Daily Market Analysis by FxGrow

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 23rd May, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Gold: Closing Above 1263 will Fuel Additional Bullish Waves

The hardest obstacle facing gold bullish with extension is today's high resistance located at 1263.80 and 1265. A resistance door which gold has knocked several times in the past two months with failure to penetrate and technically retreating, but fundamentals were always there for the help including safe haven and negative U.S Data interventions. But technical intakes with gold closing above daily 100 and 200 SMA at 1238 indicates that gold current trend is bullish supported by strong rising trend line, the yellow metal should overcome the 1265 with no hard time. Closing Above 1265, traders should prepare for themselves seeing gold on a jet ride with further inclines seeing 1280+ as a destination.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 24th May, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Crude Oil: Potential For 2017's Highs As Eyes Are Set On the Bigger Prize
Crude oil surged +1.44 bp since Monday and clocked 51.86 high today boosted by potential positive outcomes as OPEC and Non-OPEC nations meet tomorrow yet again in Vienna on 25th of May.

OPEC has promised to cut supplies by 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) until the end of June and is expected on Thursday to decide to prolong that cut to March 2018.

The meeting tomorrow could hold additional outcomes, other than extending the original deal, such as more compliance between OPEC and Non-OPEC counties and increasing cut-outputs with efforts to curb global supply demand and glut. If OPEC managed to nail such attributes, this could be added as additional ....

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 25th May, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Fx Majors Technical Levels Ahead of FOMC Meeting Results
U.S Fed will meet this after noon 6:00 PM GMT and market should pay close attention to words and details. Based on that, you can know how market will head and trade. The easiest way if to see how U.S Dollar will perform and Index levels.

If U.S Index is declining, it's a signal that rival currencies are taking advantage and surging facing weaker U.S Dollar. June hike will be center stage. Any suggestion or adding odds to already 78% chances will fuel U.S Index. A stress by FOMC that they still see three possible hikes will also peek the greenback. In March 2017, U.S Fed increased 0.25% to initial 0.75%, resulted in 1% as U.S Central Banks Interest. So market ...

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 25th May, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

GBP/USD to Re-Test 1.300 level Ahead of Local GDP

GBP/USD has entered the fourth consolidative trading session and been confined within 116-pips price action. The pair dipped yesterday to 1.2927 low as U.S Index showed some strength with 97.36 high, but then faded away as FOMC meeting maintained a neutral stance, not giving clear messages on how things are heading despite the highly odds for June hike which was already expired as a fact, hence the pair managed to shift bearish candles top bullish and clocked a 1.2999.

Today will the second chapter for the pair as UK releases Second Estimate GDP, shortly followed by U.S data Sterling hanging above 1.2900 will tested. Options are opened with 1.300+ or 1.2900- are on ...

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 25th May, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Gold Still Fears The 1260+ level With Retreats, Eyes On U.S Data

Gold still shows weakness to withhold the 1260 level with consistent failure as market and traders are psychologically programmed to abandon the 1260+ position. Technically, through out 2017, gold retreated more than 10 times every time the yellow metal reaches 1265. Previous sessions where gold surpassed 1265 was due to fundamental factors such as negative U.S data or safe haven buying.

Today, gold clocked 1259.68 then retreated to to 1255.68 low as reminder of recent behavior, still above 50-EMA (D1) at 1245 which still supports the bullish momentum. There is a chance today that gold can overcome the 1265 phobia fundamentally as ...

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 26th May, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

U.S Index Makes A reverse Turn Giving Rivals to Surge
After peeking to 97.31 today, the greenback went back to comatose mood as the Index plunged 96.94 low, and hourly chart behavior suggests further dips. Yesterday U.S Data recorded a neutral stance, not convincing market expectations which left the Index within weekly range, down below 97 level. FOMC member Williams crossed wires today stressing that increasing rate is a must to coop with the market running hot which should have pushed the Index higher, but Trump still succeed to tank U.S Dollar with recent and yesterday's attack on NATO and candidate Lieberman withdraw-ed his name being FBI deputy yesterday.

As a result, rivals currencies and gold taking advantage of weaker U.S Dollar. Greenback has one last chance this week to redeem itself as U.S

Releases major data below:

1- USD- Core Durable Goods Orders m/m + Prelim GDP q/q + Durable Goods Orders m/m.

Technical Overview for GBP/USD , EUR/USD , USD/JPY , Gold

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 29th May, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

EUR/USD Inches Higher Ahead of Draghi's Speech

EUR/USD extended the bullish momentum for the second week, but the pair is showing shy price action with 28-pips for today's session. The pair guarded the 1.1100 level successfully clocking 1.1189 high, still above its 10-EMA D1 at 1.1150 which keep bullish forces intact and on a stand-by motion. Economic calendar is light today except for Draghi appearance shortly. As for U.S Dollar, the Index remains in trouble due to U.S politics negative media especially Trump's overseas meeting with G7, and his refusal to ...

