It's about time charting packages incorporated some statistical analysis ability, particularly Bayesian methods. Right now I code in Haskell to do this.
This is an interesting thread. Every trader is interested in getting a better trade. Have you considered using Bayesian inference with Markov Chain Monte Carlo Simulation methods applied to short time series to forcast future volatility.
There is a lot of research going on in that area and as...
Instead of using simple MA's you could use either Guppy Moving Averages or the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo method of trading. Just search for them and you'll get lots of hits.
Hi Marty,
Having a plan and the discipline to follow it ---especially when the going gets tough is the most important thing. You need a method of trading that you are comfortable with and you need to understand it completely. Pay particular attention to its limitations, and every method has...
re: Support & Resistance Explained
If the size of an angle of any line on a chart varies according to scale; say if you are drawing a line free-hand, then if you change the scale the line will not intersect the same points and you cannot infer any support or resistance exists. If the charting...
Now I use just 2 indicators. Guppy Moving Averages and Bollinger Bands. The moving averages show how long term traders and short term traders are behaving in the market. Bollinger Bands are useful to show when prices might change direction at the extremes of a standard deviation.
Daryl Guppy...
I make mistakes all the time. But I control my downside rigorously. I keep losses to 2% of capital. This lets me run an individual trade at larger than a 2% loss if the capital amount is less than 2% and the indicator I use suggests the fall in price is short term.
Psychology and the emotions we feel play a big part in determinning our behaviour. But how much do you know about exactly how a trade is afecting you?
This book will help. After reading it get a webcam or fix some mirrors round your monitor and you can check yourself just what you are feeling...
Better Stock Trading by Daryl Guppy is a good starting place. He concentrates on stocks but his presentation is aimed at traders with small capital bases. I am sure that the information can be utilised by commodities traders.