Dow Jones EOD Analysis - Continuous

Wednesday Night Update Of Dow Jones (DJIA)

The Federal Reserve met expectation of keeping interest rates unchanged. Their statement was slightly more positive on the economy discounting the inflation threat. They stated that the recession is abating and did not change their bond purchase program. However, rumors of a Bernanke/Fed cover up during the Bank of America/Merrill Lynch merger weighed heavily on shares. The Dow closed 0.3% lower at 8300 on Wednesday as it extended this month's decline and tested the 25% retracement level of this spring's rally at 8293. The low-range close sets the stage for a flat to lower opening on Thursday.

Trade Triangle Analysis shows that negative longer term is strengthening. The market action could signal the start of a major trend change :D, presently a weak downtrend to be traded with very tight money management stops. Based on a pre-defined weighted trend formula for chart analysis, DJI scored -70 on a scale from -100 (strong downtrend) to +100 (strong uptrend).

Dow Pivot Levels For Thursday 25th June:
R3 - 8633.02
R2 - 8544.93
R1 - 8422.39
Pivot - 8334.30
S1 - 8211.76
S2 - 8123.67
S3 - 8001.13

Dow Quick Technicals: Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If the Dow extends this week's decline, the swing low at 8221 is the next downside target. Only closes above the 21 DMA at 8509 would temper the bearish outlook in the market. First resistance is the 5 DMA at 8390. Second resistance is the 21 DMA at 86509. First support is today's low at 8246, second support is the swing low of at 8221.

Regards,

Indrajit
Analysis On Indian And US Stock Markets, Free Nifty Trading System, USA And UK Index Charts
 
Thursday Night Update Of Dow Jones (DJIA)

Stocks soared today led by retailers and commodity shares after oil’s rise above $70 a barrel bolstered energy producers and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke launched a strong defense of misconduct allegations from several lawmakers. A successful Treasury Auction of $27 billion dollars of seven year notes further added in the optimism. The Dow advanced +172.54 to 8472.40 due to short covering on Thursday as it consolidated some of this month's decline after testing the 25% retracement level of this spring's rally at 8293. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday.

Trade Triangle Analysis shows the market action could signal the start of a major trend change - presently a weak downtrend to be traded with very tight money management stops. Based on a pre-defined weighted trend formula for chart analysis, DJIA scored -70 on a scale from -100 (strong downtrend) to +100 (strong uptrend).

Dow Pivot Levels For Friday 26th June:
R3 - 8786.46
R2 - 8638.46
R1 - 8555.43
Pivot - 8407.43
S1 - 8324.40
S2 - 8176.40
S3 - 8093.37

Dow Quick Technicals: Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If the Dow extends this week's decline, the swing low at 8221 is the next downside target. Only couple of closes above the 200 DMA at 8509 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 200 Day MA at 8509. Second resistance is 19th June high of 8665. First support is 3 DMA at 8407, second support is the last swing low of at 8221.

Regards,

Indrajit
Analysis On Indian And US Stock Markets, Free Nifty Trading System, USA And UK Index Charts
 
Weekend Update of Dow Jones (DJIA)

The Dow is rangebound between 8200-8700. Couple of closes below 8200 can take the Dow to lower levels like 7700, whereas couple of closes above 8700 will retest upper levels like 8900-9200. Twigg's Money Flow indicator still below zero mark indicates weakness presently. Overall avoid long positions till 8700 is not broken in closing basis.

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Dow Pivot Levels For Monday 29th June:
R3 - 8656, R2 - 8583, R1 - 8511, Pivot - 8437, S1 - 8365, S2 - 8292, S3 - 8220.

Regards,

Indrajit
Analysis On Indian And US Stock Markets, Free Nifty Trading System, USA And UK Index Charts
 
Monday Night Update of Dow Jones (DJIA)

Stocks rallied across the board today on positive reaction to super swindler, Bernie Madoff, receiving the maximum sentence of 150 years in prison. Apple CEO, Steve Jobs, returned to his job as CEO after a liver transplant sidelined the originator and public face of the computer giant. An attack on a Nigerian oil platform sent crude soaring above $71.00/barrel today in active trading. The Dow closed higher at 8529.38 on Monday and above the 21 DMA at 8502 signaling that a short-term low has been posted. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday.

Dow Pivot Levels For Tuesday 30th June:
R3 - 8669.51
R2 - 8601.37
R1 - 8565.38
Pivot - 8497.23
S1 - 8461.24
S2 - 8393.09
S3 - 8357.10

Dow Quick Technicals: Stochastics and the RSI have turned bullish signaling that sideways to higher (y) prices are possible near-term. Though the Dow has closed above the 21 DMA at 8502, a couple of more closes are needed to confirm a short term low has been posted. If the Dow resumes this month's decline, the swing low at 8221 is the next downside target. Tuesday's first resistance is today's high at 8533. Second resistance is the 19th May high at 8665. First support is last Thursday's low at 8259. Second support is the swing low at 8221.

Regards,

Indrajit
Analysis On Indian And US Stock Markets, Free Nifty Trading System, USA And UK Index Charts
 
Tuesday Night Update of Dow Jones (DJIA)

Negative sentiment from the Consumer Confidence figure weighed heavily on the stock market today. Additional unexpected bad news arose from the Foreclosure arena further pushed stocks into the red. The Volatility Index VIX spiked higher for the first time in 6 days as traders scrambled for derivative insurance against further market declines. The Dow closed 1% lower to 8447 on Tuesday due to profit taking as it consolidated some of last week's rally. The low-range close sets the stage for a flat to lower opening on Wednesday.

Trade Triangle Analysis indicates a counter trend rally is underway The current up-trend could be changing and moving into a trading range Sidelines Mode. Based on a pre-defined weighted trend formula for chart analysis, DJI scored +55 on a scale from -100 (strong downtrend) to +100 (strong uptrend).

Dow Pivot Levels For Tuesday 30th June:
R3 - 8706.80
R2 - 8633.62
R1 - 8540.31
Pivot - 8467.13
S1 - 8373.82
S2 - 8300.64
S3 - 8207.33

Dow Quick Technicals: Despite today's decline, Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Couple of closes above the 21 DMA at 8497 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If the Dow resumes this month's decline, the swing low at 8221 is the next downside target. First resistance is today's high at 8560. Second resistance is the 19th June high of 8665. First support is today's low at 8393. Second support is last Thursday's low at 8259.

Regards,

Indrajit
Analysis On Indian And US Stock Markets, Free Nifty Trading System, USA And UK Index Charts
 
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