Daily Global Analysis By zForex

Daily Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.21.2025​

Dollar's Dip Impacts Currencies and Gold​

The financial markets experienced significant fluctuations, driven by a weakening U.S. dollar and escalating trade tensions.

The EUR/USD climbed with concerns over the Federal Reserve's independence, while the Japanese yen strengthened as the dollar weakened. Gold prices surged to a new all-time high, fueled by trade fears and a low-yield environment. The British pound extended its winning streak, supported by the dollar's slide, and silver prices hovered.

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EUR/USD Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.21.2025​

EUR/USD Surges to 1.1470 on Dollar's Three-Year Low​

EUR/USD opened the week with strong momentum, climbing to around 1.1470 on Monday morning. This surge came as the U.S. dollar index dropped to a fresh three-year low near 98.6, pressured by rising concerns about the Federal Reserve’s independence. Market anxiety intensified following renewed criticism from President Donald Trump, who stated last week that the removal of Fed Chair Jerome Powell "cannot come fast enough," calling for deeper rate cuts. These remarks added to ongoing market unease already fueled by trade tensions and policy uncertainty under the Trump administration.

Key resistance levels are seen at 1.1530, 1.1600, and 1.1680, while support is located at 1.1400, 1.1260, and 1.1180.

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Gold Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.21.2025​

XAU/USD Driven by ECB Rate Cut​

Gold prices surged more than 1% on Monday, reaching a new all-time high above $3,370 per ounce. The rally was driven by intensifying global trade tensions and a weakening U.S. dollar, which has fallen to its lowest level in three years. The dollar’s decline has made gold more attractive to non-dollar investors.

The latest catalyst came from President Trump’s order for a probe into possible new tariffs on all U.S. critical mineral imports, sparking further trade fears, especially with China. The ECB’s recent rate cut also strengthened gold’s appeal in a low-yield environment. Sentiment was further shaken after White House adviser Kevin Hassett confirmed that the administration is still reviewing Powell’s position, deepening concerns about the Fed’s autonomy.

Key resistance is at $3400, followed by $3,450 and $3,500. Support stands at $3356, then $3310, and $3250.

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Daily Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.22.2025​

The dollar weakened further on Tuesday as concerns over the Fed’s independence and mounting U.S.-China trade tensions rattled investors.
EUR/USD remained firm above 1.15, while the Japanese yen surged to seven-month highs and gold hit a record above $3,460 on safe-haven flows. The British pound extended gains despite softer inflation data, and silver rebounded toward $33 amid geopolitical risks. Markets now await central bank commentary and trade policy clarity amid rising political noise.

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EUR/USD Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.22.2025​

EUR/USD Holds Firm as U.S. Policy Uncertainty Grows​

EUR/USD traded around 1.1530 on Tuesday, while the dollar index remained around 98.4, weighed down by concerns about the Federal Reserve’s independence and escalating trade tensions. President Trump called for swift rate cuts and suggested removing Fed Chair Jerome Powell, fueling worries over political influence on monetary policy. The sentiment was further impacted by stalled US-China negotiations and China’s warnings to countries aligning with Washington.

Key resistance is at 1.1550, followed by 1.1600 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1400, then 1.1260 and 1.1180.

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GBP/USD Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.22.2025​

UK Inflation Eases, But Pound Strengthens​

The British Pound rose above $1.34 on Tuesday, its highest level in seven months, supported by broad dollar weakness. This gain came despite UK inflation softening more than expected, with headline CPI at 2.6% and services inflation down to 4.7%. Easing price pressures led markets to raise expectations for Bank of England rate cuts, now pricing in 86 basis points of easing by year-end, with a fourth cut increasingly likely.

If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, resistance levels are at 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support is at 1.3300, followed by 1.3200 and 1.3050.

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Daily Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.23.2025​

Markets Stabilize as Trump Calms Fed Concerns​

Global markets stabilized on Wednesday after President Trump confirmed he would not remove Fed Chair Powell, easing fears over central bank independence.

The dollar firmed slightly on improved sentiment, pushing EUR/USD back toward 1.1400 and weighing on gold and silver. The yen held steady near 142, and the British pound dipped from recent highs as traders awaited key PMI data from the UK, Eurozone, and U.S. Gold slipped further from its all-time high, while silver eased on risk-on flows and softer trade rhetoric.