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 29th May, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Yen: Chances for Further Gains Ahead of Local Data

USD/JPY is currently trading near its 200-EMA (D1) at 1.1133 intraday after plunging earlier to 1.1115 low. Overall, bank holidays are overwhelming worldwide which justifies the low volatility for market today, but action should re-kick with higher volatility as economic news inaugurate Tuesday's Asian sessions with Japanese multi inflation figures and Japanese Yen has the chance to extend further gains facing pale U.S Index (97.23 low) as negative media still revolves around the greenback. Shortly after that, BOJ ...


Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 30th May, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Sterling Loses Momentum As UK's Election Race Tightens

GBP/USD peeked last Monday to 1.3043, boosted by PM May with her conservative party heading polls. But last week's terror attack on Manchester costed the conservative party 6 points down as latest surveys indicates, and when election polls looks murky without clear hints about final results, uncertainties revolves around Sterling as election race tightens.

Apparently, question marks has been aroused regarding PM May and her qualifications to lead UK's Ministry. As a result, GBP/USD has been on a gradual decline ladder since last week and the pair plunged to 1.2794 low today, currently trading ...

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 30th May, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Gold Flirts With 1270 With A Setback, Awaiting U.S Data

Gold clocked 1270.50 May-2017-fresh-highs but failed to march forward, hitting a strong resistance with successful test, retreating to 1261.71 low. Technically, gold remains bullish as the yellow metal remains above its 10-EMA at 1257 and 50-EMA at 1249 which keeps gold's bullish forces in action. Currently gold is trading 1263 intraday, and in case the market closed below 1265, expectations for ...

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 31st May, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

EURO Fuels Over Rumors Of ECB Abandoning QE Program

EUR/USD plunged yesterday to 1.1109 at which, the pair alerted for trend reversal as the downside prevailed, but as rumors were leaked that the ECB could bring some new measures regarding Quantitative Easing Program being removed as a headline (Reuters), the pair reversed its destination and rallied with +96-pips daily price action, landing in 1.1205 high. Negative U.S Consumer Confidence yesterday contributed to cable rallies.

Technically EUR/USD closed at 1.1185, above its daily 10-EMA at 1.1155 which promises of further attacks upward seeing last week's highs. Currently the pair is trading 1.1172 at 7-EMA (D1), and in ...

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 31st May, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

GBP/USD Technical Overview

With absence of economic data on both Sterling and U.S Dollar, the pair should trade technically.

Trend: Bearish /Sideways (H1)

Pivot: 1.2835

Preferable scenario: Short positions below pivot 1.2835 holds further dips seeing 1.2787 (S1), in case of penetration next station should be 1.2740 (S2), then (S3) at 1.2700. (H1 supports)

The alternative case, if GBP/USD stayed above pivot 1.2835, expectations for further attacks at (R1) 1.2882 first. If (R1) failed, potentials for additional hikes seeing (R2) at 1.2925, next (R3) 1.2960. (H1 Resistances)

Comment: keep an eye on U.S Index levels, he upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 1.2840.

MACD indicates bearish momentum (H1).

RSI indicates bearish momentum (H1).


Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 31st May, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Negative Chinese Data Tackles The Aussie Ahead of local Retail Sales

Australian Dollar peeked to 0.7475 high on Wednesday's early sessions, but the incline journey was tackled by negative Chinese Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing PMI, as a result AUD/USD lost -46-pips and landed on 0.7429 low for today's session. On the other hand, the Aussie still fails to take advantage of weaker U.S Dollar as the Index dipped today to 96.98 low.

Currently the pair is trading 0.7435, still below its daily 50-EMA at 0.7490, and daily 200 and 100 EMA at 0.7515 as indication of bearish momentum, but AUD/USD has a make a reverse turn ...

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 1st June, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

OPEC and Non-OPEC Rift Fluctuates Oil levels, Awaiting U.S Inventories

Crude oil surged yesterday to 49.69 high and touched its 50-EMA which signaled a bullish momentum build-up, but as market failed to sustain the highs, and closing at 48.61 below its 200-daily-EMA, the up trend faded away and instead, the downside still prevails for the black gold commodity. Today, oil prices clocked 49.05 high and has the chance to add more profits as market awaits Trump's decision is on a stand-buy motion on his in-take about global climate regulations, to be announced today at 7:00 PM GMT.

"If he actually withdraws the U.S from the climate accord, this would signal his intention to further roll-back emission regulations that would favor the use and demand of fossil fuels, thus giving a much needed boost to oil prices," said Jonathan Chan, investment analyst at Phillip Futures in Singapore.

Yesterday's oil fluctuation prices were due to...

