Live & Die by the sword....

[FetteredChinos]

stopped out 1.7628 for -24. -5 for the day

tails yet again (6 in a row)

short from 1.7630

 

[FetteredChinos]

fairly classic Elliot 5 waves up from 1.7564.

looking for at least a sizeable a-b-c correction and then some legs down..

 

[FetteredChinos]

right, been toying with some more stats.. (just spent the last 10 mins documenting the results thus far. made a typo somewhere, but it is only a couple of points somewhere)

Average Win: 42.2
Average Loss: -26.6
total wins: 802
total losses: (505)
Profit factor: 1.59

pretty respectable, all things considered..

 

[FetteredChinos]

right, that looks like the a-b-c out of the way..

now which way for the next main impulse wave?

 

[FetteredChinos]

yawn!! crappy afternoon session.

logging off now after a long day.

closed at 1.7610 for +20 in the end.

+15 overall for the day.

current stats are:-

Trades:33
Wins:18
Cum Profit: 324

 

[danfreek]

has the performance for this week been any better with the 40 point stop or is it too early to tell?

 

[neil]

stopped out

Agreed - no momentum, I got stopped out of a downward breakout of a consolidation pattern

 

[SvenFoster]

stopped out 1.7628 for -24. -5 for the day

tails yet again (6 in a row)

short from 1.7630

6 in a row.... about 1.6% chance, thats more than I have of making any money

 

[G-Man]

yawn!! crappy afternoon session.

logging off now after a long day.

closed at 1.7610 for +20 in the end.

+15 overall for the day.

current stats are:-

Trades:33
Wins:18
Cum Profit: 324

Looks like you were a bit hasty again FC!

G-Man

 

[neil]

patience required

Looks like you were a bit hasty again FC!

G-Man

FC is not the only one. I was stopped out earlier and went out having finished. Came back for a peek and saw a nice short (First short was stopped out) that I was not around to trade. Happens sometimes. :|

 

[FetteredChinos]

lol its always the way.. the market continues just as i close my positions..

still, overall the net effect (given an efficient market) should be near enough zero.

as for the 40pip stop, i feel that it is improving things somewhat on the lower volatility days. rather than giving a string of -50s back, -40 is a lot easier to bear..

i think a 30pip trail is probably getting a bit too much on the norman tightside though. will keep it at 40 for a few more weeks at least.


currently short from 1.7627.

im gonna have to get another coin. i think this one is broken.

FC

 

[The Baptist]

I believe I have see signs of USD weakness again, so:

USD SWiss at 1.2859 - stop 1.2932
Long Aus USD at 0.7529 - stop 0.7468 - really like this trade pendant on hourly chart

Also went short GBP Yen at 197.09 - stop 197.76
and Short Ftse at 5244 - I am touch cautious on this, given FTSE strength of late - Stop 5285

 

[FetteredChinos]

stop moved to 1.7626 +1

a nice win to start the day..

fc

 

[danfreek]

well, that's lunch money sorted anyway!!

 

[FetteredChinos]

time to pay for dinner now as well..

 

[FetteredChinos]

stop now at 1.7618 and time to pop out for a quick lunch....

 

[FetteredChinos]

stopped ot at 1.7618 for +9

ok, another sodding tails..

can someone lend me a coin please?

short from 1.7612

FC

 

[FetteredChinos]

stop moved to 1.7608 to lock in +4..

 

[FetteredChinos]

now thats what i call a profit..

stop moved to 1.7576 to lock in +36

 

[danfreek]

I've just done some very basic statistical anaysis on the data so far. The original data had a positive expectation of +3.8 pips per trade, by moving to a 40 point stop the expectation moved to +16.5!

This is probably more do to your recent good luck FC, and we'll need a lot more data to get any conclusive results. but it's looking good so far.