wouldn't disagree with those points Chump....sorry, the point I was (lamely) trying to make was, psychology leads the funnymentals.......if you check out the talking heads & soothsayers out there, they've all been pitching their tunes as to "sell the buck/buy sterling".....and continued to do so since it skidded off 8800.
84 was supposed to be the turning point, again they hollered at 82/150 etc.....you'd give yourself one almighty headache if you attempted to unravel & decipher all the contrary arguments as to why the buck should be strong/weak v/s Euro/Sterling........
just punt the damned thing according to the canvas & mkt (psychology) forces....worry bout selling the buck when the reversal patterns consolidate & bed in.....
I don't think there are too many folks out there (me included if I'm honest) who understand the full implications of when we should begin buying or selling one currency at given levels, which is why quite a few folks are getting zapped averaging into losing positions attempting to pick a bottom at these support camps!
let the so called market experts get their pinkies burned, I'll stick to observing me canvas & hopping on the moving train 😉