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 1st June, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Gold Retreats As Déjà vu Ahead of U.S Data
Gold peeked yesterday to 1274.13 with expectation for further advances as market over-passed 1270 level (R1), and closed at 1268.85. But as previous retreats for gold abandoning 1270 level and 1275 (R2) still creeps into mind, which justifies the precious metal retracements.

Technically, gold remains above its daily 50-EMA at 1250, which sustains the bullish momentum and Gold destination remains upward, but in case market closed today below 1250 (S3), the trend will shifty bearish and the expectations for further decline prevails. Expectations for penetration for support and resistance levels should be taken into consideration due to U.S Data release shortly.

Trend: Bullish Sideways

Resistance levels : R1 1270, R2 1275, R3 1280, R4 1288

Support levels : S1 1265, S1 1259, S3 1254, S4 1251

Comment: Gold remains bullish as long as market closes above 1250, otherwise, trend reversal should be taken into consideration. Expect spikes to fight R2 and R3 levels as recent behavior. Also, dips should fight S1 and S3 levels. Look forward for U.S Data which is a main player today for gold.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 5th June, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Aussie Pushes Higher Ahead of RBA Statement

Australian Dollar managed finally to take advantage from weak U.S Dollar performance after disappointing NFP data pushing AUD/USD with +0.74-pips with 0.7446 high for Friday’s ending sessions.

Today, the pair bullish momentum took a lifting hand first by local Australian Company Operating Profits q/q at 6.00 % with forecasts placed at 5.1%, but the main booster was upbeat Chinese Caixin Services PMI at 52.8% booking 51.5% on previous sessions. As a result the pair added +65-pips for Monday sessions with 0.7486 high.

Currently the pair is trading 0.7475, slightly below its daily 50-EMA and if market closed above 0.7481 (50-EMA). The next test for ADU/USD will be 0.7500, daily 200-EMA and in case the pair closed above ...

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 6th June, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

EUR/USD Remains Bullish Despite the Correction Phase

EUR/USD fails for the second trading session this week to overpass 1.1285 (Friday's highs), with yesterday’s peek up to 1.1283, and today 1.1277. The pair is confined with Friday’s bullish candle shadow which holds further correction mood amid at 1.1220 (S2).

But overall, EUR/USD is still trading above its 15-EMA at 1.1177, which keeps bullish forces intact and withhold further potential attacks taking into consideration yesterday’s U.S negative data, pushing the greenback lower as the Index plunged today to 96.47 2017-fresh lows.

Fundamentally, Trump with his relentless effort favoring lower U.S Dollar and last week’s rumors about ECB potentially removing QE program fueled EURO but rumors will be tested this ...


Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 6th June, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Gold Invades 1280 level Successfully, Currently at 1290 Level

A superb home run for gold today rallying from 1279.61 low, with resistance levels falling like domino bricks and after finishing 1280 successfully, the yellow metal is currently busy with 1290 level after clocking a high at 1293.74 for now, but expectations for advanced inclines seeing 1295 as the first bump (R1) with previous setbacks from this point. In case gold over passed it, there are no restrictions for XAUUSD seeing 1300+ as next conquest.

In absence of macro-economic interpreting the sharp rallies and reasons for heavy demand for gold today, UK coming elections this Thursday June 8th could be ...

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 6th June, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

UK Election With Potential Impact On Forex Market


Thursday, June 8th 2017, UK election will take place and market will undergo sharp volatility with a reminder of how Sterling was a on chaotic ride between ups and downs during Brexit, but perhaps this time with less severe volatility, but there will be action in the market bringing opportunities for traders.

The latest general election polls indicates that the gap between Labour and the Conservatives has narrowed further still. As uncertainties are still hoovering without any clear signs on how final result could end. At such moments, gold (as safe haven) will be the greatest winner during UK election and today's sharp rallies are only a starter and it will prolong before and after the election take place depending on the final outcome, along with it GBP. Below are possible scenarios on what market should expect...



Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

 

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FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 7th June, 2017
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Crude Oil Dips Over Fears of Market Glut, Awaiting U.S Inventories

Crude oil failed for the 8th consecutive session to break above $50 bp, taking a gradual decline ladder flirting with 46.70 support level, still below its 200-EMA daily level at 49.10.

Middle east tension, specifically Gulf and the media throw-stone between Arab nations was seen in two perspectives.

First market suspected that the rift could affect crude supply with shortage pushing oil yesterday to $48.38.

Second, as image was getting clearer, the thought that Gulf tension could affect OPEC cut extension with fear that the rift could result in breaking the output deal with possibility that market could witness a glut pushed oil prices lower at $46.92 bp yesterday despite OPEC's effort through media that the pact still holds and there is no fear for agreed 1.8M output cut. But markets needed more ...

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.