Recent content by Jayram

  1. J

    VantagePoint prediction software for sale

    FWIW, i have found that the best use for NNs is to filter a basket of shares to x% of those shares, and continually adjust (every 3 months or so) teh shares invested... e.g. for FTSE 100, aim at predicting which 50 will do best in the next 3 months and invest and hold those 50. then reallocate...
  2. J

    VantagePoint prediction software for sale

    Predicting a moving average in the future is easy - but pretty worthless. Unless you are predicting a moving average in the future that does not rely on existing known price data. I used a simple MLP neural network and got similar accuracy results to VP. Note that their accuracy figures are...
  3. J

    Neural Networks - Genetic Algorithms - Boltzmann Machines - FOREX crystal balls?

    Here's a a few tips when using neural networks. 1) standardise the inputs by using the natural log of lagged returns (eg take the log of the difference in closing prices over x bars) 2) look for correlations between a target variable of AT LEAST 50 bars in the future, and inputs using lagged...
  4. J

    Neural Networks - Genetic Algorithms - Boltzmann Machines - FOREX crystal balls?

    Here's a a few tips when using neural networks. 1) standardise the inputs by using the natural log of lagged returns (eg take the log of the difference in closing prices over x bars) 2) look for correlations between a target variable of AT LEAST 50 bars in the future, and inputs using lagged...
  5. J

    Neuroshell

    Very helpful....thanks
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