put and Call Ratios are increasing upwards towards the 0.70 level, which indicates stocks may potentially decline again. This would depend on NVIDIA’s earnings report as well as the upcoming US data. This includes tomorrow’s US Gross Domestic Product and Friday’s Core PCE Price Index.

Analysts expect the US Gross Domestic Product to rise to 3.1% and for the Core PCE Price Index to rise 0.3%. A 0.3% increase in the index would be considered too high for the Federal Reserve and could apply some pressure on the NASDAQ.

NASDAQ (USA100) - Technical Analysis​

When analysing the NASDAQ’s price movement on a daily timeframe, the price does not indicate a change of trend. The bias remains towards the upside, but there are clear indications that investors are becoming cautious of the extremely high price and the asset’s intrinsic value.

NASDAQ 15-Minute Chart


On the 2-hour chart, the price is trading above the 75-bar EMA, indicating buyers are attempting to gain control. However, it would be vital to break through the resistance level, which can be seen at 23,585.70. On smaller timeframes, the price on Wednesday is so far trading within a sideways price movement, but remains above the main trendlines and Moving Averages. If the price breaks above the $23,573.30, bullish signals will strengthen. Whereas if the price falls below $23,530.00, sell signals will materialise.

Key Takeaways:​

• NVIDIA’s earnings report is pivotal as its results could set the tone for all tech stocks. NVIDIA remains the NASDAQ’s most influential stock.
• Analysts project strong growth with a revenue of $41.3B (up 57% YoY) and notable gaming sector growth (+33%).
• US tariffs on India and Fed independence concerns weigh on sentiment, though markets remain stable for now.
• The NASDAQ’s bias stays bullish but faces key resistance near 23,585. A breakout or breakdown around current levels could signal the next move.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Michalis Efthymiou
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date: 28th August 2025.

SNP500 Hits New All-Time High, But Is NVIDIA Driving the Rally?

The SNP500 quickly declined 0.69% in the minutes after NVIDIA released their Quarterly Earnings Report. However, stocks are now seeing a strong rebound, correcting back upwards and closing close to yesterday’s highs. If the SNP500 can maintain momentum and increase above yesterday’s highs, the index will be trading at its all-time high.

Currently, the NASDAQ is the best-performing US index, trading with almost a 2% higher gain. However, the SNP500 performance over the past 15 days has outperformed the NASDAQ due to concerns over the current AI trend. The SNP500’s gains on Wednesday and this morning are mainly being supported by technology stocks such as Microsoft and Broadcom. The energy sector, led by companies like ExxonMobil and Chevron, is also contributing to the rise.

NVIDIA Beat Earnings Expectations But Still Declined. Here’s What You Need To Know.​

When NVIDIA releases its earnings report, the market expects extreme volatility, measuring a minimum of a 5% change in the price of the stock. However, the stock only fell 3.14% after the report was made public. Therefore, traders should note that the lack of volatility indicates that investors are not necessarily disappointed in the earnings figures.

SNP500 15-Minute Chart


NVIDIA’s Earnings Per Share were $1.05, higher than the previous expectations of $1.00. The company's revenue was also $68 million higher than previous projections. Although the company exceeded previous projections, some investors may question why the stock is moving lower. The modest decline appears to be primarily driven by the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the Chinese market. Also, investors note that the uncertainties within the market have not provided the confidence to purchase the stock at such a high price.

Nvidia’s 2nd quarter 2026 results showed its data centre unit firmly driving the global AI boom. CFO Colette Kress projected $3–$4 trillion in AI infrastructure spending by the end of 2029. Revenue rose 56% to $30.04B, marking nine straight quarters of 50%+ growth since the AI surge in 2023, though this was the slowest pace in that period. However, the slowdown did not set off any alarm bells as NVIDIA was unable to sell certain chips to China. This is something the company is hoping will change in the upcoming quarters.

Can The SNP500 Maintain its Gains?​

If NVIDIA stocks see an increased demand and investors look to take advantage of the lower price, the stock can support the SNP500. NVIDIA stocks currently hold a weight of 7.61% and are the most influential stock by more than 1%. However, will investors continue to go long on the SNP500 while certain negative conditions remain?

The latest concern for investors is the 50% tariffs which the White House has slapped on India for purchasing large amounts of Russian Oil. The US is claiming it indirectly funds Russia’s military campaign. On the other hand, India claims the US is hypocritical as it continues to purchase certain commodities from Russia. The White House trade adviser, Peter Navarro, told journalists that there is a possible 25% reduction in these tariffs if India halts imports of discounted Russian oil; however, this is not likely.

However, a positive note regarding tariffs is Mexico’s plans to increase tariffs on Chinese Goods after months of pressure from the US. Mexico is hoping for more favourable trade with the US after agreeing to do so.

