Basic Probability

This is a discussion on Basic Probability within the The Foyer forums, part of the T2W Community category; A fair coin is used. What’s the probability of:- A. Flipping Two Consecutive Heads B. Flipping Two Consecutive Tails C. ...

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Old Mar 27, 2009, 4:10am   #1
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Default Basic Probability

A fair coin is used.

What’s the probability of:-

A. Flipping Two Consecutive Heads
B. Flipping Two Consecutive Tails
C. Flipping Two Consecutive Heads OR Flipping Two Consecutive Tails
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Old Mar 27, 2009, 4:39am   #2
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Default Re: Basic Probability

A) 0.5 x 0.5

B) 0.5 x 0.5

C)(0.5 x 0.5) + (0.5 x 0.5)
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Old Mar 27, 2009, 4:48am   #3
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Default Re: Basic Probability

A) 25%
B) 25%
C) 50%

Last edited by PualoP; Mar 27, 2009 at 5:05am.
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Old Mar 27, 2009, 5:10am   #4
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Default Re: Basic Probability

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheBramble View Post
A fair coin is used.

What’s the probability of:-

A. Flipping Two Consecutive Heads
B. Flipping Two Consecutive Tails
C. Flipping Two Consecutive Heads OR Flipping Two Consecutive Tails
Hi Tony

good to have you back on board fella.

As ADB says, it is a half chance multiplied by a half chance for either scenario. Which is, a quarter chance. And then 1/4 chance + 1/4 chance for the 2 consecutive heads OR tails option, if you are not fussy about whether you want a head or tail.

If you spend long enough at it, you will eventually get 10 heads or tails in a row, like that Derren Brown fella. But it took him about 14 hours of filming before he actually achieved this.
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Old Mar 27, 2009, 5:14am   #5
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Default Re: Basic Probability

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheBramble View Post
A fair coin is used.

What’s the probability of:-

A. Flipping Two Consecutive Heads
B. Flipping Two Consecutive Tails
C. Flipping Two Consecutive Heads OR Flipping Two Consecutive Tails
as per DB;

a: 25%
b: 25%
c: 50%
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Old Mar 27, 2009, 5:23am   #6
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Default Re: Basic Probability

TheBramble started this thread OK. Right.

So the chance of my flipping a Head on any one toss of the coin is 50% or 1 in 2. Which means, I’d need to flip the coin twice to, statistically, expect to get a head. Is that correct?
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Old Mar 27, 2009, 5:30am   #7
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Default Re: Basic Probability

Possible outcomes:

H H
H T
T H
T T

=> probability of at least one head is 0.75, because all outcomes are equally likely.
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Old Mar 27, 2009, 5:34am   #8
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Default Re: Basic Probability

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheBramble View Post
OK. Right.

So the chance of my flipping a Head on any one toss of the coin is 50% or 1 in 2. Which means, I’d need to flip the coin twice to, statistically, expect to get a head. Is that correct?
yes.
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# If the only tool you have is a hammer, you tend to see every problem as a nail - Abraham Maslow
# There are 10 kinds of people in the world; those that understand binary, and those that dont. -Anon
# Ed Seykotas Whipsaw Song http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LiE1V...Wlxk8&index=10
# Defeat is temporary. Giving up makes it permanent. Anon
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