Recent content by bikeeagle1

Thanks, 1nvest. I've had the same thoughts about the aggregate from AS. I like to watch it out of curiosity, along with their Meta strategy and also the SPY-COMP indicator. I've gotten comfortable enough with my own strategy though that I no longer trade based on any of the AS systems. I...

Hi folks. Just checking back in to update. My SPY system has been 100% cash since the close on February 25th, 2022. I'm just wondering how many others have been out of the market for awhile and when did your "out" signal trigger?

tatrader, I like it! I haven't read through this whole thread, so I'm sorry if you already posted this, but how do you measure whether stocks in the index are bullish or bearish? By using their individual 200-Day moving averages? Thanks!

Cool charts! One of the indicators I look at is the plain old basic MACD. I don't trade based on it, but I like to use it to look for divergences. I also only trade weekly on Fridays, so I most often look at charts using weekly bars. In that context, the MACD has been flashing an obvious...

It sounds like you and I are on the same page as far as who we are fans of. In fact, I am a subscriber to Allocate Smartly, and Paul Novell's SPY-COMP model is one of the indicators I use to determine whether SPY is in an up or down trend. I basically combine that with some other indicators to...

tatrader, it looks like SPY finally caught up with your divergence (1/21/2022)!

I'm sorry but I'm not sure I'm willing to share that yet, because of all the work and time I put into developing it. Also, I am still evaluating it and may make some changes as time goes on. As a simple publicly available example though, one could use some form of closes above or below a major...

This morning, I realized that I have a way to compare how well this system has performed compared to SPY from one of my live trading accounts. I have been running this system all by itself (without the influence of the broader blend) in my Roth IRA. That gives me a way to check to see how it...

At the close today, the system will be 6.7% Cash and 93.3% SPY. Since today is a Friday, I will start a model portfolio for tracking purposes. Since I want to be able to trade in and out of a meaningful number of shares, I will use $100,000 as a starting portfolio value. So, at the close, the...

So just to clarify, the way I use this system is as a part of a broader blended portfolio. I keep about 33% of my IRA account in this system and the other 67% in the blended portfolio. In the blend, I am always at a fixed static stock allocation of 40% stocks and a mix of bonds and other...

Hi folks. I'm just starting this thread for those of us who try to time the overall market using ETFs like SPY. I have developed a system that I use in part of one of my accounts that has been working well, so I thought I would share it with anyone who is interested. My goals with the system...