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EUR/USD Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.23.2025​

Euro Pauses Near 1.1400 as Trade Tensions Ease​

The euro is trading near 1.1400, easing after President Trump confirmed he does not plan to remove Fed Chair Powell. The currency also faced pressure from reduced trade war tensions, which supported the U.S. Dollar Index. Markets now await key PMI data from major Eurozone economies and the bloc overall.

Key resistance is at 1.1460, followed by 1.1580 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1260, then 1.1200 and 1.1150.

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USD/JPY Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.23.2025​

Yen Holds Ground as Dollar Strength Eases​

The Japanese yen hovered around 142 per dollar on Wednesday, after falling over 1% the day before. The decline followed a stronger U.S. dollar, driven by easing U.S.-China trade tensions and reduced concerns about Fed independence. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent called the tariff conflict “unsustainable,” raising hopes for a resolution, though he noted talks would be slow. President Trump added confidence by saying he won’t replace Fed Chair Powell. In Japan, April data showed a return to private sector growth, led by services, rebounding from a March contraction.

Key resistance is at 142.50, with further levels at 144.00 and 145.90. Support stands at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.

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Daily Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.24.2025​

Markets Keep Steady During Fed Reassures, Tariff Fears​

The euro held near $1.1350 on Thursday as concerns over Fed independence eased but skepticism toward the U.S. dollar lingered.

The yen gained on renewed U.S.-China trade friction, while gold rebounded toward $3,360 as negotiations stalled. Silver surged above $33.50, supported by both safe-haven demand and industrial optimism. The British pound remained resilient near $1.3280 as Trump’s support for Powell helped stabilize investor sentiment. Traders now await further signals from ongoing global tariff discussions and upcoming economic releases.

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GBP/USD Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.24.2025​

Pound Resilient Amid Easing Policy Jitters​

The British pound held firm at around 1.3280 on Thursday morning, maintaining levels seen in the previous session. Support came after comments from U.S. President Donald Trump helped calm markets, especially his confirmation that there are no intentions to dismiss Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. The statement was welcomed by investors, reinforcing confidence in the Fed’s independence and the broader stability of U.S. monetary policy.

If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, resistance levels are at 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support is at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.

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Gold Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.24.2025​

Gold Climbs as US-China Tariff Talks Stall​

Gold edged closer to $3,360 on Thursday, rebounding after a two-day decline as US-China trade uncertainty continued to support safe-haven demand. Treasury Secretary Bessent noted that tariff relief is needed for talks to advance, although President Trump ruled out unilateral cuts. Meanwhile, proposed exemptions for automakers helped ease market concerns. Gold remains up over 30% year-to-date, with the gold-to-silver ratio near its highest level since 1994, excluding the pandemic period.

Key resistance is at $3410, followed by $3,500 and $3,600. Support stands at $3315, then $3290 and $3250.

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Daily Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.25.2025​

Markets Steady as Trump Eases Trade and Fed Concerns​

The U.S. dollar rebounded on Friday as President Trump reassured markets that U.S.-China trade talks continue and clarified his support for Fed Chair Powell.

EUR/USD traded near 1.1350, while the yen weakened to around 143 per dollar amid easing global tensions. Gold held near $3,330 as cautious sentiment persisted, while silver hovered around $33.50. The British pound stayed flat, with upcoming economic releases likely to guide next week’s direction.

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EUR/USD Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.25.2025​

Trump Reassures on Trade and Fed​

The EUR/USD traded near 1.1350 on Friday, while the US Dollar Index rose above 99.5, recovering from earlier losses. The dollar strengthened after President Trump reassured markets that trade talks with China would continue, despite Beijing’s denials. Optimism also grew on reported progress with Japan and South Korea. Earlier, Treasury Secretary Bessent said US-China tariffs must be reduced significantly for real progress, increasing hopes for a deal. Trump also eased monetary policy concerns by stating he never planned to remove Fed Chair Powell. Although Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack mentioned a rate cut in June if needed, renewed trade optimism lifted the dollar.
Key resistance is at 1.1460, followed by 1.1580 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1260, then 1.1200 and 1.1150.

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Silver Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.25.2025​

Silver Holds Ground on Mixed Trade Signals​

Silver is trading around $33.50 on Friday morning, continuing to show greater sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts and trade news due to its dual role as both a precious and industrial metal. Recent price movements were shaped by mixed signals in U.S.-China trade relations. Although the Trump administration reportedly considered tariff reductions, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent clarified that no formal proposals have been made and negotiations have not yet begun.

