Buy at Support - Sell at Resistance

static

Sometimes the live charts from stockcharts do not show up each time - here is a static chart of same.

The bounce was from Hard Support and it at the moment ran into Hard Resistance. I find using actual points works well.

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AKAM - Head & Shoulders Pattern...

AKAM's 5-Minute Chart displays a bearish "Head & Shoulders" Pattern with a target price of $49.50.


With the QQQQ extremely "overbought" on the day, having challenged Wednesday's second area of Gathering Resistance between $40.95 and $41.00, AKAM has a good chance of falling to its target price once the QQQQ begins to pull back.

Chart5Min05AKAM.PNG
 
QQQQ - Wednesday's 5-Minute Chart...

The QQQQ defied its extreme "overbought" condition on Wednesday with an impressive rally to a new recent high of $41.31.

Wednesday's 5-Minute Chart shows that the QQQQ, having detected the presence of Gathering Resistance, subsequently closed above it, thereby, issuing a warning to those holding short positions:

Chart5Min71QQQQb.PNG



For Thursday, any further upside in the QQQQ will meet with a 3-member area of Gathering Resistance between $41.39 and $41.50.

There is little doubt that the QQQQ is in nosebleed territory. This, too, will pass.
 
small caps

The small caps had been leading the rally for over 3 years and started making all time highs a long time ago while the Dow was and so far dong little. It seems that the big caps will be taking over for the second half of the rally but yesterday the Russell sure did make a big move.

Here is the overhead resistance to break.....
Maybe with elections not far away they can keep it going but the 4-year cycle low generally comes in the Autumn so we expect withing the month some much lower prices but continue to play all the break outs until they stop working. It is always a battle but while there are many selling resistance we are on the buy side just at the break out and yesterday there were a ton.


sc
 
QQQQ - Thursday's 5-Minute Chart...

Thursday's 5-Minute Chart shows that the QQQQ, having detected the presence of Gathering Resistance between $41.39 and $41.50 (first mentioned in Post #64), is having trouble closing above it.

It must be noted, however, that the QQQQ has yet to deliver a meaningful pull back from Gathering Resistance.

If a pull back does not materialize, it would suggest that the possibility for a breakout still exists, either this afternoon or on Friday.

Chart5Min72QQQQc.PNG
 
QQQQ - Thursday's 5-Minute Chart (EOD)...

The QQQQ rose a little higher on Thursday and spent the entire day wrestling with "Gathering Resistance" between $41.39 and $41.50.

Thursday's 5-Minute Chart shows that the QQQQ, having detected the presence of Gathering Resistance, was unable to close above it. The fact that there was no meaningful pull back, however, suggests that the QQQQ is contemplating a move higher. That's especially true since Thursday's challenge of Gathering Resistance consisted of a series of "Higher Lows".

For Friday, the QQQQ will trade initially off of the 8:30am (EST) Employment Report.

Any further upside in the QQQQ will meet with a 2-member area of Gathering Resistance between $41.70 and $41.79.


Chart5Min72QQQQb.PNG
 
A Doji Candlestick at Resistance...

The QQQQ spent Friday within the same narrow trading range that was established on Thursday. Notice, however, that Friday's price action resulted in a Doji Candlestick on the Daily Chart.

On Monday, traders will focus on how Friday's Doji Candlestick plays out.

A Doji Candlestick is one whose opening price and closing price are either equal or nearly equal, thereby, resulting in a candlestick that has a very thin body (as does Friday's Candlestick).

A Doji can occur at any time. One that occurs at an area of Resistance, however, demands special attention. That's because a Doji at Resistance is often the first sign that the preceding uptrend is preparing to pull back.

In any case, a Doji, by itself represents "indecision". Therefore, a subsequent confirmation candlestick is required to clarify a stock's next direction.

A subsequent candlestick that closes below the low end of a Doji Candlestick is often accepted as a confirmation that the preceding up trend is now ready to pull back and, therefore, constitutes a "Sell" Signal in the minds (and actions) of many traders.

On the other hand, a subsequent candlestick that closes above the high end of a Doji Candlestick suggests that the Doji was simply a pause in a continuing up trend.

Traders, therefore, have a special interest in where Monday's confirmation candlestick closes.

ChartDaily05QQQQb.PNG
 
Hs

I think the market will run out of time but if this is a reverse H&S of the QQQQs then the measured move it to 43 or 43.50


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QQQQ - Tuesday's 5-Minute Chart...

The QQQQ delivered a narrow trading range on Tuesday when it rose to test Resistance at Monday's high and then fell to test Support at Monday's low. It closed not far from where it opened, thereby, teasing traders with another Doji Candlestick (on the Daily Chart).

Tuesday's 5-Minute Chart shows a two-day trading range with Support at $41.31 and Resistance at $41.75.

On Wednesday, traders will watch for a break of either Support ($41.31) or Resistance ($41.75) and then "go with the flow".

2:00pm will bring an economic event that is ordinarily a market-mover - the release of the minutes of the last FOMC Meeting.

Further upside in the QQQQ will meet with an initial area of Gathering Resistance between $41.77 and $41.81 and a second area at $42.00 on the nose.

Chart5Min75QQQQb.PNG
 
QQQQ - Wednesday's 5-Minute Chart....

The QQQQ rose to Wednesday's two-member area of Gathering Resistance between $41.77 and $41.81 when it printed a high of $41.83. Resistance was found. The QQQQ pulled back to a subsequent low of $41.17.

Wednesday's 5-Minute Chart shows a "picture perfect" trade for those who ventured a short sale at Gathering Resistance.

By "picture perfect", I mean that a short sale ventured at Gathering Resistance gave traders little to no discomfort.

