S&P 500 & other indexes - intraday. Plus chat

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Been a bit boring - market headed down to 1455 (YH) but bounced before it got there. I didn't take it then but on the next time there, there was enough bids holding to give it a shot.

It's almost violating my 'only play levels in September' - but failure to hit a level complies - I could have taken 1458 about 4 times for a scalp but held off, so pats on the back for that.
 
scratched the last part of the last trade - even came back later (2:30pm EST) to see if I could find some action - 7 point range! Marvellous
 
Mon Sep 24

12:50am JPY Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
9:00am EUR German Ifo Business Climate 102.6 102.3
8:00pm CAD BOC Gov Carney Speaks
8:30pm USD FOMC Member Williams Speaks

New week (y)
 
Out of half my short at 47s (ie 1% move vs .5% stop) running the rest till 20 but now my stop's been moved down to 56.5 so should book a fairly decent profit. Bit hairy going short at the highs but seems to be working, just a bit p1ssed off I didn't do it in more size, was contemplating 500 lots but lumped for 200 instead......grrrrrrrrr!

Goodluck tmr!
 
Tue Sep 25

12:50am JPY CSPI y/y -0.3% -0.2% -0.3%
2:30am AUD RBA Financial Stability Review
3:00am CNY CB Leading Index m/m 1.7% 0.6%
7:00am CHF UBS Consumption Indicator 1.03 1.48
7:00am EUR GfK German Consumer Climate 5.9 6.0 5.9
9:06am CHF SNB Chairman Jordan Speaks

9:30am AUD RBA Assist Gov Debelle Speaks
9:30am GBP BBA Mortgage Approvals 30.5K 28.4K 28.8K
10:30am GBP MPC Member Fisher Speaks
1:30pm CAD Core Retail Sales m/m 0.3% -0.4%
1:30pm CAD Retail Sales m/m 0.2% -0.4%
2:00pm EUR ECB President Draghi Speaks
2:00pm USD S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y 1.3% 0.5%
3:00pm USD CB Consumer Confidence 63.1 60.6
3:00pm USD HPI m/m 0.4% 0.7%
3:00pm USD Richmond Manufacturing Index -6 -9
6:30pm USD Treasury Sec Geithner Speaks
7:15pm CAD Gov Council Member Lane Speaks

11:45pm NZD Trade Balance -608M 15M
 
September 25th

9-25-20126-09-17AM.png



10:00am Consumer Confidence, Richmond Manuf Index, HPI

Risking doing the pre-market analysis a little early today.

Market is still ranging but range is quite small. Will continue to look for shorts above/longs below value (1450.15-1459.25) until the market breaks out convincingly.

Mechanical Levels
YH – 1454.50, YL – 1444.75, YC 1451.50 (will add ONH/ONL later)

Shorts – 1468, 1462.25, 1457.25, ONH, 1454.50
Longs ONL, 1449, 1444.75, 1443,50, 1442.50, 1433.25

Todays trading drug will be Panadol - which may of course mean no trading at all.
 
lol re "Todays trading drug will be Panadol - which may of course mean no trading at all.".....hope the headaches alright!

Stopped on the rest at 56.5, still not particularly bothered. Only going to look to get long at an appropriate point. Still feel it should sell-off in the interim but LT (ie 6-12 months) should be long especially once the actual effects of QE kick in........assuming we don't fall off the fiscal cliff!!! :)
 
Wed Sep 26

All Day EUR German Prelim CPI m/m 0.0% 0.4%
9:00am EUR Italian Retail Sales m/m -0.1% 0.4%
9:30am GBP BOE Credit Conditions Survey
11:00am GBP CBI Realized Sales 5 -3
Tentative EUR German 10-y Bond Auction 1.42|1.1
3:00pm USD New Home Sales 381K 372K
3:30pm USD Crude Oil Inventories 1.7M 8.5M
 
September 26th

Europe, Asia down
10:00 – New Home Sales

9-26-20128-10-46AM.png


Probably going to be a quiet first 30 mins with new home sales.

We broke out the bottom of the narrow range we have in, so we have a potential continuation to look out for or reverting back into the range. To the downside, looking at 1414.50 as a potential target.

First test will be to see if we can stay above yesterdays’ low once we open. Of interest is that even though we had a move down… most of the volume yesterday was above 1450/

Mechanical levels – 1435 (YL), 1457(YH), 1439 (ONH), 1436.75 (YC)
Shorts – 1457.00, 1453, 1450.75, 1446.50, 1444, 1439.75 (ONH)
Longs – 1435 (YL), 1420, 1414.50. ONL

Still on the Panadol today. No pressure to trade but I’ve been sitting around with this flu watching Dirty Harry movies all day and for some reason I feel lucky.
 