According to most analysts, the SNP500 can maintain momentum only if trade tensions do not continue to escalate. It also depends on whether the Federal Reserve follows through with its plan to cut the Federal Funds rate by 0.50% by the end of the year.

Today's Live Analysis Session​

Key Takeaways:​

• The SNP500 dipped after NVIDIA’s earnings but rebounded near record highs, supported by tech and energy stocks.
• NVIDIA beat expectations on EPS and revenue, yet its stock declined due to China market uncertainty and valuation concerns.
• Nvidia’s data centre growth drives the AI boom, with $3–$4T in projected spending by 2029, though Q2 growth slowed.
• US tariffs on India add pressure, with SNP500 momentum hinging on easing trade tensions and a Fed rate cut.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Michalis Efthymiou
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

 

[HFM.]

Date: 29th August 2025.

What’s Driving Gold’s Bullish Trend And Will It Hit a New High in 2025?

Gold increases in value for a third consecutive day as the market prices in lower interest rates. The Gross Domestic Product indicates that the US economy continues to grow, which, under usual circumstances, would not pressure the Federal Reserve to adjust interest rates. However, the latest comments from the FOMC member reassured investors that rate cuts are coming despite the higher GDP figures.

The Federal Reserve and Interest Rates​

The price of Gold is trading at its highest price since July 23rd after increasing 3.30% over the previous days. The bullish price movement is partially driven by the market’s risk appetite, which is becoming more shaky, but a large part is also due to the monetary policy. The latest comments from Christopher Waller, a member of the Federal Open Market Committee, are that he will vote for a 0.25% cut in September.

According to Christopher Waller, there continue to be signs of the US employment sector weakening, and he believes the Fed will act before the employment sector truly deteriorates. The employment sector is known to be a lagging factor and normally is one of the last points of the economy to react. Therefore, many members of the Federal Open Market Committee believe a proactive cut is necessary.

A big factor in the decision of the Federal Reserve will be next week’s employment data for August. Particularly, economists will be focusing on the Non-Farm Employment Change and the Unemployment Rate. Most members of the FOMC said their decision will depend on August’s figures. Yesterday, Christopher Waller told journalists a 25 basis point cut would suffice unless August’s employment data triggers further concerns.

Currently, Reuters survey concerns that the market expects the NFP Employment Change to read 78,000 to 80,000. The survey also confirms projections that the US Unemployment Rate will rise from 4.2% to 4.3%. The projects alone paint a worrying picture which can support the price of Gold. However, if the figures are weaker, a 50-basis-point rate cut would become a possibility, and Gold may experience significant gains.

Lastly, Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook filed a lawsuit Thursday, arguing that President Donald Trump lacks the authority to remove her. The case sets up a legal battle that could test the Fed’s longstanding independence. The conflict is another reason why investors are again increasing their exposure to Gold.

The US, Russia, India And China​

A concern for analysts monitoring the global political sphere is the latest summit between Russia, China and India. The main question being asked by the market is how the US will react. Will the move to strengthen ties between India, Russia and China trigger another ‘trade conflict’, applying further strain on the global supply chain and consumer demand?

Prime Minister Narendra Modi is currently on a high-stakes tour of China, Japan, and Russia to strengthen ties. This seems to be a clear reaction to the 50% tariffs being applied to India from the US. After securing $68B in Japanese investments, the Indian Prime Minister heads to the SCO summit in Tianjin, his first China visit in seven years, to meet Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin, signalling a shift in US–India relations.

China, India and Russia currently make up the world’s second, fifth and eleventh largest economies. The three countries make up 22% of the world’s economy. This still falls short of the US, which is the largest economy at over 26% of the global total. The summit between the 3 is resulting in a lower risk appetite, which is supporting Gold.

XAUUSD - Technical Analysis​

XAUUSD 15-Minute Chart

The price of Gold is currently trading 0.22% lower but is not triggering any sell signals. The downward price movement is so far only forming a retracement as the commodity continues to form higher highs and lows. The price is also trading above the 50.00 level on the RSI and not far below the VWAP. Therefore, the sell bias remains weak.

On the 2-hour chart, the price remains above the trendline and above moving averages, indicating a bullish bias. However, investors wait for bullish momentum to be regained. Based on the whole retracement, the price increasing above $3,416.75 will trigger buy signals. Whereas, the current bullish breakouts indicate a buy signal at $3413.80. Many analysts believe the price of Gold could potentially move out of the current recurring price range and reach a new all-time high.

Key Takeaways:​

• Gold is climbing for a third straight day as markets expect Fed rate cuts despite strong GDP growth.
• FOMC member Christopher Waller signalled support for a 0.25% rate cut in September, with the decision hinging on August’s jobs data.
• Growing global tensions, especially India’s closer ties with China and Russia, are boosting demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
• Technicals show gold remains in a bullish trend, with analysts eyeing a potential breakout to new all-time highs above $3,416.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Michalis Efthymiou
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.