Recent content by datumiq

Thanks, I appreciate the feedback. The one limitation I have right now is I cannot check stats of intra-day movements such as it will reach price X only after it hits price Y during the day. However I am able to pull other things to make the prediction more complete, such as: 80% chance GOOG...

Just so I fully understand. Can you give me an example of a few predictions which would be valuable for trading.

Hey guys as mentioned I put out the 12/14/2012 predictions out the day before. I created a new thread for it. http://www.trade2win.com/boards/technical-analysis/163328-close-predictions-12-14-2012-a.html -Rob

typo in the title, should be "Day High Predictions for 12/14/2012" ABT 72% chance Day High is at least 0.26 greater than open price DIS 77% chance Day High is at least 0.20 greater than open price EBAY 77% chance Day High is at least 0.21 greater than open price GILD 78% chance Day High is at...

For the trade 2 example would be as mentioned by "BeginnerJoe - I'd imagine you would sell during the day if the price goes above 709.66 and buy back at close for profit." But what I'll do to keep it simple and valuable, is the evening before the trading day I will release a simple prediction...

Good analysis, however the algorithm does not take that into account since majority of cases the daily low is lower than Open and daily high is higher than Open. There are a few cases where Open is the low or high. But for a trading strategy if the prediction is price will close above open and...

As mentioned in the previous message What I can do is before the open (9:30am) I can give the probability the close will be plus/minus a certain amount. For example if GE closes at 21.50 on 12/12. Then on 12/12 in the evening I can release the closing prediction for GE on 12/13, such as "GE...

I'm sorry I mis-understood your question. I thought you were asking if it is dependent on any other things other than itself. In terms of the history of itself, you are correct it is based off it's own history.

That's a good question. The probability of a stock is derived off patterns only within itself. So I do not look at the movements of other stocks when looking at one.

That's a good point. What I can do is before the open (9:30am) I can give the probability the close will be plus/minus a certain amount. For example if GE closes at 21.50 on 12/12. Then on 12/12 in the evening I can release the closing prediction for GE on 12/13, such as "GE closes below...

Each probability for a stock is independent of a probability of another stock. The probability is based off applying my proprietary algorithm on the last 10 years of a stock (approximately 2500 trading days). On my site when you click one of the tickers, the back tests are shown for the last 10...

Close predictions for 12/12/2012 Released 9:45am at DatumIQ.com Back tested over the last 10 years 82% chance ACN closes below 72.28 86% chance ADP closes below 58.74 84% chance AFL closes below 54.96 86% chance AXP closes above 57.12 85% chance BAC closes above 10.41 80% chance C closes above...