Recent content by HFM.

Date: 10th September 2026. ECB Rate Decision and US PPI: EUR/USD Outlook. The Euro edges higher on Thursday as the European Central Bank’s rate decision edges closer. Markets expect the ECB to increase interest rates from 2.40% to 2.65% taking the main refinancing rate to an 18-month high...

Date: 9th September 2026. Tanker Strikes, Missiles Over Jordan: How the Gulf Escalation Is Repricing Oil, Gold, and the Yen. Oil markets just went from ‘watch closely’ to ‘impossible to ignore.’ Brent crude is trading within a whisker of $100 a barrel for the first time since July, and the...

Date: 8th September 2026. Japanese Yen Hits February High as BoJ Rate-Hike Expectations Rise. The Japanese Yen continues to increase in value, rising to its highest level since February. The rise in value is due to expectations of a more hawkish Bank of Japan and currency intervention...

Date: 7th September 2026. NFP Shocks Markets as Fed, ECB, and Middle East Risks Take Focus. Strong US employment data makes an interest rate hike almost certain, pressuring Gold, certain stocks, and supporting the Dollar. At the same time, Middle East tensions continue to rise as Iran and...

Date: 7th September 2026. NFP Shocks Markets as Fed, ECB, and Middle East Risks Take Focus. Strong US employment data makes an interest rate hike almost certain, pressuring Gold, certain stocks, and supporting the Dollar. At the same time, Middle East tensions continue to rise as Iran and...

Date: 4th September 2026. Waller's Dovish Pivot Keeps the Dollar on the Back Foot Into Payrolls. Risk assets extended their advance overnight as traders further pared back the odds of a September Fed hike following dovish remarks from Governor Christopher Waller. The Dollar sits near...

Date: 3rd September 2026. Yen Surges, Oil Wavers, and Wall Street Holds Its Breath. Global markets opened Thursday in a distinctly jittery mood. Asian equities whipsawed, the Japanese Yen powered to its strongest level in nearly a month, oil pulled back from a volatile session tied to renewed...

Date: 2nd September 2026. Oil Breaks $90 as Gold and NASDAQ Face Growing Pressure. On Tuesday, the trend from Monday continued with bond yields rising to a new high and oil prices breaking above $90 per barrel. In addition, investors are increasingly pricing in the possibility of a Fed...

Date: 31st August 2026. Jackson Hole Hawks and New Middle East Clashes. The US and Iran exchanged fire for the first time since July, quickly driving oil prices back above $85 per barrel. According to reports, the US struck rocket launchers on Larak Island, located near the key Strait of...

Date: 28th August 2026. Markets Brace for Jackson Hole: USD, Gold, Oil, and Stocks in Focus. Global markets are entering the final trading sessions of August with investors focused on one major event: Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech. The US Dollar is trading close to...

Date: 26th August 2026. Oman-Iran Talks Pressure Oil Prices, but Many Investors Remain Unpersuaded. Crude oil prices continue to fall for a third day as hopes for the Strait of Hormuz reopening rise. At the same time, economic sanctions placed on Iran are weaker than originally feared, and...

Date: 25th August 2026. Markets Stabilise Ahead of NVIDIA Earnings as Bitcoin Breaks Above $80,000. US stock index futures moved higher on Tuesday as selling pressure across the technology sector began to ease. However, with NVIDIA earnings, the Jackson Hole symposium, and geopolitical risks...

Date: 24th August 2026. Market Outlook Today: Gold Rallies as Oil and Asian Stocks Fall. Today’s market outlook is dominated by geopolitical tension, US fiscal concerns, and uncertainty ahead of several major events. Gold reached a three-month high overnight, while oil prices and Asian stocks...

Date: 21st August 2026. Gold Rises as Treasury Yields Rebound and Walmart Pressures the NASDAQ. Scott Bessent continues to support the Treasury’s move to buy back long-term bonds and has indicated larger future buybacks. The bond market did see yields decline after the Treasury announced its...

Date: 20th August 2026. Historic US Intervention Sees Gold Spike More Than 4%. A historic day for the US and for global banking and finance. The US Dollar fell to its lowest point since the first half of May 2026 and Gold saw its largest increase in two months. The US Treasury, for the first...