Technically, silver faces initial resistance at $33.80, with further levels at $34.20 and $34.85 if the upward move continues. On the downside, immediate support is seen at $33.15, followed by $31.40 and $30.20 if further weakness occurs.

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Daily Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.28.2025​

Dollar Pressures Currencies, GBP Holds Steady​

EUR/USD slipped near 1.1360 as dollar strength and expectations of a dovish ECB weighed on the euro. The Japanese yen neared 144 against the dollar, pressured by improving global trade sentiment and ahead of renewed U.S.-Japan trade talks.

Gold dropped below $3,300 per ounce, losing ground as easing U.S.-China tensions and a stronger dollar reduced safe-haven demand. GBP/USD hovered around 1.3300, supported by strong UK retail sales and hopes for a U.K.-U.S. trade deal, while silver fell to $32.80, pressured by improved risk sentiment and a firm dollar as traders awaited key U.S. economic data later this week.

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EUR/USD Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.28.2025​

EUR/USD Falls on ECB Dovishness​

EUR/USD traded lower near 1.1360 on Monday, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar following easing U.S.-China trade tensions. Optimism grew after China reduced some tariffs and U.S. officials mentioned ongoing talks, although Beijing denied any formal negotiations. Meanwhile, expectations for a dovish ECB strengthened as Eurozone inflation is expected to stay below the 2% target.

Key resistance levels are at 1.1460, 1.1580, and 1.1680, while support lies at 1.1260, 1.1200, and 1.1150.

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Yen Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.28.2025​

Yen Nears 144 as U.S.-Japan Talks Continue​

The Japanese yen weakened toward 144 per dollar on Monday, extending last week’s slide as global trade sentiment improved and the dollar firmed. Markets reacted to a private meeting between Japan’s Finance Minister Kato and U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent, where both sides emphasized ongoing dialogue on currency issues. Meanwhile, Japan’s trade negotiator heads to Washington this week, while the Bank of Japan is expected to keep rates steady at 0.5% with concerns about the economic effects of U.S. tariffs.

Key resistance is at 144.00, with further levels at 145.90 and 146.75. Support stands at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.

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Daily Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.29.2025​

The euro slipped to 1.1415 as ECB rate cut bets strengthened, while the pound fell on growing BoE easing expectations.

The yen edged toward 144 ahead of the BoJ meeting, and gold retreated below $3,330 amid easing trade tensions and a firmer dollar. Silver softened to $33.00 as optimism grew around U.S.-China tariff negotiations. All eyes are now on key U.S. economic data, including Q1 GDP, PCE inflation, and nonfarm payrolls, for clues on Fed policy direction.

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Gold Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.29.2025​

Gold Retreats as Investors Eye Key Economic Data​

Gold fell below $3,330 per ounce on Tuesday as investors monitored tariff talks and awaited key economic data. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said many top U.S. trading partners made "very good" tariff proposals and noted China’s tariff exemptions signal de-escalation efforts. He stressed it is now up to China to act. A modest rebound in the U.S. dollar also pressured gold. Markets are focused on upcoming reports, including Q1 GDP, March PCE inflation, and April nonfarm payrolls, for clues on the economy and Fed policy.

Key resistance is at $3365, followed by $3,405 and $3,500. Support stands at $3250, then $3165 and $3050.

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GBP/USD Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.29.2025​

Pound Pressured by BOE Cut Expectations​

GBP/USD dipped to approximately 1.3425 during early Asian trading on Tuesday, as a slight rebound in the U.S. dollar put pressure on the pair. The dollar was supported by easing U.S.-China trade tensions, following China’s decision to exempt certain U.S. imports from tariffs, despite its denial of ongoing negotiations.

Meanwhile, expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Bank of England in May continue to weigh on the pound. Markets are now focused on an upcoming speech by BoE Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, with any dovish remarks likely to add further downside pressure on the GBP.

If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, resistance levels are at 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support is at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.

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Daily Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.30.2025​

Markets Steady as Tariff Hopes Offset Dovish Signals​

The euro rebounded toward 1.1375 but remained range-bound as dovish ECB rhetoric capped the upside. The yen fell to 142.4 after weak Japanese data, while the pound slipped to 1.338, still near a two-year high, supported by limited UK tariff exposure.

Gold dipped below $3,310 as tariff fears eased, though the metal stayed on course for its fourth monthly gain. Silver slid with a stronger dollar, while key U.S. data looms.

