Thanks for sharing the charts—on your current list, which 1–2 tickers have the tightest stop/target ratio? I’m seeing your red zones line up with prior supply; curious where you’d invalidate.
Nice map. I’d want an hourly close back through your 224.33 pivot before targeting 226.5; lose 220.77 on rising volume and I’d stand aside. My read: neutral bias until that reclaim prints—cleaner R/R.
Quick recap: yesterday→today the model showed a mild upward bias, but price sold off hard. Treat “mismatch days” as information: sentiment flipped; only act on confirmed triggers. My trade map:
• Bull path — reclaim and hold VWAP, then break above Prior Day High (PDH) with rising volume → look...
+1 on expectancy > win%. I track EV per trade in R and time-in-market. In my tests, pushing WR often compresses R:R. My sweet spot is ~40–45% WR at ~1.7–1.9R; what mix are you seeing across regimes?
Solid backtest. To avoid swaps eating edge, consider futures or IBKR margin vs CFDs. Could you share out-of-sample results + live equity curve? Also trade count, max DD, and worst peak-to-valley stretch would help evaluate robustness.
Here’s my scenario map for TSLA into Tuesday. Today closed near 335 after a tight intraday range; I’m planning two paths:
A) Bull scenario: hold above 337 off the open → push toward 342, then a run at the June swing high near 348–350.
B) Bear scenario: gap/fade below 331–330 (today’s lower...
Agree. expectancy > win%. I track EV per trade (R) + time-in-market; pushing win rate often crushes R:R. Sweet spot for me is ~42% WR at ~1.8R. What’s yours?
Nice read. DXY kissing the 50-DMA — my signals say sell-the-rip into ~1.0950 unless we close back above 1.10. What’s your invalidation for today’s EURUSD plan?
Base case into Monday lines up bearish: MarketCrunch’s read points to $308.8 (-6.6%) vs Friday’s $330.56 close with very low confidence—so we prep A/B.
A) Bear path: Early slip under 327 opens 321–322, then 312–309 if momentum builds. Invalidation = reclaim 330–332 on a 15m close.
B) Squeeze...
Today’s CPI print showed airfares jumping 4% m/m, and the whole airline complex squeezed: UAL/DAL/AAL +8–10% intraday. I’m treating this as a “pricing power shock” trade — looking for either a continuation day or a fade back into the gap. Process: I start with a quick MarketCrunch scan to...
On H4, I see a contracting triangle (A–E) into CPI—plan is to fade the first fake-break and target prior POC; invalidation is a clean close above the D-leg high.
Bold claim—can you share an out-of-sample backtest (at least 1 year), max drawdown, and R:R by setup? A simple equity curve + rules would go a long way for the room.