Last edited:
Thu Sep 27

2:00am NZD NBNZ Business Confidence 17.0 19.5
7:00am EUR German Import Prices m/m 1.3% 0.9% 0.7%
8:55am EUR German Unemployment Change 9K 10K 11K
9:00am EUR M3 Money Supply y/y 2.9% 3.3% 3.8%
9:00am EUR Private Loans y/y -0.6% 0.1% -0.4%
9:10am EUR Retail PMI 47.1 44.4
9:30am GBP Current Account -12.3B -11.2B
9:30am GBP Final GDP q/q -0.5% -0.5%
9:30am GBP Revised Business Investment q/q -1.5% -1.5%
Tentative EUR Italian 10-y Bond Auction 5.82|1.4
1:30pm USD Core Durable Goods Orders m/m 0.2% -0.6%
1:30pm USD Unemployment Claims 378K 382K
1:30pm USD Durable Goods Orders m/m -4.7% 4.1%
1:30pm USD Final GDP q/q 1.7% 1.7%
1:30pm USD Final GDP Price Index q/q 1.6% 1.6%
3:00pm USD Pending Home Sales m/m -0.4% 2.4%
3:30pm USD Natural Gas Storage 75B 67B
11:45pm NZD Building Consents m/m 2.0%
 
Hi all,

Been a while, hope you are all well. I've not been trading recently, except the odd position on gold. Got day off tomorrow so will be around and may dip my toe back in.

Hope you all saw Super Leeds beat Everton the other night too :)
 
All up & running again - had some engineers in yesterday trying to get this bloody going...

They had to come back again today but now I have my office back in one piece.

IMAG0795.jpg


It's a Cisco load balancing router. Ended up having to throw my ADSL modem away as it wasn't compatible with the Cisco router. I've had a backup internet connection for a while now but been switching manually when one had trouble. This way I can use 2 at the same time & if one goes down (too regular in Thailand), the other will take over.
 
Fri Sep 28

12:01am GBP GfK Consumer Confidence -28 -27 -29
12:15am JPY Manufacturing PMI 48.0 47.7
12:30am JPY Household Spending y/y 1.8% 1.1% 1.7%
12:30am JPY Tokyo Core CPI y/y -0.4% -0.2% -0.5%
12:30am JPY National Core CPI y/y -0.3% -0.3% -0.3%
12:30am JPY Unemployment Rate 4.2% 4.3% 4.3%
12:50am JPY Prelim Industrial Production m/m -1.3% -0.4% -1.0%
12:50am JPY Retail Sales y/y 1.8% -0.3% -0.7%
2:30am AUD Private Sector Credit m/m 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
6:00am JPY Housing Starts y/y -5.5% -7.4% -9.6%
7:00am EUR German Retail Sales m/m 0.3% 0.5% -1.0%
7:45am EUR French Consumer Spending m/m 0.4% 0.1% 0.4%
7:45am EUR French Consumer Spending m/m -0.8% -0.4% 0.4%
8:00am CHF KOF Economic Barometer 1.67 1.54 1.59
9:30am GBP Index of Services 3m/3m 0.1% 0.2% -0.1%
10:00am EUR CPI Flash Estimate y/y 2.4% 2.6%
10:00am EUR Italian Prelim CPI m/m -0.1% 0.4%
1:30pm CAD GDP m/m 0.1% 0.2%
1:30pm USD Core PCE Price Index m/m 0.1% 0.0%
1:30pm USD Personal Spending m/m 0.5% 0.4%
1:30pm USD Personal Income m/m 0.2% 0.3%
2:45pm USD Chicago PMI 52.9 53.0
2:55pm USD Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment 79.0 79.2
2:55pm USD Revised UoM Inflation Expectations 3.5%
Tentative EUR Spanish Bank Stress Test Results
 
DionysusToast said:
All up & running again - had some engineers in yesterday trying to get this bloody going...
They had to come back again today but now I have my office back in one piece.

It's a Cisco load balancing router. Ended up having to throw my ADSL modem away as it wasn't compatible with the Cisco router. I've had a backup internet connection for a while now but been switching manually when one had trouble. This way I can use 2 at the same time & if one goes down (too regular in Thailand), the other will take over.
Click to expand...
FAQs | IPSTAR Broadband Satellite Operator
Satellite is much improved, maybe an option.
 
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