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EUR/USD Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.30.2025​

EUR/USD Rebounds but Stays Range-Bound​

EUR/USD bounced from nearly 1.1300 to 1.1375 but stayed range-bound as a modest dollar rebound caps gains. The euro is weighed by dovish ECB comments and growing June rate cut bets, while the dollar is supported ahead of key US data. ECB officials flagged easing inflation and trade risks. Still, Trump’s trade stance and Fed cut hopes limit USD strength. Markets now await Eurozone inflation and GDP, plus US ADP jobs, Q1 GDP, and PCE data.

Key resistance is at 1.1460, followed by 1.1580 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1260, then 1.1200 and 1.1150.

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Yen Analysis By zForex Research Team - 04.30.2025​

Yen Falls to 142.4 on Weak Data​

The Japanese yen fell to around 142.4 per dollar on Wednesday, its second day of losses, after weak March data showed industrial output and retail sales missed forecasts. Investors await the Bank of Japan's decision, with rates expected to stay at 0.5% and a cautious tone likely amid U.S. tariff risks. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent said “substantial talks” with Japan are ongoing, increasing hopes for a trade deal.

Key resistance is at 144.00, with further levels at 145.90 and 146.75. Support stands at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.
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Daily Analysis By zForex Research Team - 05.01.2025​

USD Strength on Trade Sentiment Impacts Currencies​

EUR/USD dropped to a two-week low near 1.1300 despite soft U.S. data, as hopes of potential trade deals lifted the dollar.

Gold extended its slide below $3,230 while silver steadied around $32.10 with weak U.S. growth and disappointing jobs data. GBP/USD also retreated slightly, weighed by a firmer dollar ahead of the U.S. non-farm payrolls report expected to influence Fed policy outlook.

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EUR/USD Analysis By zForex Research Team - 05.01.2025

EUR/USD Slides Below 1.1300​

EUR/USD dropped 0.2% on Thursday to around 1.1300, hitting a two-week low. Despite weak U.S. data, investor sentiment shifted toward optimism on trade, lifting the dollar. Comments from President Trump about potential deals with China, Japan, South Korea, and India supported the greenback, adding pressure on the euro. The pair remains under short-term bearish pressure as markets await Friday’s U.S. non-farm payrolls, which may signal a potential slowdown in job growth.

Resistance levels are seen at 1.1460, then 1.1580 and 1.1680, while support rests at 1.1260, followed by 1.1200 and 1.1150.
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Yen Analysis By zForex Research Team - 05.01.2025​

Yen Rises for Third Day as BoJ Holds Rates​

USD/JPY rose to 143.4 on Thursday, marking its third straight daily gain as the yen weakened following the Bank of Japan's decision to keep rates at 0.5%. This was the second consecutive meeting with no changes, as policymakers assess the impact of U.S. tariffs on Japan’s exports.

The dollar also gained after Trump’s comments hinted at progress in trade talks with Japan, India, and South Korea, along with optimism about a deal with China.

Resistance is located at 145.90, followed by 146.75 and 149.80. On the downside, support levels are at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
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Daily Analysis by zForex Research Team - 05.02.2025

Trade Optimism Cools Demand for Havens​

The euro dipped to $1.13 after a strong April, while the yen hovered near 146 amid fading safe-haven demand. Gold and silver extended losses as President Trump voiced optimism over trade deals with key Asian partners, easing tariff concerns.

Despite a Q1 contraction in the U.S. economy, the dollar gained on renewed confidence. The British pound rose to $1.332, supported by lower tariff exposure and cautious BoE outlook.

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Gold Analysis by zForex Research Team - 05.02.2025​

Gold Set for Second Weekly Loss on Trade Optimism​

Gold hovered near $3,250 on Friday, close to a two-week low and set for a second weekly loss, as easing trade tensions reduced safe-haven demand. China said it may start trade talks with the U.S., following Trump’s comments on potential deals with India, Japan, South Korea, and a "very good chance" with China. Trump also signed an order easing tariffs on autos and parts. U.S. data showed a Q1 economic contraction and flat March PCE inflation. Markets now await the nonfarm payrolls report for Fed policy signals.

Resistance is expected at $3,365, then $3,405 and $3,500. Support stands at $3,210, followed by $3,165 and $3,050.

