Recent content by AriaS

Finally on Darwinia Gold. Btw, please join my new discord community Alpha Verified Traders.

Update: Hopefully, UKC will make it into DarwinIA Gold next month. The ratio of return to maximum drawdown over the last two years has now exceeded 2.5. The strategy still outperforms the DARWIN by a wide margin, but hopefully that will change over time, as I have managed to reduce the VaR from...

Update: The DARWIN is no longer active. I closed the positions when the balance returned to break-even. The strategy did not fail, but its performance was clearly poor. It had not been properly backtested (no WFA). That’s proof that WFA is an absolute must. Darwinex shows a loss because it...

Hi, are there any profitable traders here who have their accounts linked to one of the popular tracking platforms like Kinfo, Collective2, Myfxbook, Darwinex, FxBlue, ShowMyTrades, etc?

IS (In-Sample): The historical data used to train, optimize, and build a trading strategy. The algorithm tweaks its parameters on this data to find what worked best in the past. OOS (Out-of-Sample): A completely fresh period of historical data that the strategy has never seen. It is used as a...

The question is about the higher end of realistically sustainable risk-adjusted return over at least 5 years. No one cares about return alone. (+100% / DD70%) = (+28% / DD20%): that's the majority of tracked accounts on Forex Factory, as an example. Pretty sad. Let's say: Maximum drawdown: 20%...

Hi everyone, I keep seeing people presenting one single long backtest as proof that their strategy works. That is basically not a test at all, because you use one period to develop a strategy and then expect it to work on another period. That's called a curve-fit. Curve-fits don't work on...

If you are a serious/professional trader and want to join trading forums, be careful with Elite Trader. It is filled with some of the worst kinds of people I have ever come across online: trolls, liars, scammers, and generally extremely toxic, frustrated losers. No one seems to block them...

Backtest/optimize everything you possibly can, across every market you possibly can, until you find something that seems to work out-of-sample (new/unseen time period that you never used for tweaking/optimizing). Use your own or modular algo**.** Don't use the closed commercial algos - they are...

Do you mean the real props maybe? Those who hire traders for trading real accounts.

Does he have a track record verified by 3rd party? If he doesn't, then nothing to even talk about. When I talk about profitability, I show people my verified track record.

Long time no see. My strategy update: full year of trading: +70%, max dd 22%. Since I improved my backtesting algo 4 months ago, max dd 5.5%.

Diversification has lots of different faces. The amount is only one of them.

Golden words!

Interesting, thank you!