Daily Forex Analysis from FidelisCM

FidelisCM17

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The main events on March 27, 2017

The dollar fell to its lowest level against the yen since late November in Asia on Monday on heightened political risk concerns as a Republican-controlled Congress and presidency are in focus to deliver on economic plans for tax cuts and spending following a failed effort to reform healthcare.
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, dropped 0.47% to 99.12.

USD/JPY changed hands at 110.36, down 0.91%, while AUD/USD traded at 0.7624, flat. GBP/USD traded at 1.2520, up 0.38%.

Gold prices gained in early Asia on Monday as investors see a week of political risk events, including Britain's move to formally start its break from the European Union. Gold rose 0.73% to $1,252.90

Oil prices fell on Monday as rising U.S. drilling activity outweighed talks that an OPEC-led production cut initially due to end in mid-2017 may be extended. Brent eased 22 cents, or 0.4 percent, from their last close to $50.58 per barrel. WTI down 32 cents, or 0.7 percent, at $47.65 a barrel.

News for Today:
The Ifo Institute is to report on German business climate.
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans and Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan are both to speak.

Main Events of the week:

Tuesday, March 28
The U.S. is to release data on consumer confidence.
Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz is to speak.
Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan is to speak.

Wednesday, March 29
The UK is to publish data on net lending.
Chicago Fed President Charles Evans is to speak.
The U.S. is to release a report on pending homes sales.

Thursday, March 30
In the euro zone, Germany and Spain are to release preliminary data on inflation.
Canada is to publish figures on raw material price inflation.
The U.S. is to release revised data on fourth quarter growth along with the weekly report on initial jobless claims.

Friday, March 31
Japan is to publish data on household spending and inflation.
New Zealand is to report on business confidence.
China is to release its official manufacturing and services PMI’s.
Germany is to release figures on retail sales and unemployment change. Meanwhile, the euro zone is to publish preliminary data on inflation.
The UK is to report on the current account and release revised data on fourth quarter growth.
The U.S. is to round up the week with data on personal income and spending, a report on manufacturing activity in the Chicago region and revised data on consumer sentiment.

EUR/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.
Our preference: long positions above 1.0810 with targets at 1.0850 & 1.0880 in extension.
Alternative scenario: below 1.0810 look for further downside with 1.0790 & 1.0770 as targets.
Comment: the RSI shows upside momentum.

Supports and resistances:
1.0900
1.0880
1.0850
1.0830 Last
1.0810
1.0790
1.0770

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Review provided by broker Fidelis Capital Markets
 
Last edited by a moderator:
The main events on March 28, 2017

-The dollar fell slightly in a light Asian data day with the market in a holding pattern as assessments are reviewed on prospects for a massive U.S. tax cut and major spending plans this year following President Donald Trump's defeat on a repeal and replacement of Obamacare.
-The U.S. dollar index eased 0.02% at 99.01.
-USD/JPY changed hands at 110.63, down 0.02%, while AUD/USD gained 0.16% to 0.7629. GBP/USD traded at 1.2565, up 0.06%.
-Gold prices dipped in Asia on Tuesday as investors mulled renewed demand prospects from China following data that showed China's net-gold imports via main conduit Hong Kong surged 50.8% month-on-month in February. Gold eased 0.19% to $1,253.35 a troy ounce
-Oil prices rose on Tuesday, supported by a weak dollar, but crude continued to be weighed down by surging U.S. production and uncertainty over whether an OPEC-led supply cut is big enough to rebalance the market.
-Brent gained 20 cents from their last close to $50.95 per barrel.
-WTI were up 24 cents at $47.97 a barrel.

News for Today:
-The U.S. is to release data on consumer confidence.
-Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz is to speak.
-Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan is to speak.

Main Events of the week:

Wednesday, March 29
The UK is to publish data on net lending.
Chicago Fed President Charles Evans is to speak.
The U.S. is to release a report on pending homes sales.

Thursday, March 30
In the euro zone, Germany and Spain are to release preliminary data on inflation.
Canada is to publish figures on raw material price inflation.
The U.S. is to release revised data on fourth quarter growth along with the weekly report on initial jobless claims.

Friday, March 31
Japan is to publish data on household spending and inflation.
New Zealand is to report on business confidence.
China is to release its official manufacturing and services PMI’s.
Germany is to release figures on retail sales and unemployment change. Meanwhile, the euro zone is to publish preliminary data on inflation.
The UK is to report on the current account and release revised data on fourth quarter growth.
The U.S. is to round up the week with data on personal income and spending, a report on manufacturing activity in the Chicago region and revised data on consumer sentiment.

EUR/USD Intraday: bullish bias above 1.0850
Our preference: long positions above 1.0850 with targets at 1.0875 & 1.0895 in extension.
Alternative scenario: below 1.0850 look for further downside with 1.0815 & 1.0790 as targets.
Comment: a support base at 1.0850 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

Supports and resistances:
1.0905
1.0895
1.0875
1.0865 Last
1.0850
1.0815
1.0790

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