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Silver Analysis by zForex Research Team - 05.02.2025​

Silver Falls to $32 on Trade Optimism​

Silver fell over 1% to near $32 per ounce on Thursday, its third straight drop, as easing trade tensions reduced safe-haven demand. President Trump signaled possible trade deals with India, Japan, and South Korea, and voiced optimism about China. Silver’s industrial outlook also weakened after the U.S. economy shrank 0.3% in Q1. This was its first contraction in three years, and China’s NBS manufacturing PMI fell to a 16-month low, with export orders plunging most since 2022.

The first resistance is seen at $33.80, with higher levels at $34.20 and $34.85 if momentum builds. Support begins at $32.00, followed by $31.40 and $30.20.

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Daily Analysis by zForex Research Team - 05.05.2025

Euro and Metals Rise as Dollar Weakens Ahead of Fed Decision
The euro edged up to $1.1340 as the U.S. dollar weakened on expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady this week. The yen gained slightly amid ongoing trade talks and a dovish Bank of Japan outlook.
Gold climbed above $3,260 and silver rose 0.7% to $32.20, both supported by safe-haven demand and a softer dollar. Meanwhile, GBP/USD approached 1.329 as traders await Thursday’s BoE decision, with markets pricing in a rate cut.

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EUR/USD Analysis by zForex Research Team - 05.05.2025

Euro Rises as Fed Seen Holding Rates Steady

The euro rose 0.3% to around 1.1340, rebounding from last week’s low of 1.1266. The U.S. dollar weakened due to strength in Asian currencies, uncertainty over trade policy, and expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged this week. A June rate cut also looks less likely. Trading volumes remained low as Japan and China observed public holidays, limiting market movement.
Resistance levels are seen at 1.1460, then 1.1580 and 1.1680, while support rests at 1.1260, followed by 1.1200 and 1.1150.


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GBP/USD Analysis by zForex Research Team - 05.05.2025

GBP/USD Hits 1.329 Ahead of BoE Decision

GBP/USD climbed to 1.329 today as the U.S. dollar weakened on speculation about Asian currency revaluations and cautious expectations for the Fed. Attention now turns to Thursday’s Bank of England meeting, where a 25 basis point rate cut is widely anticipated. Investors will look for guidance on further easing toward 3.50% by year-end. The pair also remains responsive to upcoming U.S. data, especially the ISM services report.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, the next resistance levels are 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support levels are at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.

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Daily Analysis by zForex Research Team - 06.05.2025

Markets Mixed Ahead of Fed: Gold Up, Euro Down​

The euro slipped to $1.1315 on Tuesday, pressured by dollar strength ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision. The yen also weakened toward 144, while gold surged to nearly $3,360 as renewed tariff threats increased safe-haven demand.

Sterling dipped to $1.3265, awaiting both Fed and Bank of England policy updates. Silver remained steady at nearly $33 as global uncertainty persisted.

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Yen Analysis by zForex Research Team - 06.05.2025

Yen Slips Toward 144 on Stronger Dollar​

The Japanese yen edged lower toward 144 per dollar on Tuesday, as the U.S. dollar strengthened amid optimism over potential U.S.-China trade talks and investor caution ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision. President Trump suggested a possible reduction in tariffs on Chinese goods. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan held rates steady but revised its growth and inflation outlook. Trading activity remained subdued due to a public holiday in Japan.

Resistance is located at 145.90, followed by 146.75 and 149.80. On the downside, support levels are at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.

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Gold Analysis by zForex Research Team - 06.05.2025

Gold Climbs on Safe-Haven Demand​

Gold climbed to nearly $3,360 per ounce on Tuesday, marking its highest level in over a week, as renewed tariff threats from President Trump increased safe-haven demand. Trump announced a 100% tariff on foreign films and signaled upcoming measures targeting pharmaceuticals. Investors are now focused on the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, with rates expected to stay unchanged despite Trump’s push for cuts.

Resistance is expected at $3,385, then $3,450 and $3,500. Support stands at $3,300, followed by $3,265 and $3,200.

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Daily Analysis by zForex Research Team - 07.05.2025

Global Markets Await Fed as Dollar Steadies

The euro edged down to $1.1338 on Wednesday, pressured by political uncertainty in Germany and caution ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision.

