EURUSD – Fibonacci Analysis (SELL Bias) Take Profit 1.15793

autosignalfx

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Institutional Technical Breakdown | All Sessions


EUR/USD has generated a SELL signal based on the Fibonacci Retracement model, with price now reacting from a key Fib retracement zone that aligns with intraday resistance. Combined with weakening momentum and bearish divergence, the pair is showing strong signs of downward continuation.

This setup remains entirely technical, with no high-impact fundamental events distorting price action.

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📌 Signal Summary

  • Bias: SELL
  • Model: Fibonacci Retracement
  • Sessions: All Sessions
  • Risk/Reward: ~1:2.5
  • Market Environment: High liquidity, stable volatility
The algorithm identifies that EUR/USD has retraced into a strong Fib resistance cluster, setting up a clean reversal opportunity.

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📊 Technical Outlook

1. Fibonacci Confluence Zone

Price is currently reacting from the Fib retracement zone that aligns with:
  • 38.2% to 50% retracement of the recent swing
  • Intraday resistance around 1.16125 – 1.16155
This creates a layered confluence zone, a common institutional sell area where liquidity is engineered before reversal.

2. Momentum & Divergence

  • MACD & momentum indicators show bearish divergence, meaning price is making higher highs while momentum fails to follow.
  • This suggests bullish exhaustion and increases the probability of a reversal from the Fib zone.

3. Price Action Behavior

  • Wicks forming at the top of the fib band show rejection of higher prices.
  • Price has failed multiple attempts to break above 1.16155, forming a clear supply zone.
  • The structure remains in a lower-high formation, fitting well with a Fibonacci-based trend continuation.

4. Market Context

  • Liquidity remains high across all sessions (Asia, London, NY).
  • No major events for EUR or USD in the immediate horizon — clean technical environment.
  • USD maintains a mildly strong macro tone.

📌 Key Technical Levels

Level TypePrice
Immediate Resistance1.16125
Immediate Support1.16065
Major Resistance1.16155
Major Support1.16035
The 1.16125–1.16155 zone aligns with Fibonacci resistance and acts as your sell area.

🎯 Trade Parameters (from the model)

  • Entry Price: 1.16095
  • Stop Loss: 1.16246
  • Take Profit: 1.15793
The SL is positioned above major resistance & Fibonacci cluster, ensuring structural protection.
The TP targets the next liquidity shelf near the 1.15800 handle, a common continuation zone.

🧠 Trade Rationale

  • Price reacting from a major Fibonacci retracement zone.
  • Breakdown expected toward the 1.16035 → 1.15800 liquidity pocket.
  • Confluence of bearish divergence, supply rejection, and lower-high structure.
  • EUR showing cross-pair weakness; USD maintaining strength intraday.
This creates a high-probability Fibonacci reversal-to-continuation setup.

📉 Risk Management Guidance

  • Risk 1–2% max per position.
  • Monitor volatility spikes near intraday session openings.
  • Enable trailing stop once price breaks below 1.16035.
  • If a candle closes above 1.16246, bearish bias is invalid.

📌 Analyst Conclusion

EUR/USD is positioned for a technical reversal from the Fibonacci resistance cluster, supported by divergence, price-action rejection, and broader USD strength. As long as the pair holds beneath 1.16125–1.16155, the bearish continuation toward 1.15793 remains the most probable path.
 
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