Thanks
the blades said:
Man group will offer quotes on any share with a market cap above £10M. I know IG quote above £20M, and suspect they will also quote down to a cap of £10M.
I suspect there are 900 shares posted on IG's website? Above £10M would widen your scope from 900 companies, wouldn't it?
Obviously, you'll get some stinking spreads on the companies capitalised down to only £10M. No doubt you've allowed for this?
Cheers,
UTB
Thanks for the reply;
All I have is historic EOD data; so I don't actually know the market caps of the ~3800 shares in my analysis set. In an effort to simulate IG's £10m market cap. min. I've restricted my full share-set by excluding stocks < 200p. This takes the ~3800 LSE stocks down to ~900. Unfortunately, my strategy payoffs suffer quite dramatically after this!
I'm using a total spread of ~6% in my model (3% on open, 3% on close); I _think_ that this represents the worst-case spreads (based on IG's dealing handbook.)
What I'm finding out is the dramatic difference between a sanitized computer model, and the nitty gritty of the real world!
I'm pretty sure, though, that the overall profitability (more accurately cash-liquidity) of my strategy correlates directly with the total share range that it's exposed to; i.e. the more shares, the better. Coming down from ~3000 shares exposure to ~900 (assuming these 900 are ~= all LSE shares >200p) reduces the success/failure ratio (on monthly periods, last 10Y historic) from 2/1 to 1/1.
This in turn means that I'm exposed to potentially many months of continual losses before a month or two of bigger wins. While that's still great, it's still frustrating because I know that with a bigger share-range exposure I should be able to take (albeit) small wins most months, as opposed to losses at least half of the months!
Anyway, thanks again for your input.
I think that my best bet for now will be to run the strat. on paper for a couple of months and to phone ALL the brokers I can find for every buy signal that I get. That may be the only way to really find this out.
I was hoping that some brokers already had a reputation for big coverage of the LSE, but it looks like IG's >£10m marcap is about maximal. I guess I'll just have to do the legwork of phoning up all the brokers every day for all of my buy signals...
D.