The yen reversed recent gains as optimism grew over U.S.-China trade talks, while gold and silver retreated on reduced safe-haven demand. The British pound held near $1.335 ahead of the Bank of England’s expected rate cut and forecasts.
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EUR/USD Analysis by zForex Research Team - 07.05.2025

Euro Slips to $1.1338 Ahead of Fed Decision

The euro fell 0.2% to $1.1338 on Wednesday, retreating from recent gains amid political developments in Germany. Although the U.S. dollar remained under pressure due to global outflows and trade-related uncertainty, the euro lacked clear direction as markets awaited the Federal Reserve’s policy decision. With rates likely to remain unchanged, uncertainty around future cuts and U.S. inflation kept EUR/USD range-bound.
Resistance levels are seen at 1.1460, then 1.1580 and 1.1680, while support rests at 1.1260, followed by 1.1200 and 1.1150.
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Gold Analysis by zForex Research Team - 07.05.2025

Gold Falls Below $3,380 on Trade Talk Hopes

Gold fell below $3,380 per ounce on Wednesday, ending a two-day rally, as news of an upcoming US-China meeting reduced safe-haven demand. The talks aim to ease trade tensions after last month’s tariff hikes by both nations. Investors now await the Federal Reserve’s policy decision and comments from Chair Powell, with rates expected to remain unchanged despite political pressure for cuts.
Resistance is expected at $3,460, then $3,500 and $3,550. Support stands at $3,350, followed by $3,300 and $3,265.

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Daily Analysis by zForex Research Team - 08.05.2025

Traders Weigh BoE Cut and Trade Announcements

The EUR/USD pair hovered above 1.1300 with reduced political uncertainty in Europe. The Japanese yen firmed to 143.6 per dollar as global trade tensions renewed precious metals interest and BoJ minutes signaled cautious openness to further hikes.

Gold slipped to $3,360 as the Fed held rates and dismissed preemptive cuts, though trade risks limited losses. GBP/USD remained steady near 1.33 ahead of a likely BoE rate cut, with optimism around a new UK-India trade deal offering support.

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Yen Analysis by zForex Research Team - 08.05.2025

Yen Firms with BoJ Caution

The Japanese yen strengthened to around 143.6 per dollar on Thursday, recovering as rising global trade uncertainty stimulated demand for gold. The move followed President Trump’s announcement of a deal with a “big” country, reportedly the UK, and his refusal to cut tariffs on China ahead of U.S.-China talks in Switzerland. U.S.-Japan negotiations continue, with Tokyo aiming to finalize a bilateral deal by June. Meanwhile, BoJ minutes showed policymakers remain open to rate hikes if inflation targets are met, though they flagged external risks from U.S. trade policy.
Resistance stands at 145.90, with further levels at 146.75 and 149.80. Support is found at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.

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Silver Analysis by zForex Research Team - 08.05.2025

Silver Slips as Fed Holds Rates

Silver rose more than 1% to approach the $33 mark on Thursday, supported by renewed interest on precious metals with ongoing trade and economic uncertainty. The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, with Chair Powell citing heightened risks while dismissing the need for early rate cuts. Sentiment was also influenced by President Trump’s announcement of an imminent trade deal, reportedly with the UK, and his firm stance on maintaining tariffs against China ahead of upcoming negotiations.
Technically, resistance is seen at $33.80, followed by $34.20 and $34.85, while support levels are noted at $32.00, $31.40, and $30.20.

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Daily Analysis by zForex Research Team - 09.05.2025

Dollar Gains Ground Before US-China Talks

EUR/USD edged higher near 1.1230, supported by a weaker dollar but capped by ECB rate cut expectations. The yen slipped past 145 as a preliminary US-UK trade deal and Fed hawkishness lifted the greenback.

EUR/USD edged higher near 1.1230, supported by a weaker dollar but capped by ECB rate cut expectations. The yen slipped past 145 as a preliminary US-UK trade deal and Fed hawkishness lifted the greenback. Gold and silver both eased, with gold dipping toward $3,290 and silver trading near $32.50 on waning safe-haven demand. GBP/USD held around 1.3240 after initial gains from a BoE rate cut faded with concerns over lingering US tariffs.

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EUR/USD Analysis by zForex Research Team - 09.05.2025

Euro Nears 1.1230 on Cautious ECB

EUR/USD edged up to 1.1230 in Friday’s Asian session, paring earlier losses caused by stronger U.S. data and easing trade tensions that supported the dollar. The euro remains under pressure as markets price in possible ECB rate cuts by June, though officials maintain confidence in inflation reaching the 2% target by year-end.
The pair faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside capped near 1.1460 and 1.1580. On the downside, support is seen at 1.1150, followed by 1.1100 and 1.1050.

