Recent content by adrian247

S&P500 (ETF: SPY / blue line) against forecast (magenta line). Algorithm is based on pattern recognition. (multi timeframe) The next 30 trading days are expected to be rather negative for the stock market.

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There are only two ways to make relatively consistent money in the markets. This is based on my experience working for hedge funds and also based on the track records from strategies and hedge funds (databases) 1. A very experienced trader has different strategies/tools and apply them properly...

Newest COT data still looking medium-term bullish for crude oil. Gold and silver: constructive. Nowhere near an extreme despite the good performance of gold. Pullbacks are rather buying opportunities. COT data in the dollar index confirms the above mentioned. Relative hedging was quite extreme...

Solid thesis + good position management + right mindset = attractive long-term returns What is your formula for trading/investing success?

- S&P500 stopped out. Market is to strong, broke the structure of falling highs and falling lows in the hourly chart. - Silver working well, took profit 1/3 of position.

I wrote today an article about 5 steps to become an profitable trader: https://vesrock.com/2019/03/12/how-to-start-trading/

Silver is going well, increase my long yesterday. Above mentioned thesis regarding silver gets more and more confirmation.

As long as we can stay below 2800 in the S&P500 I am slightly bearish. If we tomorrow fall below the low of today I will increase my short position.

After 5 years I wanted something new. Now I trade just my own money which is quite relaxing. But it is possible I will start managing money for others again in the future. I just need a break.

Most historical patterns support the view that there is probably a chance to make some money with shorts in the S&P500 over the next couple weeks. However, price action has to confirm this thesis as always.

Just opened a short in ES @ 2770

I do not think we are done with the short-term correction. Would like to see "fear" first. Afterwards, I am medium-term bullish.

Short-term bounce, but over the next 2 weeks or so rather lower.

How I think about trading (I am the author of the blog) Mindset: https://vesrock.com/2019/03/08/always-think-in-probabilities/ https://vesrock.com/2019/03/08/impact-of-randomness/ Edge: * * * Risk management: https://vesrock.com/2019/03/09/optimum-bet-size/...