Recent content by Baldwreck

Well, and now the end of 2009 so a review is in order. I stayed out of the markets for most of the year simply because my business (property) was stressful and I had to stay wholly focused on that. I hope to re-enter the markets shortly. Any updates from others would be welcome. Good luck to all...

Betonmarkets offer expiry bets up to 180 days on indices and up to 360 days on forex I think.

In my experience, having been a BOM client for 6 years withdrawal is pretty much instantaneous (so max 3 days banking clearance). There is no limit on withdrawals. I'm limited to depositing no more than £50,000 in any 2 month period (not that that has presented me with a problem!!) Hope that...

Foredog - fair question and I don't believe there is a difference. Everyonerich - any system which is based on a 50/50 chance will not in the long run make a profit or a loss no matter what money managment system you use. A bit like the roulette wheel however the house margin (spread) will...

I believe Betonmarkets offer this pair intraday - not sure about others

2008 Results Well it's not pretty - but this is what 2008 looked like - and successful it was not! After a dreadful start in January (reported in an earlier post) things started to stabalise that is until the dollar went ballistic. The net result for the year is 347 winners but 353 losers...

I'm with egro1egro on this - there is no substance to the probability "theory " put forward here - it might be right - it might be wrong - in my opinion probably the weakest piece put on T2W ever - sorry!

kalubah I have had an account with Betonmarkets for 5 years and have not experienced any difficulty in withdrawing money. I am not aware of them changing the odds - as you can get a price for a bet without logging you could easily see if it was your account which was being disadvantaged with...

Shivam - if its of interest you can put a short cut link to your open positions on BOM to save you having to type them out - simply go to your portfolio page and then right click on the link at the bottom of the page and "copy shortcut" and paste it here. For anyone interested here is mine - as...

Fixed odds are binary bets, just expressed in a slightly different way - if you look in the BOM help section it should become clear as to how to interpret the prices quoted on BOM into a conventional binary bet.

An essential attribute for staying solvent in my view.

Well it somewhat depends on timescale - personally I'm down a bit for 2008 having recovered from a dire January when it all went wrong - however over the long term (and I've being doing his for more than 5 years) I'm up - IRR over that time period of 48%.

Ericthered I don't know whether many people find you postings helpful in the context of fixed or binary bets but it would make a whole lot of sense if instead of opening a new thread every time you posted you just kept a single thread going. Just a thought.

Well of course you are right - this only works - if the odds you can get are better than the theorectical probability of success - all I was pointing out was that with odds of 99-1 or similar if the probability of success is 33-1 then you will make money. In terms of style - I'm with you - I...

Now that's an interesting thought - could not resist a bit of research. On one analysis Arabian is right - there have been 6 days since 18th Sept 07 when the Dow has made this sort of move (say 2.5% up), so on that analysis the statistical odds are about 1 in 33 of success so Arabian would have...