Interest rates and Bonds

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Hello,

I'll post here my analysis and forecasts for Bonds and interest rates. I'll be glad if you share your point of view here. No rules.

Good luck.
 
Euro Bobl

That's me wave count for euro bobl
 

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don't know about euro booby or wavy ,but the bond trend is up based upon a correction in equities and away from risk.
 
you can choose to buy lots and lots of bonds.. corporate bonds-directly from corporations.. commercial paper, government bonds, local bonds. the list goes on and on. the amount that your bond is worth fluctuates with interest rates.
 
Both of the previous forecasts - Euro BOBL and Australian 3 year Bonds, actually hit their targets. Looking forward to new opportunities. Good luck :)
 
Both of the previous forecasts - Euro BOBL and Australian 3 year Bonds, actually hit their targets. Looking forward to new opportunities. Good luck :)

Very interesting analysis there. I concentrate on financials, mainly bund/shatz and front euribor contracts...march/jun/sep10. Do you have any analysis on these??
cheers
 
Lot of downside positions bought by paper today in the Euribor options market.

Mar 99.25/12 1x2 p/s for Flat
May +40k 99.00/98.75 p/s for 2.5 vs 17.5s
Jun +8k 99.12 Calls for 11.5 ref 17s… equivalent 18.5s (opened 16.5/18)
Jun +20k 99.12/99.00/98.87 Put Fly for 1.5
Jun -7.5k 99.25/37/50 Call Fly at 3
Jun +29k 99.25/37/50 Call Fly for 3; Sep +29k 99.25/37/50 Call Fly for 2…. 50K
strips bot in the last 2 sessions
Jun +30k 99.12/25/37 1x3x2 Call Fly for Flat… (99.3125 upper breakeven; max downside
12.5 ticks).. Rolling risk- short 25/37 c/s from 25/37/50 Flys
Jun +37k 99.00/98.75 p/s for 2.5 vs 19s
Jun -5k 99.25 Calls at 4
Jun +5k 98.87/75 1x2 p/s for 0

Jul -15k 98.62 Puts at 3 ref 97s
Jul +10k 98.75/87/99.00/12 Call Condor for 4
Jun/Sep -3k 99.12 Call Calender at 4… (-m +u)
Sep +2k 99.00/98.75/50 Put Fly for 4.5
Sep -4k 99.25/37 c/s at 2
Sep -45k 98.87/99.00/12/25 Call Condor at 3.5 ref 97s
Sep/Dec +2k 99.12 Call Calender for 1.5 (+u -z)
Sep -2.5k 99.12 Straddle at 29.5
Sep +10k 99.00/98.62 1x2 p/s for 7

Dec -20k 99.00/25/50 Call Fly at 4.5
Mid Mar -10k 98.50/98.75 Combo at 5.5 ref 54s (-P+C)
 
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