That's often how it is with a short ventured at Gathering Resistance or a purchase ventured at Gathering Support.

On Thursday, an "overbought" QQQQ continues to demonstrate resilience. Support at $41.31 (highlighted on the 5-Minute Chart) is still in effect. It was artificially (and only temporarily) violated on Wednesday due to the NYC Helicopter crash.

A true violation of Support at that line, however, may be the first sign that a pull back to at least the "20-Day Moving Average" has begun.

2:00pm will bring an economic event that is often a market-mover - the "US - Beige Book".

Further upside in the QQQQ will meet with an area of Gathering Resistance between $42.17 and $42.23.

Chart5Min76QQQQb.PNG
 
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QQQQ - Thursday's 5-Minute Chart....

The QQQQ opened strong on Thursday, held its gains, then rallied impressively on the 2:00pm 'Beige Book' Report.

Only Thursday's area of Gathering Resistance between $42.17 and $42.23 was able to contain the rally...and that's all it was able to do...there was no subsequent pull back from Resistance.

Thursday's 5-Minute Chart shows the gap-up open followed by the 2:00pm rally to Gathering Resistance.

On Friday, the QQQQ will trade initially on the 8:30am 'Retail Sales' Report and then on the 10:00am 'Consumer Confidence' Report.

Further upside in the QQQQ will meet with an area of Gathering Resistance between $42.60 and $42.63.

Chart5Min77QQQQb.PNG



Bollinger Bands:

One of the signs that a stock has risen too far, too fast and is, therefore, in need of a breather, is when it closes above Resistance at an Upper Bollinger Band.

The QQQQ closed above both its Daily and Weekly Bollinger Bands on Thursday, not to mention the upper end of its '10-Week Trading Band'. That doesn't necessarily mean that the rally is over. It does mean that the QQQQ is overdue for a rest.

For more information on Bollinger Bands, visit the following StockCharts.com web site:
http://stockcharts.com/education/IndicatorAnalysis/indic_Bbands.html
 
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Qs

We made 3 of the 4 points so far and have the golden cross - can they make it one more point? Options coming soon

sc
 
MR NASDAQ /Stock Tiger

with all respect ,, you are not doing this correctly .. All your chart set up are market dependent .. In another word depending on where the market next move is and to what degree, your chart analysis validity will skew. There fore i think you should start to super impose the chart of a leading market instrument on the stock under investigation and analyse the market next move first,,, then the stocks reaction . This is called TOP DOWN APPROACH and with out it you are a toast.

Grey1
 
Grey1 said:
...i think you should start to super impose the chart of a leading market instrument on the stock under investigation and analyse the market next move first,,, then the stocks reaction.
Hi Grey1,

Pray tell, to which 'leading market instrument' do you refer.

A visual example would be helpful.

Do you have a chart that you could post and comment on (no thumbnails, please)?

Thanks,

Mike
 
QQQQ - Friday's 5-Minute Chart....

The QQQQ continued higher on Friday's light-volume. There were simply no sellers.

Friday's 5-Minute Chart shows the QQQQ approaching, but not quite reaching Friday's area of Gathering Resistance.

For Monday, there is no lack of technical evidence that the QQQQ is 'overbought' in the short-term. One wonders what future event will trigger an end to the extreme bullish sentiment that currently prevails.

Earnings season begins in earnest next week. Perhaps that will do the trick. Since prices have run up ahead of earnings, there may be some selling on the news. In addition, any stock that runs up ahead of earnings and then disappoints in the slightest way ordinarily receives a severe "spanking".

Further upside in the QQQQ will meet with an area of Gathering Resistance between $42.52 and $42.60.

Chart5Min78QQQQb.PNG
 
Mr_Nasdaq said:
The QQQQ spent Friday within the same narrow trading range that was established on Thursday. Notice, however, that Friday's price action resulted in a Doji Candlestick on the Daily Chart......

I'd just like to say that this board could do with more posts like yours.
Personally, I'm not very fond of any indicators and for me there are too many lines on the charts.

But, I think you're doing a very good job in explaining basic principles and giving real life examples on the chart, which I'm sure offers a great deal to those who are exploring the terrority of trading and equally for those who are a step further on the road but not yet where they would like to be.

Keep up the good work.
 
Thank You...

firewalker99 said:
I'd just like to say that this board could do with more posts like yours. Keep up the good work.
firewalker,

Thanks for the good word. It is much appreciated :)

Mike
 
QQQQ - Monday's 5-Minute Chart....

The QQQQ delivered an extremely narrow 22-cent trading range on Monday on extremely light volume as it awaits the start of this week's flow of earnings reports.

Monday's 5-Minute Chart shows the QQQQ loitering within and just below Gathering Resistance for most of the day.

On Tuesday, volume and price range cannot help but pick up from Monday's sleepy pace.

The QQQQ will trade initially off of the 8:30am Producer Price Index Report (PPI). Because the PPI is a measure of inflation, it's always a 'market mover'.

Chart5Min79Qs.PNG
 
QQQQ - Tuesday's 5-Minute Chart....

Mr_Nasdaq said:
Monday's 5-Minute Chart shows the QQQQ loitering within and just below Gathering Resistance for most of the day.
Areas of Gathering Resistance serve as pivotal areas on a chart; they are areas where the price of a rising stock will invariably pause before deciding what direction to take next.

Tuesday's 5-Minute Chart demonstrates how vital it is for traders to know the exact location of areas of Gathering Resistance.

A short position established within Monday's 8-cent area of Gathering Resistance yeided an impressive profit on Tuesday:

Chart5Min80Qc.PNG
 
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