Decent in that exact context depends on lots of things.
To be sure, the Greeks control much of the universe of options in any market (no pun intended, but it does have a funny ring to it). Aside from Greeks controlling the universe (now, pun intended), my concern seems to come full circle, for example, when considering using PFGBest for my options consideration (off-setting trades). If I were forced to go back to the equity business, then I would never trade anything but derivatives on underlying stocks for the reasons of: Leverage, Revenue Optimization and Trade Optimization. My money management would by necessity need to be altered relative to currency trading, but I could work that out sufficiently.
My biggest problem, however, would still (at the end of the day) be options liquidity and for a number of different reasons. Example: Having to hunt down the right underlying stock with the right combination of volatility dynamics and trend stability (sounds contradicting but the way I trade, it is not), while at the same time having to make certain that the contract had enough Open Interest, was not always an easy task for me in years past. In fact, sometimes, it became a down right pain in the rear-end. And, I'm talking about household names like Northrop, General Dynamics and several others, that had the "right dynamics and trend stabilization" that I needed to get the job done. If I had to go back to the equity options business, I could still be consistently successful, but at a much lower level of Revenue Optimization. That's why I made the move to currencies.
Now, having access to currency derivatives is the best of both worlds, but still, the problem (at least down the road a bit) will be Open Interest and Trade Execution (for the same reasons stated above to OilDayTrader).
The other problem that I keep running into is the difference between Plain Vanilla Open Interest and European Style Open Interest. What I really need is American Style with plenty of Open Interest, but neither of those two things are factorials that I have been able to hunt down, anywhere. If I've missed a homework assignment, let me know where to look. The Digitals, while I find them very interesting and fairly easy to work with, don't allow me to get the kind of off-setting relationship that I need against my spot or pair positions. I can do it, but it gets too messy - I don't want to be hovering over my computer screen 24hrs a day, just to trade, so I've developed a fairly good fire-and-forget type system that works for me (my Black Box). Hummm, I guess I could do Digitals for the off-setting, but the messiness would become a management headache that I'd rather not have.
So, I'm stuck, until enough Open Interest comes and until more American Style versions of what's already out there becomes a reality. Frankly, I don't know why it is taking so darn long to get the American Style derivatives up and running. If you want real options hedging flexibility, then you really get maximum Trade Optimization through the American brand and not through European and/or Digital.
So, if you know of a source for executing Americans, please let me know - I'd appreciate the help - I'm trying to make a living here.
So to just say 'I'm going to be doing several yards' doesn't really tell me much.
It seems to be a problem with just about every "Forex" Broker I talk with and now even one of the largest BANKS in the business has a liquidity problem, too.
They claim a liquidity problem exists far below a Yard. At $500,000.00 cost basis (equity [from the account balance] in the trade), using 100:1 leverage (something they all frown upon), I'm being told by many Brokers (and now the largest BANK in the business) that a specific liquidity problem starts to emerge at that level of trading. I find it rather odd, that brokers and banks start talking liquidity problems between $20MM and $50MM notional value and virtually all of them don't allow single-click execution beyond this level.
If you call and speak with just about any intermediary out there right now, from brokers to banks, they all sell you on the idea of
'unlimited trade size available', but in reality, as soon as you hit the $2.5MM notional value level (per trade), they start to algorithmically
gear-up the spread you pay. Then they claim that the reason they are algorithmically gearing-up the spreads (above $2.5MM notional) has everything to do with
their risk in the trade, because you are using leverage.
Well, somebody stop the presses. "Their Risk In The Trade?"
Isn't that precisely why they program (code) their software (trading platforms) with an auto-margin-call function. Of course, it is. That code is there to protect the Intermediary and by logical consequence, it also protects the trader. With that function call, they can eliminate 99.99% of negative margin problems. So, using that as the excuse for raising the spread, merely because the trader enters the market beyond the $2.5MM notional level on a single trade, does not pass the logic test. So, there must be an ulterior motive here on the part of these intermediaries.
So, sure, true liquidity in a projected $5 Trillion (for from 2007 to 2010) market for somebody pushing a lousy $1 Billion notional trade into that same market, should (logically) not be much of a problem at all. However, not if the brokers and intermediaries are allowed to tell the story because according to them, doing large deals raises your cost per trade algorithmically and by the way, also presents a "liquidity problem" to the market.
Somebody is not telling the full truth here. Logically, this makes no sense.
Either we are trading a multi-trillion per day market, or not. Either the liquidity is there, or not. Either the brokers and intermediaries can handle large trades ($1 Billion notional value) or not. How can a $1 Billion trade not find a matching counter-party or a series of matching counter-parties in a market turning-over Trillions per day? It makes no sense, whatsoever.
Somebody is restricting (on-purpose) the maximum net notional value that you can execute in the market and they hide behind the risk assertion reasoning (lame) every single time, even when the vast majority of that risk is all but eliminated via the software itself. You simply cannot get a negative margin call from most FX intermediaries in the business today, yet they are still using this lame excuse to raise your trade cost by raising the spreads on larger deals. That is bogus.
I just got off the phone with a BANK (for goodness sakes) in New York, offering a so-called FX Trading Solution for both retail AND institutional traders. I was just told not minutes ago, that:
'...the prices you see in our trading platform, are not the same prices that you can execute trades in excess of $2.5 to $5.0 million notional value...'
Well, shock me stupid then! If I'm using 100:1 and trading $2.0 million notional value, then that means my equity in the trade was a lousy
$20,000.00. That's right folks, twenty thousand lousy dollars and your spread start to increase via mathematical algorithm used by this particular BANK. What a crock!
