S&P 500 cash weekly competition for 2016 with PRIZES!

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Old Jan 11, 2016, 2:31pm   #46
 
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1929 por forvor me amigo
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Old Jan 11, 2016, 4:41pm   #47
 
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D'oh. Too many beers last night! Completely forgot/Missed the cut off point!
Would have went for 1947
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Old Jan 12, 2016, 12:39am   #48
 
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postman started this thread Ok here's a snapshot of last weeks winners and this weeks forecasts.

We have 7 bulls and 4 bears this week. The averages are expecting a move up by roughly 20 points.
The range is an incredible 152 points showing how high the volatility is, as a reference last years average was 84 points.
Leading the bulls is jeffre4 with 2012 and growling in the background is f2calv with 1860.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing
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w2.png  
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Old Jan 13, 2016, 1:42pm   #49
 
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I don't want to add to the gloom and doom but .................

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

something more ominous? Why the 'January effect' can set the tone for the rest of the year
The FTSE 100 has had the worst start to the year since 2000
80% of the time a good start for the index meant it ended the year on a high
But the trend is weakening with January becoming one of the worst months for stock markets

By Eleanor Lawrie For Thisismoney.co.uk


The stock market has had its worst start in 16 years, with the FTSE 100 down 5.3 per cent last week as the turmoil surrounding the Chinese economy rumbles on.

Is this a temporary blip or will it set the tone for the rest of the year? Market watchers are hoping the month reverses this downtrend so that the 'January effect' takes hold.

This is the trend of the market ending the year on a high, if it has made gains in January.




In the red: The FTSE 100 was down 5.3 per cent in the first week of January but will this set the tone for 2016?

Since the FTSE 100 was created in 1984, research indicates that when the index has risen in January, 79 per cent of the time it has made further gains by the end of the year.

However, this was not the case last year when the market rose in the first month but then fell by 7.51 per cent between February and December.

The FTSE 100 index has risen in the first month of the year in 19 out of 32 years since 1984. In all but four of these, the UK benchmark has climbed higher by the end of the year, suggesting there might be more to this than mere chance.


.
Tom Stevenson, investment director for personal investing at Fidelity International, who compiled the research, said: 'There is an old adage that states "as goes January, so goes the year".

'While the January effect may not have come off last year, it is hard to argue against the statistics which show that a positive January has led to further rises four out of five times during the past 32 years.

'Even when the FTSE 100 has got off to a poor start in January, there's a silver lining for investors. In the 13 years in which the FTSE 100 has had a negative first month, the market reversed that trend on eight occasions, going on to end the year at a higher rate. In five years, the down trend continued for the rest of the year.'




He said: 'Prior to 2000, when we had the dotcom boom and bust, January was easily the best performing month of the year and as markets on the whole tended to rise this supported the January effect. Much of 1980s and 1990s were a bull market for equities so the general trend was upwards.

'However, since 2000 January performance has slumped and it has become the second worst month of the year delivering an average return of -1.88 per cent.

'So in fact, from an investor's perspective we no longer want January to be any indicator of how the year will go. Since 2000 we have seen January be negative 10 times out of 16.'

One reason for these lacklustre January markets could be the retail hangover from the Christmas sales period. This January's sales reports have been particularly underwhelming, with High Street stalwarts Next and M&S both reporting a drop in sales leading up to Christmas. The latter saw clothing sales drop 5.8 per cent in the 13 weeks to Boxing Day.
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Last edited by Pat494; Jan 13, 2016 at 2:33pm.
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Old Jan 13, 2016, 4:41pm   #50
 
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http://www.marketwatch.com/story/soc...ist=lcountdown








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Old Jan 13, 2016, 4:46pm   #51
 
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Are they just headline grabbing for a told-you-so basis ?
But could be worrying. I will be buying in if it tanks to 500 !
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Last edited by Pat494; Jan 13, 2016 at 5:12pm.
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Old Jan 13, 2016, 5:14pm   #52
 
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It's GOOD news! it means MOAR QE.
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Old Jan 15, 2016, 3:35pm   #53
 
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The S&P 500 future is way down. Is this a collapse for today's figures ?

The hedge funds are running scared.

The 10 year note is falling too.
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Old Jan 15, 2016, 3:51pm   #54
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The S&P 500 future is way down. Is this a collapse for today's figures ?
that's just the overnight pricing.
it's been up since the opening bell.

Peter
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Old Jan 15, 2016, 4:21pm   #55
 
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that's just the overnight pricing.
it's been up since the opening bell.

Peter
A small bounce it seems. As it is a long weekend in the US many are reducing their accounts in anticipation of a possible crash imho.

Iran ( yes the US's new pal in the Middle East ) is putting oil on the market cum Monday. That should pull the price even lower.

Half Russia's revenues are from oil, so they are hurting.
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Last edited by Pat494; Jan 15, 2016 at 4:30pm.
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Old Jan 15, 2016, 5:15pm   #56
 
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...this is going to be a nail biter into the close, com'on < 1860!
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Old Jan 15, 2016, 6:44pm   #57
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com'on < 1860!
looking big down now!

Peter
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Old Jan 15, 2016, 9:56pm   #58
 
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what time is closing bell ? ( uk time )
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Old Jan 15, 2016, 10:36pm   #59
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It's closed now! Looks like you won!
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Old Jan 15, 2016, 11:09pm   #60
 
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Originally Posted by wackypete2 View Post
It's closed now! Looks like you won!
I was expecting you to fire up the spoofing Algo Pete, just to coax it down that last few points...
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