Re: TA debunked?
Trading is such a free field activity packed with choices and so much data can be inputted that it is not suprising that it can be done badly in an infinite number of ways. So TA as the basic philosophy of trading can be made to look ineffective. But there is no way that the basic truths of TA are incorrect -
1. prices moving in a given direction have a stronger tendency to continue than to reverse
2. price trends are interrupted by minor periods of neutral or counter-trend price action.
i.e., rising prices go up - but not in a straight line.
If you only know those two things, you can work out a profitable trading strategy. Most strategies will fail, but not because these TA truths are incorrect, but because of faulty money management, exacerbated by decisions to rely on technical indicators which are assumed to reduce risk. |