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Gold Analysis by zForex Research Team - 09.05.2025

Gold Slips Toward $3,290 on Trade Optimism

Gold extended losses for a third day, dropping toward $3,290 as market appetite for risk improved ahead of U.S.-China trade talks. The announcement of a U.S.-UK trade deal also contributed to reduced safe-haven demand. The Fed held rates steady as expected, warning of risks to inflation and jobs but avoiding any hint of preemptive cuts. Still, gold is poised for a weekly gain.
Resistance is seen at $3,360, $3,430, and $3,500, while support holds at $3,270, $3,200, and $3,165.

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Daily Analysis by zForex Research Team - 14.05.2025

Soft CPI Lifts EUR, Weighs on USD
Soft U.S. inflation data weakened the dollar and lifted risk sentiment. EUR/USD climbed toward 1.1200, supported by falling U.S. CPI, while USD/JPY slipped toward 147 as the yen rebounded.

Gold dipped below $3,230 despite Fed rate cut bets, and silver retreated to mid-$31s after briefly breaching $33. GBP/USD held firm near 1.3300, steadying after tariff relief and ahead of key UK growth data.

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EUR/USD Analysis by zForex Research Team - 14.05.2025

EUR/USD at 1.1200 as Dollar Weakens on Soft CPI
EUR/USD climbed to around 1.1195 in Wednesday’s Asian session, recovering after a sharp 2.5% drop. The rebound followed underperforming U.S. CPI data for April, with annual inflation slowing to 2.3% from 2.4%, the lowest since February 2021.
Core CPI remained steady at 2.8%, in line with expectations. The softer data pressured the U.S. dollar and lifted the euro. Attention now shifts to Germany’s HICP release for fresh direction.
The pair faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside at 1.1460 and 1.1580, while support sits at 1.1040, followed by 1.1000 and 1.0960.

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Gold Analysis by zForex Research Team - 14.05.2025

Gold Under $3,230 with Risk-On Mood
Gold edged lower to around $3,230 in Wednesday’s session, facing selling pressure after optimism over a U.S.-China trade breakthrough reduced safe-haven demand. The recent tariff agreement lifted broader market sentiment, keeping gold near its weekly lows.
However, softer U.S. inflation data raised expectations for potential Fed rate cuts, slightly supporting the non-yielding metal. Traders await a firm break below the $3,200 level for signs of deeper downside.
Gold sees resistance at $3,325, $3,360, and $3,440, while support is held at $3,235, $3,200, and $3,165.

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Daily Analysis by zForex Research Team - 15.05.2025

Inflation Softens and Trade Momentum Builds​

The euro regained ground near 1.1200, supported by reserve status momentum and a weaker dollar, while the Japanese yen strengthened on growing pressure to eliminate U.S. car tariffs.

Gold hovered near $3,155 after a sharp drop, weighed by improved risk appetite, and silver slipped below $31.90 despite soft inflation data aiding foreign demand. Meanwhile, GBP/USD climbed toward 1.3300, supported by easing U.S. tariffs on British goods and expectations for key UK GDP data.

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EUR/USD Analysis by zForex Research Team - 15.05.2025​

Euro Rises Near 1.1200 on Reserve Status​

EUR/USD traded around 1.1200 during Thursday’s Asian session, rebounding ahead of the Eurozone’s Q1 2025 GDP report. The Euro remains supported by its rising role in global reserves, with Capital Economics noting its strongest position in years. U.S. policies under President Trump set this shift in motion, which is seen as weakening the dollar’s appeal as a popular asset. Germany’s increased fiscal spending has also lifted euro demand.

Despite ECB officials signaling more rate cuts, the Euro holds steady against a softer U.S. Dollar, which remains pressured by lingering trade uncertainty. Markets are now focused on U.S. retail sales and PPI data, while speculation grows that the U.S. might allow a weaker Dollar to aid exports.

EUR/USD faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside near 1.1460 and 1.1580. Support begins at 1.1040, followed by 1.1000 and 1.0960.
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Gold Analysis by zForex Research Team - 15.05.2025​

Risk Appetite Weighs on Gold​

Gold hovers near $3,155, attempting to stabilize after falling more than 2% the previous day. The metal trades below $3,200, pressured by improved risk appetite following U.S.-China tariff reductions and upcoming U.S. data releases, including PPI and Retail Sales.

