Quote:
Originally Posted by wiseambitions Wednesday no trade
Thursday SL. The 3rd in a row !!!!!!!! |
I think the most important thing about Forex Trading is being comfortable with what you are trading and that is 95% of the battle.
So let me try and move you all into a more comfortable zone. Up to yesterday, we have had 86 live trades since our website stats began on June 1st 2011. Of those 86 trades:
33 - 38% were winners (+39 pips)
28 - 33% were losers (-19 pips)
25 - 29% broke even (-1 pip)
How much more boring can you get? For those of you who haven't figured it out yet, out of every 4 trades (that's almost a week!

), we could have 2 losers, 1 BE and only 1 winner and we still wouldn’t be losing.
What is most interesting is that the live trades are now coming into line with the back testing, where figures go back to the beginning of 2010. Would you like those stats? Is anyone still awake? There were 336 trades:
135 - 40.18% were winners (+39 pips)
137 - 40.77% were losers (-19 pips)
64 - 19.05% broke even (-1 pip)
So what are we expecting from EDT? I can tell you precisely. We are expecting 4/10 trades to win, 4/10 trades to lose and 2/10 trades to break even. Now, does that mean that in the next 10 trades we are going to have 4 wins / 4 losses / 2 BE's? Probably not. We might have 5 or 6 wins in a row, which will have some of you inviting me for dinner and telling everyone this is the best thing since sliced bread. We might have 5 or 6 losses in a row (really???), by which time there will be some broken keyboards and a fatwa issued.
So now you know what's expected, get yourself into a comfort zone. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. If you’re grinding your teeth after two losses, your lot size is probably too high. If you get three wins in a row, don't order that new car just yet.
Piece of advice? Don't stress yourself out by watching the trades on screen and update your stats once a week instead of every day. Sit back, chill out and let EDT will do its thing.
Mike
The Forex Club