Brent holds above $56 after US crude stocks rise less than expected

epic_research

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Brent crude held steady above $56 a barrel on Wednesday, and US crude rose briefly more than $1, after a smaller than expected rise in US crude stocks were viewed by some as a sign that a supply glut was starting to abate.

The gains in futures, however, were capped by a warning from the International Energy Agency (IEA) that ample global production would still swell world inventories before investment cuts begin to significantly dent output.

Brent March crude futures had ticked down 13 cent to $56.30 by 0334 GMT, after losing $1.91 during the previous session on the IEA expectations.

US March crude futures were trading up 30 cents at$50.32, after falling $2.84 in the previous session.

Oil prices are expected to test support levels, with Brent crude showing a good chance of breaking below $56.21, while US crude could potentially break below $49.88, according to Wang Tao, a Reuters market analyst.

US crude stockpiles rose last week less than half of what analysts had expected as refineries cut output, data from industry group the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed after the oil market settled on Tuesday.

US crude stocks rose by 1.6 million barrels in the week to Feb. 6, the API said, compared with expectations for a increase of 3.7 million barrels.

Earlier on Tuesday the IEA had said the United States will remain the world’s top source of oil supply growth up to 2020, even after the recent collapse in prices.

That bearish outlook was supported by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA), which kept its 2015 and 2016 domestic oil output forecasts virtually unchanged from the previous month.

The EIA expects total US oil production in 2015 to be 9.3 million bpd, slightly lower than the 9.31 million bpd forecast in last month’s short-term energy outlook.

The head of Kremlin-controlled energy giant Rosneft said on Tuesday that OPEC had erred in not cutting output in a broadside blaming low oil prices on forces from financial speculators to US government policy.
 
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