Fed Chair Powell’s speech is also in focus, as markets seek clues on interest rate policy. While the weaker Dollar has lent gold some support, traders remain cautious ahead of potential rate-cut signals.

Key resistance is seen at $3,235, followed by $3,300 and $3,350. On the downside, support begins at $3,120, then $3,030 and $2,956.

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Daily Analysis by zForex Research Team - 16.05.2025

Gold and Silver Diverge as Risk Appetite Returns​

The euro advanced near $1.12 as the dollar softened, even as ECB rate cut bets remained firmly priced in. The yen strengthened for a fourth straight day despite a contraction in Japan’s Q1 GDP.

Gold hovered around $3,220, pressured by improved risk appetite. The pound climbed past $1.33 after strong UK GDP figures, while silver dipped to $32.50 amid reports of new U.S. sanctions on Chinese semiconductor firms, weakening its industrial demand outlook.

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GBP/USD Analysis by zForex Research Team - 16.05.2025

Pound Gains on Strong UK GDP​

The British pound climbed to $1.3320 on Friday after strong UK GDP data showed the economy grew 0.7% in Q1 and 1.3% year-over-year, easing pressure on the Bank of England to cut rates aggressively. While a cut is still likely, the solid growth figures suggest urgency has diminished. At the same time, a softer U.S. dollar, driven by speculation that the U.S. may be allowing depreciation to support exports, has supported sterling. However, the UK’s broader outlook remains mixed, with rising unemployment and slowing wage growth signaling uneven momentum.

GBP/USD faces resistance at 1.3350, with additional levels at 1.3450 and 1.3550. Support levels are at 1.3160, 1.3000, and 1.2960.

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Silver Analysis by zForex Research Team - 16.05.2025​

Silver Retreats on Semiconductor Tensions​

Silver pulled back to around $32.50 in Friday’s Asian session, giving up part of its recent gains following reports that the U.S. plans to blacklist several Chinese semiconductor firms. Given silver’s integral role in electronics and chip manufacturing, the news weighed on sentiment.

Demand for precious metals has also weakened with easing trade tensions, as the U.S. and China agreed to reduce tariffs, cutting U.S. duties from 145% to 30% and China’s from 125% to 10%. Despite this, silver found support from a weakening U.S. dollar, which followed soft economic data reinforcing expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Powell, however, warned that persistent supply shocks could complicate inflation control moving forward.

Resistance begins at $32.50, with further levels at $33.80 and $34.20. Support is seen at $31.40, followed by $30.20 and $29.80.

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Daily Analysis by zForex Research Team - 19.05.2025

Dollar Strengthens on Trade Deal Pause
The U.S. dollar gained traction Monday after the U.S. and China agreed to pause retaliatory tariffs for 90 days, prompting a gap lower in EUR/USD to 1.1064. Meanwhile, Moody’s downgraded the U.S. credit rating, citing fiscal concerns, sparking risk aversion and supporting safe-haven assets like gold and the yen.

Gold rebounded to $3,220, while silver hovered near $32.30. The pound climbed toward 1.3300 on weak U.S. data and firm UK GDP. Equities showed mixed sentiment amid policy and geopolitical uncertainty.

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EUR/USD Analysis by zForex Research Team - 19.05.2025

EUR/USD Falls to 1.1064 on Dollar Strength

The EUR/USD pair started the week with a downside gap, falling to 1.1064 on Monday as the U.S. dollar gained strength. The move followed easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China, after weekend talks resulted in a joint agreement to pause retaliatory tariffs for 90 days. The U.S. committed to cutting additional tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%, while China agreed to reduce its tariffs on American imports from 125% to 10%.
The key resistance is located at 1.1260 and the first support stands at 1.1040.

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USD/JPY Analysis by zForex Research Team - 19.05.2025

Yen Strengthens as U.S. Rating Cut Sparks Risk Aversion
USD/JPY declined to around 144.80 on Monday, hitting its lowest level in over a week amid renewed selling pressure during Asian trading. The pair extended last week’s pullback from a nearly six-week high, driven by firm expectations that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates again in 2025. Additionally, Moody’s unexpected downgrade of the U.S. sovereign credit rating to "Aa1" from "Aaa" heightened market caution. The agency cited growing national debt as the key concern, prompting risk aversion and supporting the safe-haven Japanese yen.
The key resistance is at $148.60 meanwhile the major support is located at $139.70.

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