What the heck am I going to do with a lousy $20,000 trade! That's peanuts - heck, that's not even peanuts - that's dirty. Beyond this level, your trade cost goes up with this BANK. Emphasis on BANK folks, not a Broker!
I tried to get the BANK rep pinned down on at least a range of fluctuation to expect. I was told that giving me such a range was not possible. Thus, that means, for any trade above $2.5 million (a lousy $25,000 trade at 100:1), I could get filled at just about
any spread range. That's bull! How can I manage my cash that way? How can I even code my trade signals that way, when I don't even know where I should set my Limits within a
reasonable range of expectancy.
Yes, I know - the
real currency market does fluctuate rapidly. Yes, I get that already. But, what about the constant advertising that goes on with these intermediaries where they always promise you that their "proprietary technology" (yeah, right) rapidly consolidates the best prices from the top liquidity providers and passes only the best Bid/Ask range through to our award winning trading platform where you (the trader) receive full price transparency and The Price You See Is The Price You Get." (or words to that effect) Lies, lies, lies. Award winning my rear-end. Price Transparency my rear-end. Best Aggregated Bid/Ask, Turbo this, Turbo that, Real-Time this or that, my royal rear-end.
Give me some solid food to eat please - I'm starving here.
Talking to this BANK today, was frustrating but it was very revealing. People want to know WHY they are not getting filled at the spreads advertised on websites all over the net - well, THIS is why, folks. If you are trading over $2.5MM notional value (a lousy $20,000.00 trade), then your trade is subject to Partial Fills at Higher Spreads - period.
But in practice, what it usually means is in sub 3m stuff, trading around the say 30d handle, you're talking in several tens of millions before dealer intervention kicks in. Can't say exactly how many tens for the exact reasons I stated above, but I have a feeling it's bigger than your size is going to be anyway. Over and above that size electronic execution is never going to be the best way of obtainingn a decent fill anyway. There are always better prices to be had out there if you have the right interbank relationships.
Well, help me understand why a BANK, supposedly the largest interbank liquidity provider in the world (or this side of heaven anyway), would tell me that I'm going to run into liquidity problems at $2.5MM notional? And, that the reason why "other FX Brokers" advertise low "fixed spreads" while telling you that you can trade that same $2.5MM notional value, is because there is "little to no real liquidity behind their offer of $2.5MM?"
Again, somebody is not telling the truth here. The Brokers say, sure, you can trade with the Banks, but they will increase your per trade costs for the privilege of doing so. The Banks say, sure, you can trade with the Brokers, but you can't rely on their tighter spreads at higher notional values and expect good fills.
I say, BOTH of them are full of it!
Nowhere on the BANK's website (the one I just got off the phone with) does it say anything about being geared-up in terms of my per trade cost, once I start executing beyond $2.5MM notional value. That is an incredibly tiny trade folks! This leads me to believe that most people that are not constantly seeing Partial Fills and Trade Cost Increases through Higher Spreads, are most likely still trading Lots and doing so, well below the $20MM notional level. Which means most of you out there in the land of Forex, are probably PayPal Traders or Credit Card Traders and you know what I mean by that.
I mean, what am I supposed to do. Just have my bank manager wire over $7 million into my new FX account, just so I can get jammed up and slowed down by a lousy $20,000 trade limit with Partial Fills on everything I execute and Spreads that make no sense or that I have no way of verifying were real in the first place? This really stinks and I am fuming right about now. I finally get to the point of wanting to open up the throttle on my trading and now I find out that I'm stuck with unreliable trade execution: "Maybe we can get you filled at...X. Maybe we can get you filled at...Y. Maybe this, or maybe that...Z. I don't need an intermediary giving a bunch of maybe at this stage in my growth.
Sorry, I'm having a bad day today - I'm getting all kinds of bad news this fine Wednesday regarding trading.
Oh, and Barclays? Well, they never called back. Again, that could be a good thing (not out looking for PayPal type Traders) or it could be a bad thing (no clue about how to conduct good Customer Service).
Who the heck am I going to trade with? I'm a Trader with no home! Frustrating as heck!!!
I need:
- A reliable firm - first and foremost.
- A reliable stand-alone trading platform written (coded) by people who understand trading.
- A no hassle way to execute on trades between $20MM and $1BN notional value (I don't care if I have to break them up sever times).
- A reliable network to connect to (high network availability).
- A reliable access point to deep liquidity on a consistent basis.
- Low trade costs.
In other words, I need the
real support that
real traders need to get their jobs done. I'm tired of getting jerked around on ever 800 number call I make, lied to on every website I visit and having my questions ignored on every chat session I have with FX "intermediaries." Is there anything
real in this business or not.
Is this pie in the sky, or does it actually exist? My trading has reached a point where I can't continue to deal with frozen trading platforms, busy 800 numbers when the platform is frozen and having my trades clogged up like so many bathroom drainage pipes.
The company that has the sense to start a true FX trade execution service with genuine pass-through and a good (fast/high speed) size aggregation algorithm into the
real interbank market, is going to be the company that cleans up the entire FX (retail/commercial) industry.
There is PLENTY of liquidity out there, I know. Our problem as traders is not liquidity, but greedy intermediaries. If I were an intermediary, I'd hone in on my best traders (customers) and instead of constantly trading against them, or increasing their spread while using the lame risk story for the reason why, I'd simply trade
with them and make more profits for my business that way. In fact, it is a great way for me to locate the best traders, without having to pay them to trade for me - they pay me (a decent and fair spread) and I get to profit on their history of high trade success.
I need to grow. There must be a better way....