BTC V-Shape & Gold Breakout: My Setup for the Weekend

OsborneAdams

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Hi everyone, Osborne Adams here.

Wanted to share a quick market breakdown based on today’s price action (Friday, Dec 12). I use a combination of old-school macro logic and custom AI sentiment analysis.

The Setup:We had a classic "Bear Trap" on Bitcoin this morning.

  • Price Action: BTC dipped below the $90k psychological support, grabbed liquidity, and instantly reclaimed the range.
  • Current Price: $92,530.
  • The Play: This SFP (Swing Failure Pattern) on the daily chart suggests the weekend will be bullish. As long as we hold $91,500, I am looking for a retest of $94k.
The Confluence (Gold):Gold is the leading indicator right now. It broke the $4,200 consolidation and is trading at $4,335.

  • Correlation: When Gold leads with this strength during a "soft dollar" news day (Jobless claims up), Crypto usually follows with a 12-24 hour lag.
My Execution:I am long BTC from the $90.5k reclaim. Stops at breakeven now.I am also holding Gold spot positions as a hedge against the weekend volatility.

The "Fear Index" was at 26 yesterday, which was a perfect contrarian buy signal. The AI models are flipping back to neutral/bullish.

Trade safe and keep your stops tight.
 

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