sminicooper
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The membership vote will be decisively in favour of the Brexit candidate. And that is how Leadsom becomes PM.
Look at the demographics of Conservative party membership: they are mainly the older generation who feel they have been deceived by joining something originally good which has morphed into a totally different entity.
My money is on Leadsom – Conservative party political history also shows that the favourite doesn't usually get it.
Give me trading any day – it's so much easier to see where you are going!
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Of course, there is a further possible scenario:
Theresa May gets overwhelming backing of the MPs, she does a deal with all the other contenders to pull out i.e. she offers them jobs (Leadsom – Chancellor, Gove – in charge EU negotiations for Brexit, Fox - Defence, Crabb - something to keep him happy) and thereby she could be a "Coronation" Prime Minister within a week. No hassle, no waiting till September, no argy-bargy amongst the party membership at large. If she rounded off with some kind of job for Boris perhaps everyone be happy (except for the politburo Remainers).
Quite a decent hypothetical outcome in my opinion – UK could then get on with its life.
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